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CONTENTS

For America to be displaced by an Asian people long despised and dismissed with contempt as decadent, feeble, corrupt and inept, is emotionally very difficult to accept. The sense of cultural supremacy of the Americans will make this adjustment most difficult.  Lee Kwan Yew 

Economy

Service sector revenues rose 8.1% YTD, to $510.6 billion. Service imports rose 21.6% to $310 billion, while service exports fell 6.3% from a year ago. Read article →

SOE revenues hit $6.64 trillion, up 4.3% YTD while profits reached $375 billion, an increase of 3.9%. Read article →

Listed companies report steady growth in H1. The combined operating revenue of listed companies reached $5 trillion, up 1.6% year on year. Net profits fell 3.4%. Read article →

Finance

E-commerce has created 70 million jobs and online retail sales have ranked first globally for ten consecutive years. Now the government is moving to make life easier for small merchants:

  • 2019: The first Intelligent E-commerce Logistics Integrated Industrial Park, above, was proposed for Changsha. A one-stop, professional operation would handle e-commerce finances, warehousing, logistics, business cultivation and business information sharing for small, medium and micro enterprises. 
  • 2020: Two Phase I buildings completed and the main structure of the other two are expected to be completed in the second half. The whole Phase I is anticipated to put into operation in the first half of next year.
  • 2021: Each warehouse in the park is equipped with a two-way interoperable loading and unloading platform and robotic intelligent sorting. 20 small trucks and 4 large trailers can load at the same time, and 1,200 parking spaces are available for congestion-free, one-stop intelligent loading and unloading.
  • 2022: Phrase II started. It will house 300 enterprises in e-commerce, pharmaceutical and logistics with a daily delivery throughput of one million orders and an annual transaction volume of ten billion yuan and create 3,000 jobs.
  • 2023: The Ministry of Commerce announced 16 new e-commerce parks will be listed as national demonstration bases, after the digital economy exceeded $7 trillion in 2022, or 42% of GDP. Read article →

Trade

Huawei chip rocks US sanctions / Bloomberg. Huawei and SMIC, China’s top chipmaker, have built an advanced 7-nanometer processor to power its latest smartphone. The Kirin 9000s chip, fabricated in China, is the first to utilize SMIC’s most advanced 7nm technology and suggests that China is making rapid headway in building a domestic chip ecosystem. Read article →

Tip of the iceberg? Qualcomm & Co have dominated 5G modem & RF. Even APPL can't do it internally. But in the M60, Huawei's own, built-in 5G modem + RF uploads/downloads as fast a Qualcomm's X70 PLUS Huawei's comes with a satcom chipset! Say Chinese OEMs sell 700m phones this year. At $30/phone for just the 5G RFFE part, that saves $21 billion+. The Chinese supply chain had 10% market share in 2021. If this rises to 40% by 2025, that's $6B less for foreign RF products. Say Xiaomi develops a modemless SoC (because 5G modem is hard!) + uses Huawei 5G modem. Then QCOM lose $180/phone. None of this happens overnight, but QCOM's future looks bleak. Read article →

Teardown and preliminary analysis of the Huawei processor:

  • Includes CPU, GPU, 5G modem, ISP, DSP + NPU (w/ Ascend lite/tiny cores + TPU)
  • All squeezed into 110mm2 die w/o stacking 
  • 9000S in teardown/testing showed better overall CPU performance & power consumption than 9000 & SD 888 + had better peak CPU performance than SD 8 Gen 1 all this w/o advanced packaging. Read article →
Huawei is still one of Qualcomm’s biggest customers, purchasing 42 million units this year alone. The new Kirin chipsets mean that Qualcomm will ship 50-60 million units less next year, a significant dent in its revenues and R&D investment. Read article →

Western media have ignored Huawei's remarkable array of industrial automation products. Fully automated factories, mines, ports, and warehouses are already in operation, and the first commercial autonomous taxi service has started in Beijing. The company has 10,000 contracts for private 5G networks in China, including 6,000 in factories. Huawei’s cloud division has just launched a software platform for businesses to build proprietary AI systems using their own data. Read article →

The service sector was 56% of GDP in H1, contributed 66% of economic growth, and 70% of foreign investment in China. Emerging sectors like digital culture, digital finance, internet healthcare, online education, and smart logistics are flourishing.  Read article →

Though exporting from China to Europe is cheaper than manufacturing EVs locally, BYDs produced in Europe maintain a 25% cost advantage, due to BYD’s integration of vehicle components and because 75% of its parts, from batteries to power semiconductors, are made in-house. Read article →

41% of Munich's International car manufacturers are Asian. VW, BMW and Mercedes won't have their next-generation EVs until 2025, but VW will invest $700 million in Xpeng, Mercedes is cooperating with BAIC, and BMW is tapping Great Wall for the new electric Mini Cooper. Read article →   

Technology

China's 16MW offshore wind turbine produced a record 384,100 kWh/day, the daily electricity consumption of 170,000 people.

China is building 21 nuclear reactors to generate 21 GW of electricity, according to the IAEA. That's 250% more reactors than any other country (the US has one under construction). Read article →

Last year, Yangtze Memory, YMTC, challenged the world leaders with its 232-layer X3-9070 3D NAND flash chip, but US export controls halted progress. Now YMTC has placed billion-dollar orders with domestic tool suppliers and plans to use domestically sourced equipment to produce better NAND chips at half the current price. Read article → 

Headline timeline:

Society

China just increased personal income tax deductions for child care, parental care, and children’s education. The mainstream takeaway is it's "the latest measures to try to address the country’s rapidly changing demographics and boost household consumption." A different take by Prof. Wei CUI of UBC: "Calls for government intervention to revive the Chinese economy get the predictable response: tax cuts for the richest. Years after years of such policy show who shape the policy discourse in/about China." Read a chapter from his book: "China’s exemption from the PIT moved up—as opposed to down--the income distribution as China got richer in the last two decades. This has led to a dramatic reduction in the redistributive effect." Read chapter →

Environment

Coastal regions have introduced local standards for the discharge of contaminated aquaculture water, and the Environment Ministry will provide satellite monitoring. China has room to expand deepwater aquaculture as current production, 390,000 tonnes, is just 1% of freshwater production. Read article →

Expats

My Auguest, 2023 trip to China
 
Peter Lee

The visa process has an extra layer of complexity. You first have to fill out a long form digital application including employment and education history, what kind of jobs your children have, and so on. And you need an invitation letter, a real one with a signature and seal. You also upload a photo of yourself which turned out to be a pain in the *ss. I spent a day trying to take the photo myself and it kept getting rejected on upload. Then I went to a passport photographer around the corner and he got it right in 5 minutes. There is presumably some biometric secret sauce in the photo that they don’t get if you just snap a selfie.

Anyway, the application gets transmitted to Beijing and then you get a link to book an appointment at your local consulate. I’ve included a link to a description of the process in the transcript.

Since travel to China out of LA seems to be at pretty low ebb, I had no problem getting an appointment. Handed in my application, got the visa a couple days later.

