The Washington PostDemocracy Dies in Darkness

WAVE OF MERGERS, TAKEOVERS IS A PART OF REAGAN LEGACY

NEXT PRESIDENCY WILL BE TEST OF REGULATORY POLICY SUCCESS

By
October 30, 1988 at 1:00 a.m. EDT

The Reagan years have witnessed one of the greatest waves of

mergers, takeovers and corporate restructurings in history, with the

tally standing at more than 25,000 deals worth $2 trillion since 1980

and still rising.

Last year, 25 of those mergers were challenged by the two agencies

responsible for policing the marketplace, the Federal Trade Commission

and the Antitrust Division of the Justice Department. Many of the deals

were the type of transaction that would not have been blocked on

antitrust grounds by any administration.

But overall, antitrust lawyers said, the door to corporate mergers

has never been open wider than during the Reagan presidency. And most

experts expect it will close at least partially no matter who wins the

Nov. 8 presidential election.

"Most antitrust attorneys believe that there has been an opportunity

{under the Reagan administration} to do deals that wasn't there before,"

said a Washington attorney who represents a grocery chain involved in a

major merger bid.

To the president's supporters, the change in antitrust policy is a

triumph of the administration's battle to control government regulation

and is a victory for conservative faith in free markets.

"The intellectual view of antitrust has changed immensely, not only

in the enforcement agencies, but also on the Supreme Court," said Robert

H. Bork, a former U.S. Court of Appeals judge who is now an American

Enterprise Institute scholar and one of the architects of the new

policy.

But to the administration's sharpest critics, the new policy is an

abdication of regulatory responsibility. The deals that have gone

through, they said, may result in less competition, fewer product

choices for consumers and unjustified price increases.

"Many of these massive combinations -- in oil, steel, airlines and

other basic industries -- would never have passed muster under any other

administration, be it Democratic or Republican," said New York state

Attorney General Robert Abrams, who joined this year with colleagues

from the other 49 states in criticizing the administration's policies.

The FTC is now "a gaunt and bloodied agency" that is rapidly losing

its remaining strength because of reductions in its budget imposed by

Congress and by the administration, said FTC Commissioner Andrew J.

Strenio Jr., a Democrat.

"Since fiscal year 1980, there has been a drop of more than 40

percent in the work years allocated to antitrust enforcement. In the

same period, merger filings skyrocketed to more than 320 percent of

their fiscal 1980 level," Strenio said in August.

In the administration's defense, Assistant Attorney General Charles

F. Rule, head of the Antitrust Division, said the government's weapons

have been concentrated on the most important targets -- illegal price

fixing, bid-rigging and other criminal conspiracies.

"The simple truth is that it has never ... been riskier and more

dangerous to commit an antitrust crime," Rule said in a speech Thursday.

"To hear our critics, one would have to conclude that we are asleep

at the switch -- that we have failed to stop all sorts of

anticompetitive mergers," Rule said.

But the critics cannot point to one merger the government failed to

block that has led to higher prices for consumers, he said.

Whether the public is content to let the marketplace govern

regulatory policies will be tested again soon, when a new administration

takes office. A healthy, growing economy would help validate the Reagan

policy.

But if the economy falters during a George Bush or Michael Dukakis

administration, critics will find it easier to say the Reagan

deregulatory pendulum had swung too far.

"There is a danger," said Bork, "that the gains {of the Reagan

antitrust policy}, which are real gains for consumers, will be taken

away by populist legislation, particularly if there is a Democratic

administration, or a Republican administration that doesn't care."

"The administration has moved radically to the right," said Robert

Pitofsky, dean of Georgetown University's law school and a former FTC

commissioner in the Carter administration.

"The pendulum will swing back somewhat regardless of whether George

Bush or Michael Dukakis is elected," he said.

As the American economy has grown more complex and interconnected

with foreign markets in the 1980s, the problem of assessing the impact

of mergers has become far tougher than it once was.

Since the great merger wave near the turn of the century, which

produced the first major antitrust law -- the 1890 Sherman Act -- the

goal of antitrust laws has been to prevent giant companies from

dominating smaller rivals and to head off attempts by competitors to fix

prices, carve up markets or commit other anticompetitive acts.

