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As things now look Trump will be replaced by Biden in less than six months. How will Biden run the ship? He is very much of a professional on international relations, very much an insider and very much a politician. And he will be mortally insulted by the rather clumsy interventions and attempted interventions of the CPR. He has no motive at all to be friendly or kind to the Chinese. Furthermore being kind even in appearance to them exposes him to a political risk of the first order on the right, the old Republican cry of Soft on Communism. Biden is likely to follow thje old political adage: Don't get mad. Get even. Xi has outsmarted himself by intervention---he has put himself into a box. And when attacked Xi hits back. Fasten your seat belts.

Jul 24, 2020
at
1:07 PM