Travel to Asia was rather ghastly thanks to the US effort to throttle direct flights between the US and China. To get an affordable airfare I did a round trip to Seoul from LA on United and added on separate tickets from and to Seoul and my mainland destinations on Korean Airlines.

Do not do this especially if you fly United, which will not deign to assist you by checking your bags through to your final destination if your entire itinerary is not on a United reservation.

This translated in a rather unpleasant three hour ordeal in Seoul of going through immigration and picking up my bags at Terminal 1 to go through customs, humping the luggage on a crowded bus 18 kilometers to Terminal 2, and doing the whole check-in/emigration/security routine at that end to make my connection.

On the other hand, I am eternally grateful to Korean Airlines Tianjin for checking my bags through to LA on United on the return trip despite the two-ticket situation, so I could just transit via the shuttle train to my departure terminal at Incheon. That’s a plug, folks.

I also signed up to link my US credit card to my WeChat account via Alipay. My experience here was less than glorious.

I was primed to join the cashless revolution but the first time I “sao-ed” which is to say “scanned” a QR code to make a payment to the cab driver for my trip from Beijing Capital Airport I got a notice that I had to complete an Anti-Money Laundering/Know Your Customer procedure prior to my first in-country transaction, including uploading a picture of myself and my passport, before I could do the WeChat money pay thing. That night the network was too busy to handle the upload. Next morning I completed the upload and was advised that processing would take three business days. Grrr.

Which is what it took. Actually more like four or five calendar days because there was a weekend in between.

Then I apparently got onto the Wechat or Alipay algorithm’s naughty list by trying to send somebody RMB 1800 to pay him to get some books for me. I got a notice that the transaction was blocked because the recipient was suspected of kickbacks, reinvoicing, and what not. Which seemed rather unfair to my buddy over there and was probably simply an excuse for the PRC government not liking the idea of money from overseas circulating to locals without a documented transaction.

Indeed, my payment experience via WeChat went downhill from there with frequent calls to enter my PIN number even for the smallest transactions, blocked transactions, and finally a requirement for me to upload a picture of myself, my passport, my credit card AND a credit card bill in order to remove a block.

At the same time some transactions, small and large, worked. I’m not sure if it was because the recipients were known and trusted actors, or whether because they were using Alipay as their front end (there are other payment processors and it seems those transactions get blocked).

By the end of the trip I just gave up and made sure I had enough cash in pocket to handle the transactions I wanted to make. The Bank of China ATM happily spits out $300 worth of RMB from a US account per day so I did not have any liquidity issues.

Despite the no cash horror stories, I had no difficulties. The Chinese government requires that merchants accept cash, they do, and they pretty much all could make change. The only exception I encountered was cab drivers. So I just needed enough small bills to pay the exact fare or close to it.

The hotels I stayed in and some local merchants who cater to international visitors could also directly accept a US credit card using a special hand-held terminal.

I had a rather amusing experience trying to change US dollars into RMB.

In olden times, this was a three minute affair at a hotel or a bank. Well, in 2023, the hotel was out of the money changing business, the first bank I went to could only offer to convert my dollars into an RMB cash card maybe in an hour when the manager got back from lunch, and the second bank, Bank of China, had no cash in its ATM (Sunday afternoon), so I had to wait for a counter appointment.

Once I got to the window, my passport was subjected to an agonizing 20 minute inspection and after another twenty minutes of consultation between clerk and manager and form-filling I got my RMB. Success!

Well, based on my experience, bottom line is the WeChat Alipay system is unreliable for foreign-linked credit cards, foreign credit cards have limited direct acceptance, and your best bet is to make sure you have RMB on hand from an ATM.

I should say that all my payment headaches related to the fact that I was a foreign passport holder with a foreign phone number and foreign credit card. For locals with a national ID card and a local phone number and bank account the celebrated WeChat system apparently works as seamlessly as advertised.

Foreigners will find the assistance of a local buddy more than a little helpful.

For instance, I couldn’t sign up for the train ticket purchasing app without a local phone number, so if I wanted to buy a train ticket beforehand—which is what I needed to do since the line I was taking, that’s Beijing to Tianjin, was heavily traveled and sold out “on the day of”, the hotel concierge had to book it ahead for me on their app.

Then I had to go to the train station to pick it up upon presentation of my passport.

Note well, always have your passport handy since it’s a stand-in for a national ID card and pretty much every activity is “Real ID”, that is to say linked to a verified identity document.

To make an observation based on my previous life experience flogging industrial controls, it appears that the PRC and I guess the United States have both pivoted away from a “distributed control, filtering, and exception reporting” model to centralized data collection and processing.

You see, back in the early days of computing, bandwidth and storage were premium cost items so systems were set up with microcontrollers near the scene of the action that did signal processing, that is to say filtered out insignificant data and only sent the important stuff—the “exceptions”-- to the central computer for storage and computing.

Nowadays, there’s plenty of bandwidth and storage so system operators can have it all. Which, in the case of visas, financial transactions, train tickets, and whatnot pretty much anything that can get captured is captured and sent to the mothership to be mauled by the algorithm.

So you get masses of data fed into the system from all localities so that some AI program at the center can spit out some bullsh*t tasking for me to upload my credit card bill.

Well, that’s progress, I guess.

I’d say that with knowledge in advance the PRC is navigable for foreigners with patience and an understanding attitude, though I think the WeChat/Alipay/foreign credit card system is not quite ready for prime time.

A note on VPNs. I did not check out my ExpressVPN. For various reasons I had made the pricey decision to go with international roaming from my US phone service and discovered that in China it works just like a VPN and it’s quite reliable.

From my limited exposure, there’s lot’s a VPN solutions floating around China, maybe Hong Kong providers, maybe mysterious IP addresses getting passed around, and all of them vulnerable to getting shut down.

One interesting nugget: I was told that the only dead cinch lock for a black screen i.e. a Great Firewall block is trying to use any in-China VPN to access, of all things, Tiktok. It’s a testimony, I guess, to what can be accomplished when a cyberprovider cooperates completely with a government.

I tried to test this information by installing the TikTok app on my phone but was advised I had to upload not just my driver’s license but a snapshot of me holding up a six digit code they had texted me like a hostage in a proof of life photo.  And then they’d let me know. Update: as of August 30, 2023 I have not been granted membership in the planet’s premier trash app.

Moving on from the nuts and bolts of navigating China in 2023, as I expected I enjoyed my trip to China.

Except for the part where I got COVID. Again. You can read about my COVID a la USA experience in July 2022 at the episode linked in the shownotes.

COVID 2023 in China wasn’t nearly as bad, though still unpleasant. Scratchy throat, then fatigue and aching joints, then fever, then congestion and mucus. Took about a week to get over it completely.

I had signed up for the International SOS medical assistance package for travelers (plug: highly recommend this service), so I called them and they made an appointment for me with a nice doctor at a nice hospital. The doctor told me Yes I had COVID, no they weren’t interest in contact tracing or what strain it was, and prescribed me Paxlovid and some ibuprofen and Claritin to mitigate my symptoms.

