Highly unlikely Trump will recognize Taiwan. Next up is a major arms sale and the official launch of the Economic and Commercial Dialogue. China will put more pressure on Taiwan--especially militarily. PLA could launch an IRBM over Taiwan or fly a PLAAF aircraft over the island. Poaching another diplomatic ally is possible as well. President Tsai has also publicly signaled that there are limits on what she will do with the US that could provoke China.