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If we define dangerous as the place most likely to start a US-China war, then I agree that the SCS is a bit more likely than Taiwan at the moment because China is not yet ready for the next 5-10 years. Even then the SCS is probably not too likely to start anything.

Hyperbole aside, all the hysteria is coming from what both sides see as an inevitable train crash coming between China's determination to seize Taiwan and the US's determination not to allow it. Of course, unlike a train crash, many things can happen in the next 10 years that can make it much less likely

May 2, 2021
at
9:49 PM