There is anecdotal evidence that the Eris strain or some equivalent is romping around China but nobody acts concerned. The general attitude, encouraged by the government I think, is It’s mild, nothing like the mankiller of 2021, you get over it in a couple days which, in terms of severe symptoms if not contagiousness is pretty much the case. Very few people wear masks. I was on the Beijing subway and as a rough estimate masking was about 5-10%.

I had been quite interested in comparing side effects and COVID and especially long COVID outcomes between the mRNA universe and China, which had pretty much stuck to traditional vaccines. However I was told hospitals had been instructed not to keep records so there was no data to be had. This does not strike me as the CCP’s MO and I suspect somewhere there’s a bunch of statistics on what went down, but I don’t think we’ll see a detailed public accounting of China’s messy COVID endgame any time soon.

Somebody who had been caught up in the last desperate effort to maintain the Zero Covid system in Shanghai as Omicron overwhelmed it in December 2022 told me when they tested positive the trace dragnet caught 1000 people. When they emerged from lockdown and went to their usual local noodle joint, the proprietor made a point of telling them they were responsible for the restaurant getting shut down for a week at a cost of 12,000 RMB. The food supply system apparently was something of a shambles where the well to do could get food at a price, the poor were out of luck, and the people with passes to bring in food from the countryside were profiteering big time.

It is playing with fire to p*ss off Shanghainese this badly, so I would expect that the CCP is hoping and praying that there isn’t another severe lockdown-worthy outbreak any time soon.

Moving on to matters of general tourist interest, I didn’t get around Beijing as much as I’d hoped because of La Corona. But the massive subway system made traveling around town easy and the part of Beijing I was in was clean, friendly, and well-maintained.

Driving etiquette in Beijing has improved markedly since the last time I was there, apparently thanks to a system that focuses traffic enforcement on a network of sensors and cameras at intersections that delivers fines automatically to one’s smart phone, instead of relying on the detested traffic police.

In a “I did not expect that” moment I was told that punctuality has become a prized virtue in China. I guess I’ll have to spend some more time in country to confirm this.

The pleasant surprise on this trip was visiting Tianjin, which I buzzed into via a thirty minute high speed rail trip from Beijing.

From decades back I had remembered Tianjin as the Newark, New Jersey of China: a grimy, portly appendage to a world city.

Well, surprise, surprise.

The city fathers and mothers of Tianjin have been able to bootstrap the city as a tourism destination by lavishly rebuilding the Hai He River district into a glittery Bund-style pedestrian artery and skyscraper-lined waterway bustling with excursion boats, and by turning sections of the city into a pseudo-Europe theme park. Bridges have been converted from functional steel and concrete structures into Beaux-Arts follies with girls riding on dragons and suchlike.

There’s a so-called Italian pedestrian district lined with German, Italian, and Spanish-themed restaurants and a big monument to Marco Polo who, if memory serves, never visited there. The final imprimatur of top tier Asian tourism—that’s the presence of Filipino bar bands—attests to Tianjin’s achievement.

You also have a Ferris wheel modeled on the London Eye and a big aquarium, neither of which is listed in the Lonely Planet guide and neither of which had available tickets, so I was unable to enjoy these attractions.

An interesting sidelight to the WeChat digital economy is that transaction ease seems to translate into a lot of consumption, impulse buying and otherwise by Chinese citizenry. Instead of hassling about tracking down train schedules, train tickets, aquarium show times, aquarium tickets, and what not it’s just click and go.

As a result, things sell out. So you gotta plan ahead!

I am a bit averse to go meta about China since I was only there a couple weeks and didn’t have access to Li Yuan’s listserve of CCP-hating local interlocutors. But I am sure loyal readers expect a hot take, and come what may I cannot disappoint my loyal readers.

So here it goes!

US-China decoupling is real, self-reinforcing, the new status quo and the future.

On my way to the airport I asked at the front desk if they could put in couple stamped and addressed postcards of mine into the hotel mail since I didn’t have time to make it to the post office.

The guy’s face fell and he was all like “oh, I dunno bro aah…” Instead of yelling “It’s just a frickin’ postcard FFS” I let the matter drop. After all, America and Americans are suspect for good reason.

As I’ve pointed out on my twitter several times, US aggression against the PRC, misleadingly packaged as US-China tensions, is a virtual full-spectrum assault, only stopping short, for now anyway, of direct military action. The US is determined to degrade the PRC’s military, economic, and international security and domestic social and political stability in all available dimensions. Concessions are tactical; attacks are strategic.

For me, the canary in the coal mine is Apple. My back of the envelope prediction is that total economic warfare against the PRC won’t happen until Apple has a flight path to exiting China and the US can bring out the big guns without cratering a US company whose valuation underpins a 10% chunk of NASDAQ and a big share of US retirement portfolios.

It’ll probably happen quicker than you think. Google “Apple leaves China” for several pages of interesting hits.

Another data point for me is some Apple subcontractors are selling their PRC operations to Chinese buyers so they won’t be caught eating a loss when the war balloon goes up.

Core Apple contractor Foxconn is developing India as a production base for the iPhone 15.

I do not view Foxconn jefe Tony Gou’s announcement that he will pursue the Taiwan presidency as a pro-PRC factor in the race. Terry Gou is pro-Terry Gou. I think Foxconn, like TSMC, sees the handwriting on the wall and wants to be in the optimal position to manage any Foxconn exit from China as smoothly and profitably as possible before the US drops the hammer on Apple.

The CCP is well aware of this state of affairs [receipts here for the doubters]. Even as the PRC plays along with the idea that somehow the United States will lose interest in the trillion-dollar anti-China grift that is enriching government contractors, empowering politicians, and providing a mission for patriotic big media, the CCP is planning for the worst case.

The worst case being some crisis, genuine or manufactured, that leads to complete breakdown of relations between the United States and China and US moves to to sever China from the world economic system and collapse PRC rule, using the anti-Cuba/Iraq/North Korea/Russia trade and financial sanctions regimes as a template.

That means trade shrinks. Investment dries up. The economy staggers. Political repression increases. The social contract between the CCP and the Chinese public evaporates. Bad things if you’re Xi Jinping, the CCP and pretty much anybody who cares about the future of the PRC project.

The CCP perhaps hopes Western failure in Ukraine will slake the G7 thirst for anti-authoritarian jihad and hopes economic relations and foreign direct investment with China will recover but hope is not a plan. Not with the United States pumping hundreds of billions of dollars to finance global anti-PRC economic, military, diplomatic, political, soft power, and media initiatives.

I believe this increasingly plausible worst-case scenario is driving a lot of PRC decision-making (and drives the barrage of resentful criticism of PRC policy choices in the Western media).

Instead of directly confronting the US, the PRC is counterprogramming via BRICS and via its work to internationalize the RMB yuan as a plausible international trade, finance, and debt alternative to the current model of debt peonage to the IMF and Western commercial lenders. So if the US goes all-out on anti-PRC sanctions it will find that a certain chunk of nations will be willing and able to side with China, just as they have spurned US blandishments to join the Ukraine united front against Russia.

