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There was every indication that the vaccines would stop the pandemic. The pre-Delta variants of Covid had an R0 of around 3.

All data indicated that vaccination would cut Rt down to less than ~0.3, i.e., low enough that the virus would fizzle out in a matter of weeks.

Delta changed the situation, but seriously, you're not complaining that people didn't predict Delta, are you?

Oct 27, 2022
at
7:00 PM