I must be a contrarian theorist.
After decades of being lied to and gaslighted by government and its media propaganda organs, my first instinct is to call bullshit on whatever the latest narrative du jour concocted to spook the herd happens to be.
My political awakening occurred towards the end of the Vietnam War. I clearly remember watching on TV the choppers dust off the embassy with people hanging on the rails. I had schoolmates whose aviator fathers were killed there.
LBJ lied the US into that war with the fabricated Gulf of Tonkin Incident. The government consistently lied about body counts and progress to garner continued support.
And they've been lying ever since, about everything.
I find it nearly incomprehensible that anyone would trust them, ever, about anything.
"The government I live under has been my enemy all my active life. When it has not been engaged in silencing me it has been engaged in robbing me. So far as I can recall I have never had any contact with it that was not an outrage on my dignity and an attack on my security."
~H. L. Mencken, From his diary, Baltimore, April 1, 1945