I think PRC’s domestic policy—its current restraint on economic stimulus as it tries instead to keep the economic wheels turning through other incentives—may also reflect this “worst case” outlook.

Perhaps instead of opening the money spigot to rescue Countrywide [meant Country Garden; sorry!] and other big private developers, the CCP is sticking with a tight-money policy to force a restructuring of the property industry to reduce its leverage, make it less dependent on financial engineering, and recast home ownership as an affordable public good and less of an opportunity for investment and speculation reliant on offshore dollars.

So the PRC is trying to war-harden the country without cratering the economy, and postpone indefinitely the day when America feels it has the advantage and opportunity to escalate the China confrontation to total economic warfare.

The PRC is also actively shaping public opinion to highlight China’s virtues and America’s vices and has a fair amount of good material to work with. Thank you gun violence, the Hawaii fire, and Joe Biden!

The disruption of US-China exchanges due to COVID and the relentless US anti-China campaigning is creating a generation of Chinese whose expectations and outlook are shaped by a new Sinocentric reality in which American values and priorities (and, I should say, tourists) are increasingly peripheral.

From my small sample set, I would say that the PRC has done a decent job molding Chinese attitudes to prepare for the new normal of hostility with the United States.

People I spoke to were positive on China’s situation and did not blame Emperor Xi’s insane ambition for the deterioration of relations with the West. Instead they seemed bemused and disappointed that the US has surrendered to a policy of anti-China fear, hate, and aggression to try and stick it to a country 10,000 miles away. Well, maybe some selection bias here because that’s how I feel.

But that’s not the whole story.

There’s a whole generation of people—important people—who grew up and thrived in an environment of US-China engagement. For them, decoupling from the United States--and the damage it has inflicted on their interests and aspirations--is painful. The losers include: entrepreneurs who dreamt of that New York IPO, that US investment deal, that American bank account. Academics who hoped to be treated in the West as valued interlocutors and colleagues and not representatives of a pariah state. Intellectuals who wanted to be accepted and respected as a bridge between Western liberal ideals and PRC socialist practice. They are the people whose opinions and complaints are eagerly sought out and broadcast by the Western press.

The expectations of these elites aren’t on life support, in my opinion. They’re in hospice. Their attitudes are divided between rage and resignation as they anticipate their final exit.

Meanwhile the CCP is recruiting and cultivating new elites centered on the BRICS international regime, a less glamorous, less rewarding, but possibly more resilient order seeking its future in Russia, South Asia, the Middle East, South America, and Africa. They’ll be talking to CGTN and RT instead of sharing their discontents with the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and Bloomberg.

The idea that elite and popular opinionin China could shift aspirations away from Disney, MacDonald’s, and McDonnell Douglas to telenovelas, couscous, and Sukhoi jets is perhaps inconceivable to Americans, but the CCP is trying to make it happen.

As they say, in the old world there is a new world struggling to be born.

Will the CCP succeed?

The product it’s pitching to its citizens and to the world—that’s multilateralism via economic engagement—is fundamentally more attractive to a lot of countries than the deficit driven global War to Save Democracy that the US is peddling. Given money, perseverance, luck, and time the PRC might be able to thread the needle.

But…there’s that “time” thing. There’s the rub.

My opinion is, if the CCP is succeeding, in other words if it shows significant progress in establishing a robust parallel international order that can shield it from US economic aggression, the US will start a hot war to see if it can truly f*ck China up.

Because the only US response to failure is escalation. And that’s why my profile says “pessimist”.  Read article →

Statistics

Governance

The personal income tax (PIT) plays a minor role in China’s tax system: its revenue pales not only against revenues from taxes on goods and services and the corporate income tax, but even in comparison with social insurance contributions—which can be seen as simply another set of taxes on wage income. By contrast, among OECD countries, the PIT generated 23.5% of tax revenue in 2016 on average. Yet, at the same time, the PIT plays an outsized role in the imagination of China’s affluent urban class: the rich in China talk about the PIT as though they live in a country where the PIT matters. Unfortunately, these two facts are not unrelated: the opposition to the PIT by China’s rich has been breathtakingly successful in undermining the tax during the last decade. Read article → 

Propaganda

The fundamental reason China will struggle to dethrone the dollar / FT (paywall) / “Making a currency a global standard demands deep trust in its issuer’s openness and reliability.” Read more →

Shadow agents in China’s talent war help recruit outstanding overseas scientists to boost self-reliance / SCMP (paywall). / “A growing number of talent agencies are using low-key methods that stay firmly out of the spotlight in their global search for scientists.” [The 'recruits' are overseas Chinese, of course]. Read more →

History

Diplomacy

The Pheu Thai Party lost the vote in Thailand’s May elections, but it is now running the country under the leadership of Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin. The new government will likely maintain a close relationship with Beijing on issues, including Myanmar, that may not align with the interests of the United States. Read more →

Yang Jiemian: "There are three major schools of thought within American international relations theory: realism, liberalism and constructivism, each of which essentially serves U.S. hegemony and leadership." U.S. Hostility Towards China and American ExceptionalismRead more →

The West is currently moving from anger to bargaining. Acceptance will come in due time.
Denial
Anger
Bargaining 👈West is here
Depression
Acceptance

Defense

Following reports of an ultra-sensitive magnetic detector for advanced US submarines, researchers successfully tested the world's first Terahertz submarine-detector. Terahertz technology, between microwave and infrared radiation frequencies, has high data rates and low latency, key for 6G. The terahertz device identified minuscule surface vibrations caused by low-frequency sound sources beneath the open sea, effectively detecting submarines with unparalleled precision. Read article →

China’s third and most advanced aircraft carrier is preparing for sea trials. The Fujian, a 1,037-ft (316m) supercarrier, is ready to test its three advanced electromagnetic catapults aircraft launch systems and should join the PLAN as scheduled, in 2025. Read article →
LONG READS:
Bad Debt?

Debt Trap 2.0 and The End of Fukuyama
 
Michael Billington and Hussein Askary 

Francis Fukuyama—who famously proclaimed (and last year retracted) the End of History in 1989—has now brought his omniscient insight to the international debt arena, with an article  , “China’s Road to Ruin: The Real Toll of China’s Belt and Road,” published in the new issue of Foreign Affairs, the magazine of the Council on Foreign Relations. The piece — co-written with Michael Bennon, manager of the Global Infrastructure Policy Research Initiative at the Center on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law— would appear to be the Western establishment’s answer to the explosive growth and influence of the BRICS.
To drive home their point to wary banksters, they assert that this has allowed Western money to go to China: “Under some recent IMF programs, borrowers have continued to service BRI debts through their state-owned enterprises while receiving sovereign debt relief [Western bailout cash] at the national level.”


What our own research shows that this argument, which is not original to Fukuyama and Bennon, originates from the U.S. Treasury Department, in a new version of what we have called “Debt Trap 2.0”  , and was applied in collusion with the International Monetary Fund in Sri Lanka and Zambia.

