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Herd immunity threshold depends on Ro. Ro for Omicron is Measles level -very high HIT will be near 100%. So might as well figure everyone is gonna get it. We were at 60-70% of population having nat immunity before Omicron. My estimates are that 40% of population is going to get Omicron. So.. we will be right there. Next year a different enough variant will come through and some people will get a cold. Also some people who've had previous infections, will also catch Omicron, and some won't ever catch it. But to your main point - this sucker is almost over. Weeks not months.

Jan 11, 2022
at
4:47 PM

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