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Eric and Eliot
I hope you see this. I listened to this podcast by Haviv Rettig Gur (Israeli journalist).
Haviv suggets that the Trump Admin might be working on a deal to de-couple Russia from Iran by giving Putin 20% of Ukraine it currently controls. This is not a long podcast but Haviv goes into some detail about the benefits of such a strategy. Would love to get your thoughts on this. I wrote the following to Haviv and I am waiting for a response:
I have much respect for you Haviv, but I am not sure about the “Ukraine for Iran” strategy. Say we give Russia 20% of Ukraine it currently controls. What is to say Putin keeps his end of the bargain either to de-couple from Iran or not try and take 100% of Ukraine later and then the Baltics and then who know what else in Europe?
Why not put Putin back in a box with heavy sanctions on the Russian energy sector plus more and more weaponry for Ukraine AND take our Iran’s nuclear program militarily while Iran is “blind” to weaken both Iran and Russia simultaneously. The U.S. should weaken both, not strengthen Russia in hopes that we can trust Putin to live up to his word and decouple from Iran. Why is what I am suggesting not a better strategy than trading Ukraine for Iran?