This new narrative is related to the financial crises of many countries (which have many other causes but not China or the BRI) and the alleged effort by Western powers to carry out “debt relief”. Our conclusions can be summed as follows:

Facts and falsehoods

There are, first of all, several fallacies in these statements:

Magnifying the Chinese role is absurd, since Sri Lanka’s debt obligations to China are a mere 10% of the total external debt of the country, as we revealed in a groundbreaking report on the Sri Lankan debt crisis in June 2022, while Western private bond holders such as American investment fund BlackRock and British Ashmore hold 47%, Japan-based Asian Development Bank 13%, Japan 10%, the World Bank (9%), and the Paris Club and other multilateral and bilateral lenders, including India, hold 12% of the external debt of Sri Lanka. So, 90% of Sri Lanka’s debt belongs to Western or pro-western institutions and but the emphasis is made on China’s 10%, which reveals the absurdity of the allegations.
The Chinese Export-Import Bank has reportedly announced that it will issue a debt moratorium for Sri Lank for two years, meaning that the Sri Lankan government will not have to pay neither the principal nor interests for the years 2022 and 2023 of the US$ 3,8 billion owed to the EX-IM Bank by Sri Lanka. The EX-IM bank is the single largest Chinese lender to Sri Lanka for infrastructure projects. The Ex-Im Bank did the same in the case of Montenegro in 2021.
One of the real elephants in the room is what to do with the short-term, high-interest loans of the Western private creditors. China’s debt is long-term, low interest, and is directed to improving the real economy of Sri Lanka.
Real story 1: bail out Western bond holders!

The IMF’s “staff level agreement”, regarding Sri Lanka, and referenced by U.S. Undersecretary of State Victoria Nuland during her visit to the country earlier this year, was very clear in stressing that the country must make a settlement of its debt to international private sovereign bond holders before the IMF extends any assistance to the country. “Financing assurances to restore debt sustainability from Sri Lanka’s official creditors and making a good faith effort to reach a collaborative agreement with private creditors are crucial before the IMF can provide financial support to Sri Lanka,” said the IMF Staff report after visiting Sri Lanka last September.

As in the case of U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s demanding that China bail out Zambia’s creditors, Nuland faced the same response from China regarding Sri Lanka, that China has its own bilateral mechanisms for debt-relief with such countries in distress.

Yellen, before leaving Davos, Switzerland, to Africa made a statement whose credibility was very doubtful, saying that Chinese Vice-Premier Liu He, assured her during their talks in Davos of China’s support to the U.S. efforts. But the Chinese embassy in Lusaka, the Capital of Zambia, issued a very sharp statement the day Yellen arrived, debunking these statements and scolding the U.S. for contributing to the financial and debt crisis in the world through its inflationary policies and raising of interest rates. The embassy’s statement basically stated that the U.S. should worry about its own debt crisis, which has raised U.S. debt to 31 trillion dollars, making it is a disadvantageous position to dictate how other nations should solve their own problems. China, the statement stressed, is contributing to debt relief and restructuring bilaterally and through well-known processes, such as the Zambia’s Official Creditor’s Committee under the G20 Common Framework.

Real story 2: Keep China out!

It has become clear in the case of Zambia that the second goal of the U.S. drive in collusion with U.S. and Western-controlled IMF is to undermine China’s development cooperation with African and other developing nations under the umbrella of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).

The most important results of the agreement between the IMF and Zambia’s government to get a zero-interest loan of $1.3 billion with a grace period of five-and-a-half years, and a final maturity of 10 years, was indicated in the reports of the IMF staff. To receive the financial support Zambia had to accept specific conditionalities to reduce government spending, but most emphatically to stop borrowing for infrastructure projects.

The IMF staff report in September 2022 stated clearly: “Zambia is dealing with large fiscal and external imbalances resulting from years of economic mismanagement, especially an overly ambitious public investment drive that did not yield any significant boost to growth or revenues.” It asserts that “rapid debt accumulation on the backdrop of deteriorating economic fundamentals has led to unsustainable debt levels and subsequent accumulation of arrears. Debt contracted has mainly been for infrastructure projects in sectors such as roads, education, health and defence.” This is outright sophistry, since the most poisonous part of the debt was accumulated through borrowing in the global bond markets from mainly British and American sources. China’s credits were long term and focused on improving the physical economy and productivity of Zambia.

The other elephant in the room, as we reported in a previous article on Zambia, is that almost all the natural wealth of the country, mainly copper and cobalt, is controlled, produced, and shipped abroad by British companies that have given next to nothing back to the Zambian economy. This point is never taken up in the international discussion about the financial and economic woes of countries like Zambia.

Fukuyama not original

When Fukuyama and Bennon come to the question of Zambia, they are borrowing these arguments of U.S. and IMF officials, playing the role of the advocate of the U.S. government and Western financial interests, not being objective original researchers. It was in Zambia, which the authors call the most recent case of “debt reform,” that was the first case in which China notably prevailed over the “Paris Club” of Western debt stakeholders. Fukuyama and Bennon insist that it was China’s nefarious intent to use the “hidden” language of debt contracts to give itself the upper hand during the supposedly inevitable bankruptcy negotiations.

After spending pages trying to prove a non-existent problem, then adding a mere two paragraphs on “options” available for the West to pursue, they suggest “forming an anti-China ‘debt club.’” The IMF would tighten the “rules” for loan qualifications, and they would “require borrowers to identify” all hidden obligations before any restructuring takes place. “Let them eat their BRI contracts,” they said, seriously.

Most likely, however, this latest “end of history” pronouncement will be swept away even more quickly than the first, as the “BRICS spirit” of global development sweeps such relics into the “historical” dustbin—the “end of Fukuyama”!
 

Typical "BRI debt trap" fallacies

There are three main fallacies in the ‘debt-trap’ narrative when examined closely:

First, in terms of the cause of the debt, countries in debt distress today were often in a debt trap before the BRI came on the scene. The reasons are the economic and financial crises caused by natural disasters, terrorism, wars or civil wars, and pandemics, and massive exploitation by former colonial and neo-colonial powers. Then comes the mismanagement of the finances of these countries often in cooperation with the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, with conditionalities, such as austerity, reducing public investment, and privatization of state assets and utilities.

Second, in terms of debt ownership, BRIX’s research showed that 80 percent of Sri Lanka’s, 70 percent of Pakistan’s, and 77 percent of Zambia’s external debt is owned by Western private and public institutions, while China’s share in 2022 was 10 percent, 15 percent, and 17 percent, respectively for the three countries. Furthermore, both Sri Lanka and Zambia defaulted upon payments of “sovereign bonds” owned by Western private corporations, not upon Chinese loans.

Third, in terms of the nature of the debt, while Western loans are often short-term with high interest rates and lead to unsustainable cycles of indebtedness, China’s loans to developing countries are long-term and low-interest credits contributing to improved infrastructure, which in turn lead to increased productivity and economic growth, thus to greater wealth and income for these countries, enabling them to service their debt comfortably.

Therefore, there is a ‘qualitative’ difference between Chinese and Western loans. Chinese loans should be considered a ‘debt-relief’ not a ‘debt-trap’”. Brix Sweden.