The antitrust laws, however, speak in generalities, more like New

Testament parables than the Ten Commandments, and have left plenty of

room for enforcement of the laws to swing with the political currents.

When liberal or populist views dominated, regulators and judges

tried to break up relatively small mergers, fearing no good could come

of them. Thus the Supreme Court in 1962 blocked a proposed merger of the

nation's third- and eighth-largest shoe retailers, even though together

they would have controlled less than 10 percent of the market.

Four years later, the court, citing its concern over a trend of

mergers in the grocery business, barred a merger of the third- and

sixth-largest grocery chains in Los Angeles, which together accounted

for 7.5 percent of grocery sales in the area. The best way to ensure

strong competition is to have a lot of competitors, the court concluded.

The older, liberal-populist view of antitrust was based on a fear

that once a few companies gained control of a market, they could

collectively squeeze smaller rivals into the corner and share unfairly

high profits.

In the 1970s, Democrats in Congress sought to enact tough formulas

for viewing competition. When a small number of firms controlled 50

percent of a market, the firms would have to be broken up into smaller

units, unless they could prove they had to be big to be efficient, some

Democrats proposed.

But conservatives, moving into power in the early 1980s, responded

that such formulas didn't make sense in an economy awash in imports, in

a world where technological change can make entire product lines

obsolete in a few years, and in a marketplace where foreign investment,

takeovers and buyouts are constantly changing the players.

Washington attorney Ernest Gelhorn said the Reagan revolution in

antitrust policy was really part of a continuing adaptation of the law

to the changing realities of the marketplace.

Likewise Bork saw the evolution as a move away from heavy-handed,

"government-knows-best" interference in the marketplace that was rooted

in ignorance of how the economy really works. Being big, by itself, in

the corporate world is not automatically bad, in this view. "There is

nothing written in the sky that says the world would not be a perfectly

satisfactory place if there were only 100 companies," said William

Baxter, Reagan's first head of the Antitrust Division.

Nor are mergers automatically evil, said Rule. Most "are driven by

objectives other than raising price," for example, ridding a company of

inept or inattentive management, improving efficiency, meeting changes

in market demand, responding to foreign competition or taking advantage

of tax laws.

The true purpose of antitrust law should be to provide the best deal

possible for consumers, according to Bork and the conservatives. Viewed

in that light, mergers and agreements among competitors, or between

manufacturers and retailers, might benefit consumers even though they

also benefit big, powerful companies if they make the companies more

efficient. And in that case, they shouldn't be opposed, the

conservatives said.

The new policy means size and market power are no longer red flags

that automatically bring companies under suspicion. One good example of

the new policy at work is a May Supreme Court decision. In the past, any

discussion between a manufacturer and a retailer about setting store

prices for the manufacturer's goods was illegal. Then came a complaint

challenging the way Sharp Electronics Co. allowed calculators it

manufactured to be priced.

Sharp's longtime retailer in Houston consistently sold the

calculators at discounts below the manufacturer's suggested minimum

retail prices. When a second retailer protested to Sharp about this

cost-cutting, Sharp agreed and cut off shipments to the discounter. The

court allowed that action to stand.

As Bork explains the decision, it meant Sharp should be able to

choose whether it wants its products sold by a no-frills discounter or a

full-service retailer charging higher prices but offering trained

salespeople to help customers understand the product. If the

manufacturer makes a wrong decision, the customers will go elsewhere:

Let the marketplace decide.

"I think Reagan struck a nerve," said Pitofsky, the Georgetown dean.

"There is considerable validity to his claim that business was

overregulated in many areas. People came to agree that there was too

much 'snail darterism' -- too much regulation without any sense of the

consequences. One consequence of the Reagan revolution is that in the

future, we will regulate much more cautiously, with a much greater sense

of what the costs might be.

"My quarrel with the Reagan revolution is that, like most

revolutions, it went too far. Merger policy is a good example. The

conservative critics of antitrust policy are absolutely right when they

say we were wasting resources and costing the country money by

challenging mergers at a microscopic level.

"But I see no reason why we should have policy that regularly lets

through mergers among companies with 20 percent or more of a market,

where there are high barriers to entry by possible new competitors. It

stems from a faith that the market will take care of all problems

eventually. There might be more than a bit of truth in that, but when

does 'eventually' come about?" Pitofsky asked.