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One question I'm mulling over and want to ask your opinion is: What are the longterm impacts of the repression in Xinjiang on the development of the rest of China? By development I mean foremost the prospects for improving people's quality of life, improving productivity and escaping the middle income trap. China's GDP grows on paper, more houses and airports are being build and to a lower degree wages are growing, too. But a big share of people's income has to be spent on housing, extra-curricula tutoring and education, school district housing, savings for old age and unemployment. In other words, consumption as share of income and GDP is low because of low social security, expensive (and inefficient) privatized education (tutoring) and the absence of legal security and legal reliability of labour contracts, rent contracts etc. Real improvements of social security, the real implementation of labour laws and increasing the share of consumption (and actually growing the domestic market) would require not only to shift wealth away from the government(s), SOEs and big companies, but also to restribute power away from these powerful interest groups (in local governments, SOEs etc). However given the repression in Xinjiang and the importance of the issue for national and international politics and the difficulty for the XJP government to pull out of Xinjiang and ease repression any time soon without losing face and appearing weak, a high level of repression and censorship has to be maintained in the whole country. And this in fact makes the redistribution of wealth and power - essential for improving the quality of life and rebalancing to domestic demand and increasing the share of consumption - pretty much unimaginable. In short, my impression is that the ongoing high level of repression in Xinjiang means for the rest of the population - and specifically also for all Han-Chinese - that they will have to worry about buying a house (instead of renting it), worry about their childs education (instead of being able to rely and trust the public schools), working 996 (instead of forcing their employers to respect the labour law) etc. The price the majority of Chinese thus pays for the repression in Xinjiang is thus enormous and far beyond pure security costs. This is what comes to my mind when I see the nationalist mems on WeChat supporting the boycott of H&M... Does that make sense to anyone?

Mar 27, 2021
at
8:15 AM