* Michael Billington is Asia desk editor of Executive Intelligence Review magazine (Washington D.C.) ** Hussein Askary is Vice-Chairman of the Belt and Road Institute in Sweden.
Getting by
Life as a Migrant Food Delivery Rider in Shanghai
Life as a Migrant Food Deliverer in Shanghai

Making ends meet on $1,064 a month, for a separated family of three


XINYI QU AND ZICHEN WANG
 

Q: "How much did you earn this month?"
A: “I completed a total of 1,300 orders this month, and the average pay per order is 6 yuan. So, in total, I earned 7,800 yuan. Then last month, I had to pay 200 yuan for refunding a damaged cake. I also spent 200 yuan to repair my electric bike last month. So, in total, I received a salary of 7,400 yuan."


Q: "So, how much money can you save in a month?"
A: "I can't save much money; I have a mortgage back in my hometown and have to make a monthly payment of 2,600 yuan. This is the 9th year of paying off my mortgage, and I have 14 more years to go. I have a wife and child living in a county town, and I send them 2,000 yuan a month for living expenses."

Q: "Is 2,000 yuan enough for the household's living expenses?"
A: "If it were in Shanghai, it definitely wouldn't be enough. But back in my hometown, my wife is frugal with living expenses, so we can manage. The tuition and other costs for the child are also manageable if we're careful with spending."

Q: "Do you have any other expenses? Any personal expenses?"
A: "In Shanghai, I rent a bunk bed for myself, which costs 1,000 yuan a month. Even this 1,000 yuan-bed is considered very low by Shanghai standards."

Q: "Yeah, that makes sense. So what do you do about meals?"
A: "I cook my own meals and never eat out. If I cook for myself, it costs about 20 yuan a day, which comes out to 600 yuan a month. I try to save by doing this."

Q: “With just 20 yuan a day, do you get enough to eat?"
A: "When I'm hungry, I'll buy some steamed buns to have a quick bite and fill up my stomach. If I'm running a lot of deliveries, I'll buy a steamed bun."

Q: "So with this lifestyle, how much money can you save in a month?"
A: "I spend 300 yuan a month on renting a battery. Normally, I smoke a little; I buy low-end cigarettes that cost 10 yuan a pack, and I go through a pack a day because I'm so tired. That's another 300 yuan a month. As for clothes, I basically don't buy any. I just wear my work uniform, alternating between two sets."

Q: "So with all these miscellaneous expenses, how much money can you actually save in a month? Have you ever calculated it?"
A: "I did the math myself. My mortgage is 2,600 yuan, I send 2,000 yuan to my wife and kid, that's 4,600 yuan. Then rent and utilities are 1,000 yuan, so that makes it 5600 yuan. Food costs me 600 yuan a month, so that's 6,200 yuan, right? I spend 300 yuan on battery rental and another 300 on cigarettes, so that's 6,800 yuan. My salary is 7,800 yuan, minus 200 yuan for damaged food and cakes, and another 200 yuan for maintenance fees. That leaves me with 600 yuan for the month. After I top up my phone for 50 yuan, how much is left? 550 yuan."

Q: "After all this hard work, you can save less than 600 yuan a month. Do you think life like this makes you happy?"
A: "What's there to be unhappy about? There's no other option. I do whatever job is available. At least it covers the household expenses. My wife and child can get by, and I can even manage to save a little over 500 yuan, right?"

Q: "Do you feel that the mortgage for your house puts a lot of financial pressure on you?"
A: "Yes, there's pressure from the mortgage, but there's no other option. I grew up in the countryside, in the mountains. The village I come from doesn't even have schools anymore, just a few people left. I have a child now. That's why I bought a house in the county town. To attend school there, I have to have a house. You know what I mean? Without a house, my child can't go to school. There's just no other way."

Q: “Teachers at the school might ask about your family situation. Would you tell your child about your job?"
A: "I usually don't talk about my job because, to be honest, if you say you're in food delivery, people generally look down on you. I can't even tell my kid about it now, right? Fearing it might affect his thoughts. But it doesn't matter when my child grows up. This month I managed to save more than 500 yuan. Last month the weather was hotter, this month is cooler, so I can make more deliveries. Just have to work hard myself." Pekingology.

REVIEWS

Audible China!

 
The 2023 edition is out and, with it, the new Audible version. Listen and wonder!

It's the only book that explains all three elements of China's success:
 
  1. Talent at the Top: Only the brightest, most idealistic people are are admitted to politics–a policy unchanged in 2200 years.
  2. Data in the Middle: policies are implemented, tracked, and optimized based on terabytes of data. The PRC is the world's largest consumer of public surveys.
  3. Democracy at the Bottom: ordinary people, all unpaid amateurs, assemble twice a year to check the stats and sign off on new legislation. Policies need a minimum of 66% support to become law. That's why 95% of Chinese say the country is on the right track.
The proof? There are more hungry children, more poor, homeless, drug addicted, and imprisoned people in America than in China.  

Why China Leads the World
investigates why the epidemic accelerated the change of global leadership from America to China and examines China’s bigger, steadier economy, its science leadership, stronger military, more powerful allies, and wider international support.

Crammed with charts, footnotes, and lengthy quotes, Why China Leads the World is a profoundly disturbing book that helps readers understand the tectonic shift and adapt to this new era–and even thrive in it.
***
The size of China's displacement of the world balance is such that the world must find a new balance. It is not possible to pretend that this is just another big player. This is the biggest player in the history of the world. Lee Kuan Yew: The Future of US-China Relations. The Atlantic.  
***
The Coronavirus accelerated the pace of change of global leadership from America to China. There are now more hungry children, more poor, homeless, drug addicted, and imprisoned people in America than in China. 

Suddenly, China's larger, steadier economy, its leadership in science, its stronger military, more powerful allies, and wider international support have handed it a lead that widens every day.  Crammed with direct quotes from its movers and shakers, charts, and footnotes, Why China Leads the World tells a remarkable tale, explains a tectonic shift, and helps you adapt to this new era, and even thrive in it. 
 ***
If we could just be China for one day we could actually authorize the right decisions. Thomas L. Friedman. The New York Times  

300 pages, 27 charts and graphs. $9.99 on Amazon and in bookstores worldwide.

Atrocities?

 

For decades, Western media have been narrating the same story about China being this brutal “dictatorship” whose people are killed at the hands of the criminal communist regime, giving the Tiananmen Square massacre as a prime example of the brutality of the Chinese government, wherein supposedly scores of students were killed at the hands of the People’s Liberation Army. However, a new book emerged proving that these claims are false and have no foundation to them except for Washington’s aspirations to tarnish the image of the Chinese Communist Party.

Atrocity Fabrication and Its Consequences: How Fake News Shapes World Order, a new book by A. B. Abrams, highlights that there never were any killings in the infamous Tiananmen Square back in 1989 as had been spread by Western propaganda for decades, and it was revealed that the entire affair was but a mere attempt at showing China as the villain in the geopolitical arena. The book underlines that no killings, let alone a massacre as is proclaimed, took place in Tiananmen Square.

