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I'm not sure what the adjustments you make to deaths are, but it's easy to calculate the absolute risk reduction for each age cohort assuming the UK information is perfectly fine. Take the 50-59 year old cohort. The deaths per 100,000 in the 28 days from 2nd dose category are 1.4 and 8.1 for vaxxed and unvaxxed. Both are in deaths per 100,000 so the calculation is (8.1-1.4)/100,000 or .000067 or .0067% in the period. I'm not certain if the period is inclusive of week 41 and week 44, but assume it is. That's 4 weeks. There are 12 four week periods in a year. If I remember my statistics correctly, that means your risk of NOT dying from the virus if you're not vaxxed is 99.92%. If you're between 50 and 59 your risk of dying from anything but covid is much greater than your risk of dying from covid. Your risk from an adverse vax reaction is no doubt much greater.

Nov 12, 2021
at
9:41 PM

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