I don’t expect anything soon, for the reasons you say, and possibly not at all. But it wouldn’t shock me if something like that deal down the road a bit, especially if there’s a post-Netanyahu government.
I claim no real expertise in Gulf stuff—I defer to folks like Gause and others. But I did have the fun role, as a peon at the NSC back in the day, covering for bosses out of the office, to have helped give a yellow light to this… 😂