How did the U.S. succeed in manipulating the mainstream narrative and have millions upon millions of people believe that China initiated a mass murder of its own people—young college students—crushing them with tanks and shooting them down with machine guns? The answer is simple: the manipulation of public perception through the press. This could be done using media out of context and providing an incomplete version of the truth.

For example, the most infamous piece of media “documenting” the crime to ever exist is a video showing a tank marching onto a person alleged to have been a student, and right as the tank gets close enough to the young man and stops, the video is cut, with there being some text accompanying the video hinting or proclaiming that the tank went on to run over the protester. However, that could not be further from the truth. In reality, other protesters rushed to the scene and accompanied him from there as the tank was standing in place waiting for him to comply and get out of its way.

The book argues that all the acts committed by the United States were in a bid to “justify wars of conquest and exploitation” and generate multi-billion-dollar profits for the notorious military-industrial complex, as reported by CovertAction Magazine.

Abrams highlighted that the Tiananmen Square protests initially took place not as a push for Westernization or the downfall of the Chinese government. Instead, their primary focus was on reinforcing the principles of China’s 1949 Communist Revolution and addressing the issue of corrupt officials who had deviated from Maoist principles.

This movement encompassed not only students but also a significant number of workers, who exhibited a stronger anti-CCP stance. Their collective objective aimed at the establishment of a socialist democracy within the framework of the movement.

The book cited a cable from the U.S. Embassy in Beijing that WikiLeaks published in 2016. The leak included reports on the eyewitness account of a Chilean diplomat and his wife who were present when the PLA made it to Tiananmen Square to disperse the protesters. The pair made it in and out of the square numerous times without any harassment and observed no mass firing of weapons into the crowds. They never saw any use of lethal force, to begin with.

Moreover, the book cited former Washington Post Beijing Bureau chief Jay Mathews who, in 1998, admitted that “all verified eyewitness accounts say that the students who remained in the square when troops arrived were allowed to leave peacefully.”

It also cited Reuters  correspondent Graham Earnshaw, who spent the night of June 3-4 at the center of Tiananmen Square and reported that most of the students left the square peacefully with the remainder of them being persuaded to do the same.

As is customary, the main source the Western media used to claim that a massacre took place was an anonymous student from Qinghua University making claims to the Hong Kong press, who then made it to the British media.

Still, BBC‘s Beijing correspondent James Miles said there was no massacre.

Western reporting had conveyed the wrong impression and protesters who were still in the square when the army reached it were allowed to leave after negotiations.

The narrative was also completely spun out of proportion, with the perpetrators being painted as the victims of a crime that was never committed in the first place. The book underlined that those who did die in Beijing during the events lost their lives in street battles between the PLA and insurgents far from the square. Reports from the U.S. Department of State underlined that the unarmed PLA officers were attacked with petrol bombs, burning many alive.

Uyghurs, another ‘crime’ China committed

The hoax built around Tiananmen Square was a blueprint for U.S. media campaigns aimed at showing the Chinese government in a bad light, as Washington went on to accuse Beijing of perpetrating a genocide against the Uyghur people in Xinjiang province.

The book stressed that the claims about the so-called Uyghur genocide relied on nothing but hardline extremist U.S.-funded anti-China groups. Namely, they were funded by the CIA-affiliated National Endowment for Democracy, which was tasked with carrying out what the notorious spy agency had done alone under the covers for decades.

Amid the claims of Beijing genociding the Uyghurs, the Uyghur population in Xinjiang saw an increase of 25% between 2010 and 2018 instead of the population experiencing a contraction. Even facilities the West claimed to have been “concentration camps” in which Uyghurs were killed en masse and “brainwashed” or “indoctrinated” appeared to have been a logistics park, a regular detention center, and elementary and middle schools.

Xinjiang looks good, safe, and secure, and all the people I spoke with seemed happy about it, former London Metropolitan Police Officer Jerry Grey, who spent a lot of time traveling in Xinjiang, said.

“Uyghurs in China have been growing faster than the majority Han Chinese in part because they weren’t subject to the one-child policy, they have 20,000 mosques built […] Uyghur children can get into top universities easier than Han Chinese, and have halal foods prepared for them in canteens and they have a prayer area on campus,” Daniel Dumbrill, a Canadian businessman and Chinese political analyst said.

“Portraying an adversary as committing particularly egregious crimes, especially when one intends to initiate military action or other hostile measures against the adversary, has consistently provided an effective means of moving public and international opinion and justifying [US imperial] actions,” Abrams said in his book.

Yugoslavia

The book also shed light on the U.S. propaganda focused in the 1990s on Serb leader Slobodan Milosevic, a socialist who sought to keep Yugoslavia together, accusing him of genocide in Kosovo and elsewhere.

Milosevic, a socialist, aimed to maintain the unity of Yugoslavia and prevent its fragmentation. This effort was driven by his desire to counteract Western nations’ potential expansion of influence and the establishment of U.S. military bases in a strategically vital area.

Interestingly, the most severe instances of ethnic cleansing during the war were actually executed by the Croats through Operation Storm, a plan devised by the CIA.

The Clinton administration additionally provided support to the Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA), which sought to establish an ethnically homogeneous Albanian state. This endeavor involved targeting Serbs and other minority groups.

Financing from the drug trade played a significant role in sustaining the KLA, leading the State Department to label it a “terrorist organization”. The NATO North Atlantic Council identified the KLA as the primary instigator of violence in Kosovo.

The narrative of genocide and the Serbs running concentration camps once again heavily relied on the testimony of an individual who openly admitted to not witnessing any killings—propagandist reporter Roy Gutman. This account was eventually discredited when a British journalist visited an alleged death camp, discovering that the inmates had voluntarily sought refuge from the nearby conflict in surrounding villages.

Yugoslavia was a highly successful state that united numerous contemporary Baltic nations under the banner of communism, and it met its demise when the United States and NATO waged a war against it, killing hundreds of civilians in the notorious bombing campaign it launched on the country in order to “sow democracy” there.

Syria

The same man who was one of the main reasons behind the collapse of Yugoslavia was almost able to do the same with Syria. Gutman played a major role in another similar war launched over a decade later against Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad.

The propaganda effort pushed by Gutman was similar to the one he peddled earlier, with it including the mass murder of people at the hands of the government without any evidence backing up these claims.

Western media and regimes falsely accused Al-Assad of carrying out attacks with chemical weapons against his own people while the attacks were likely carried out by U.S.-backed terrorists.

Back in November, the Grayzone website published a series of leaks that expose how senior officials of the OPCW censored this explosive finding in the Syrian city of Douma.

In its investigation, the website stated that “in the early days of the OPCW’s investigation of an alleged chemical attack in Douma, Syria, expert toxicologists ruled out chlorine gas as the cause of death for more than 40 civilians reported at the scene.”

The Korean War: Another ‘atrocity’

The Korean War, a war peddled by the United States that wound up splitting one people into two, was presented to the public as a “humanitarian intervention” aimed at rescuing the local population from communist forces. To establish this narrative, the Pentagon sponsored a propaganda film, titled The Crime of Korea narrated by Humphrey Bogart. This film falsely attributed atrocities committed by the South Korean government, with U.S. support, to the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea.

