they are currently at a low point of seasonal expression, just like neighboring palestine who las low vaxx and no boosters.

the two have been nearly indistinguishable from one another all through covid. it's one of the better natural A/B tests on vaccines as their seasonality looks near identical and their pre and post vaccine case and death rates look so close to identical that it's functionally the same.

if vaccines bent the curve, you'd expect the previously aligned curves to diverge.

but they don't.

seasonally, we should start seeing a rise in the region in a couple weeks. they seem to have a double seasonal pattern akin to the US midwest.