One thing is sure. The longer the War takes and the more Ukrainians dead or maimed, the more Russianhaters along the population. Of course many will blame the Zelensky&Yermak duo but most are duped to believe the gospel of the Orcs that Budanov&co are spreading. Putin had not the strenght or steadfastness 2014, neither 2022 to take the whole of Ukraine. After 3 years Russia is stronger but is enough? Your dreamscenario with Ukraine self-crumbling may be a good forecast. I remain doubtful and see dangers around the corner.