This narrative gained traction within the U.S. media and significantly bolstered the perception of the war as “morally justified”. An influential Timemagazine column titled “Barbarity” furthered this perspective by describing a communist massacre in Taejon, which subsequent investigations revealed was actually perpetrated by South Korean troops allied with the U.S.

Charles E. Potter, Chairman of the Senate Subcommittee on Korean Atrocities and appointed by Senator Joseph McCarthy, notorious for McCarthyism, which was responsible for the persecution of anyone even thought to be affiliated with any leftist organization or held any left-wing beliefs, emphasized the inhumane acts committed by U.S. adversaries. He recounted gruesome incidents, such as a “Red Chinese” nurse using garden shears to sever a GI’s toes without anesthesia and American POWs being subjected to torture with bamboo spears and confinement in small iron cages until death, with maggots infesting their eye sockets.

However, the accounts presented by Potter contradicted the testimonies of American and British POWs, who indicated that their treatment by captors was generally decent, although they had to attend lectures on communism.

Meanwhile, U.S.-run POW camps subjected DPRK and Chinese prisoners to severe brutality. These inmates were massacred for singing revolutionary songs and subjected to violent coercion to renounce repatriation to their homelands. This strategy aimed to score Cold War propaganda points by portraying defection to the West as a desire born out of the perceived superiority of its political-economic system.

The campaign of propaganda against the DPRK extended well into the 21st century, with increasingly extravagant made-up tales to portray the country in a negative light. Many of these stories were propagated by DPRK defectors, some of whom were influenced or incentivized by South Korea and possibly the CIA.

Shin Dong-hyuk, a defector, collaborated with Washington Postcorrespondent Blaine Harden to write a highly successful book Escape From Camp 14: One Man’s Remarkable Odyssey from North Korea to Freedom in the West. However, this account was later revealed to be a fabrication.

Yeonmi Park, another defector, who charges a speaking fee of $12,500 on Western media outlets, even made the ludicrous claim that her friend’s mother was executed for watching a Hollywood movie.

Lee Soon-ok, yet another defector, testified before a House committee in 2004 that she had witnessed Christians being tortured and burned to death in DPRK political prisons. However, the head of the North Korean Defectors’ Association, Chang In-suk, contradicted this, asserting that Lee was never a political prisoner.

Abrams noted that fabricated reports about DPRK state executions of prominent figures often coincided with the surprising reappearance of these supposedly deceased individuals on camera.

In a CNN report from May 2015, it was alleged that DPRK leader Kim Jong Un had ordered the poisoning and killing of his aunt, Kim Kyong Hui. However, Mrs. Kim appeared in public in January 2020, highlighting the inaccuracy of the claim.

Abrams suggested that these false defector testimonies and biased media coverage were embraced in the West due to the “self-gratification” they provided, seemingly affirming the notion of Western superiority over the least Westernized state. Additionally, they often served as justifications for hostile policies, including economic sanctions, against the DPRK.

The book talks about the demonization of the Russian and Vietnamese governments, as well as that of Libya and Iraq in a bid to validate the Gulf War, while also revisiting numerous cases of U.S. propaganda aimed at subverting its foes while giving impetus to itself and its beliefs in a bid to uphold the unipolar system that it has been trying so hard to keep propped up—to no avail. The recounting of the countless crimes committed by the United States comes as no surprise to many as the latter has done so for decades, and continues to do so, exploiting its hold on the media to give itself the moral high ground over its geopolitical enemies. Monthly ReviewAmazon.

For years, China’s transformation from one of the world’s poorest nations was lauded as a triumph that lifted hundreds of millions of people out of poverty. There were always questions about data reliability and growth sustainability, but the general views on China have recently taken a decidedly sour turn. Concerns abound about state interference in the economy, an ageing population, and high debt level. Making Sense of China's Economy untangles China’s complex economic structure, evolving issues and curious contradictions, and explains some key features of this most puzzling of global economic powerhouses.

This book reveals how factors such as demographics, the initial stage of development in 1978, the transition away from full state ownership and central planning, the dual urban-rural society, and a decentralised governance structure have combined to shape the economy, its development and its reforms. It shows how the pragmatic and adaptive nature of China’s policymaking upends familiar perspectives and hinders simple cross-country comparisons. The book also explores crucial topics including the property market, debt accumulation and environmental challenges.

In this book, Tao Wang innovatively weaves the multiple strands of China’s economy into a holistic and organic tapestry that gives us unique insights from both a Chinese and an international perspective.

This book is critical reading for business leaders, investors, policymakers, students, and anyone else hoping to understand China’s economy and its future evolution and impact, written by a specialist who has studied the country from both inside and out. Amazon.
Is the West prepared for a world where power is shared with China? A world in which China asserts the same level of global leadership that the USA currently assumes? And can we learn to embrace Chinese political culture, as China learned to embrace ours?

Here, one of the world's leading voices on China, Kerry Brown, takes us past the tired cliches and inside the Chinese leadership - as they lay out a roadmap for working in a world in which China shares dominance with the West.

From how, and why, China as a dominant superpower has been inevitable for many years, to how the attempts to fight the old battles are over, Brown digs deeper into the problematic nature of China's current situation - its treatment of dissent, of Xinjiang, Hong Kong, and the severe limitations on its management of relations with other cultures and values. These issues impact the way the West sees China, China sees the West, and how both see themselves.

There are obstacles to the West accepting a more prominent place for China in the world – but just because this will be a difficult process does not mean that it should not happen. As Kerry Brown writes: history is indeed ending, but not how the West thought it would. Amazon

The ISC Report

The ISC (Needham) Report


The Report of the International Scientific Commission for the Investigation of Facts Concerning Bacteriological Warfare in Korea and China (the ISC report), published at the height of the Korean War, validated claims by North Korea and China that the US had launched bacteriological warfare (biological warfare, BW) attacks against both troops and civilian targets in those two countries over a period of several months in 1952.
   

The most vilified document of the 20th Century.

The report’s release in September, 1952, brought a withering international attack. It was roundly denounced by American and British politicians of the highest rank, ridiculed by four star generals, accused of fraud by celebrated pundits, misquoted by notable scientists, and scorned by a compliant Western press. Charges were made against the quality and truthfulness of its science. Its “unstated” political agenda was denounced. The ethics of interviewing captured US pilots was excoriated and its authors were publicly flayed as communist dupes. The report was red baited in the US halls of Congress and deemed unpatriotic to read, and therefore went unread and deliberately forgotten over the years, which has been the fate of Korean War history in general. In subsequent decades, volumes placed in American university library collections were quietly and permanently removed from circulation.
   
When the rare copy came up for auction, it was discretely purchased and disappeared from public view. This critical 67 year old truth commission document from the Korean War was slipping towards oblivion. For these very reasons, historians and truth seekers should exalt the wondrous rebirth of the ISC Report from near extinction with the publication of this new electronic edition. We welcome the sunshine that re-publication brings to a shadowy and suppressed chapter of American Cold War history. (from the introduction by Thomas Powell) 800 pages.  $9.99.

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