can you lay out what specific claims you are referring to?

https://alexberenson.substack.com/p/urgent-five-months-plunging-covid

he cites this, for example, which actually looks a bit better than what i'm seeing in the UK.

their high covid death figures do look worrying, but keep in mind that even with VE, you can get more deaths if you get more spread and we seem to be seeing the vaccinated show negative case protection.

this is a possibly confound in the data as well as if they are more likely to get and thus likely spread covid, and we know they can carry huge VL's from sample data, they might be acting as disease intensifiers especially for the unvaxxed by exposing them to high initial doses (which has long correlated to disease severity) because the vaxxed can carry such high doses without symptoms.

if this is so (and it's a hypothesis, not a proven fact) the vaxxed act not only as accelerators for disease spread, but for disease intensity.

this would mean that vaccination could account for an overall rise in severe cases and deaths, but would concentrated it in the unvaxxed.

perversely, this would read like vaccine efficacy on a societal level.

this is the issue with this kind of data. there are so many possible cross confounds.

but that idea that the vaccinated actually enhance the risk to the unvaxxed is not only possibly, but plausible with a vaccine this leaky and VL's so high in asympt vaxxed carriers.