To move the conversation beyond simply Pelosi’s potential visit I’ve got a few question thoughts:
- who benefits from these visits? My intro thought is it’s the individual congressional member as they can then appear anti China in their respective political contests. But does this aid or hinder diplomacy and US national interests?
- are these visits official contacts? Believe these visits are taxpayer funded and members are traveling in their official capacities but none hold any direct foreign policy powers. Thus I lean towards stretching the idea these are not official but if they are they clearly violate 3 communiqués commitments.
- are these visits a further sign that the US no longer follows the unwritten rule that politics stops at the waterfront? If so, believe that makes diplomacy far more difficult than it already is. In a time with many major foreign policy challenges, increasing the level of difficulty seems needlessly self harming.
- are the 3 communiques dead or well past their usefulness? The last one was created 40 years ago. The US, China, Taiwan, and the world for that matter are all quite different now. The documents were never treaties/international law but at the same time they do seem to continue to be guardrails for conflict.