Martin Anderson says look at the insider trader because it can indicate an oncoming war or know a pending catastrophe. Ocam's razor applies. Del Bigtree on The Highwire did a probability analysis calculating the chances of this specific pox:

Predicting the virus: 1 in 10 0.1

Predicting month 1 in 12 0.0833

Predicting outbreak Africa 1 in 55 0.05454

Predicting human to human outbreak 1 in 3 in multiple Western countries 0.333

ODDS: 1/6,6600 0.000151