Opinion polling for the 2024 Austrian legislative election

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In the run-up to the 2024 Austrian legislative election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Austria. Results of such polls are displayed in this list; the date range for these opinion polls are from the 2019 Austrian legislative election, held on 29 September, to the present day. The next election will be held in 2024.

VdMI quality criteria

In 2017, the Association of Market and Opinion Research Institutes of Austria (VdMI) published quality standards for polls.[1] While some frequent pollsters like Peter Hajek Public Opinion Strategies, IFES, IMAS, SORA, or Spectra are members of the VdMI, others like Unique Research are not, though they adhere to their quality standards. OGM used to be a member but was kicked out in late October 2021 for the use of online-only polling instead of a mix of phone and online polling.[2] OGM argued that while a mixed method was ideal 15 years ago, today it is not necessary any longer, as 90% of households have internet access and younger voters cannot be reached by phone any longer. Other institutes are not members, such as Market or IFDD, and conduct some or all of their polls only online. The polling company Research Affairs, which came under scrutiny amid the Kurz corruption probe, was never a member of the VdMI; they once applied for membership but were rejected because of inadequate methodology.[3][4]

Graphical summary

Poll results

From April 2023

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Method ÖVP SPÖ FPÖ Grüne NEOS KPÖ BIER Others Lead
Unique Research 18–21 Mar 2024 800 Phone & Online 21 21 30 8 8 5 7 0 9
OGM ? ? Online 21 23 27 8 8 4 7 2 4
Market-Lazarsfeld 18–20 Mar 2024 2,000 Online 19 23 27 9 9 5 7 1 4
IFDD 12–15 Mar 2024 1,505 Online 23 22 27 8 8 5 6 1 4
Market 12–14 Mar 2024 800 Online & CAPI 21 22 29 9 10 3 5 1 7
Market-Lazarsfeld 11–13 Mar 2024 2,000 Online 20 22 28 9 10 4 6 1 6
10 March 2024: The KPÖ with Kay-Michael Dankl comes in second behind the SPÖ at the Salzburg city local elections and qualifies for the run-off for Mayor on 24 March[5]
Market-Lazarsfeld 4–6 Mar 2024 2,000 Online 21 23 26 8 12 3 6 1 3
INSA 1–5 Mar 2024 1,000 Online 22 22 31 9 8 8 9
Peter Hajek 26–29 Feb 2024 800 Phone & Online 21 22 30 8 8 3 8 0 8
Market-Lazarsfeld 19–21 Feb 2024 2,000 Online 20 23 26 10 10 3 7 1 3
Market-Lazarsfeld 12–14 Feb 2024 2,000 Online 20 22 27 9 11 3 7 1 5
Market 5–7 Feb 2024 800 Online & CAPI 22 23 29 8 11 2 4 1 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 5–7 Feb 2024 2,000 Online 21 21 28 8 12 3 6 1 7
Market-Lazarsfeld 29–31 Jan 2024 2,000 Online 23 22 27 8 11 2 6 1 4
IFDD 25–28 Jan 2024 1,000 Online 23 23 28 8 9 2 6 1 5
Market-Lazarsfeld 22–24 Jan 2024 2,000 Online 22 23 26 9 10 2 6 2 3
INSA 22–24 Jan 2024 1,000 Online 21 22 31 9 9 8 9
OGM 18–24 Jan 2024 2,017 Online 22 22 28 7 10 6 5 6
Triple M 12–22 Jan 2024 800 Online 20 23 31 9 10 4 3 8
18 January 2024: Dominik Wlazny (alias Marco Pogo) announces the candidacy of the Beer Party (BIER)[6]
Market-Lazarsfeld 15–17 Jan 2024 2,000 Online 23 24 26 10 11 3 3 2
OGM 10–12 Jan 2024 1,005 Online 21 25 29 10 10 2 3 4
INSA 8–10 Jan 2024 1,000 Online 20 23 32 9 9 7 9
Market-Lazarsfeld 8–10 Jan 2024 2,000 Online 21 24 27 10 12 3 3 3
Market-Lazarsfeld 20–27 Dec 2023 2,000 Online 21 23 29 9 11 3 4 6
Market 18–21 Dec 2023 800 Online & CAPI 21 24 30 8 10 2 3 2 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 18–20 Dec 2023 2,000 Online 21 25 30 9 9 3 3 5
Market-Lazarsfeld 11–13 Dec 2023 2,000 Online 21 24 30 9 10 3 3 6
INSA 4–6 Dec 2023 1,000 Online 20 23 30 10 10 7 7
Market-Lazarsfeld 4–6 Dec 2023 2,000 Online 19 24 30 9 12 3 3 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 27–29 Nov 2023 1,000 Online 19 24 31 9 13 3 1 7
Unique Research 22–29 Nov 2023 1,600 Phone & Online 22 22 32 9 9 4 2 10
Market 21–23 Nov 2023 800 Online & CAPI 20 24 30 8 11 2 3 2 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 20–22 Nov 2023 2,000 Online 20 26 29 9 10 4 2 3
OGM 13–16 Nov 2023 1,072 Online 23 25 29 8 9 6 4
Market-Lazarsfeld 13–15 Nov 2023 2,000 Online 20 26 29 9 10 3 3 3
Unique Research 6–9 Nov 2023 800 Phone & Online 20 23 32 9 10 3 3 9
Market-Lazarsfeld 6–8 Nov 2023 2,000 Online 20 25 29 9 10 4 3 4
4 November 2023: The KPÖ announces their candidacy with Tobias Schweiger and Bettina Prochaska as frontrunners[7]
INSA 30 Oct–2 Nov 2023 1,000 Online 21 23 29 9 10 8 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 27–30 Oct 2023 2,000 Online 20 24 30 9 11 3 3 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 23–25 Oct 2023 2,000 Online 20 24 29 9 12 3 3 5
Market 16–19 Oct 2023 800 Online & CAPI 21 24 29 9 10 2 4 1 5
Market-Lazarsfeld 16–18 Oct 2023 2,000 Online 21 24 29 9 11 4 2 5
Peter Hajek 9–12 Oct 2023 800 Phone & Online 22 21 32 10 9 3 3 10
Market-Lazarsfeld 9–11 Oct 2023 2,000 Online 21 25 30 9 10 3 2 5
INSA 2–5 Oct 2023 1,000 Online 23 23 29 9 9 7 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 2–4 Oct 2023 1,000 Online 19 27 30 8 10 2 3 3
Market-Lazarsfeld 25–27 Sep 2023 2,000 Online 21 25 29 9 11 3 2 4
Market 18–20 Sep 2023 800 Online & CAPI 22 24 29 10 9 3 2 1 5
Market-Lazarsfeld 18–20 Sep 2023 2,000 Online 22 25 28 10 10 3 2 3
OGM 11–14 Sep 2023 1,029 Online 23 23 27 9 10 8 4
Unique Research 11–14 Sep 2023 800 Phone & Online 24 21 32 9 9 2 3 8
Market-Lazarsfeld 11–13 Sep 2023 2,000 Online 23 23 29 9 10 3 3 6
INSA 4–7 Sep 2023 1,000 Online 23 22 29 10 10 6 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 4–6 Sep 2023 2,000 Online 22 23 30 10 8 4 3 7
IFDD 29 Aug–1 Sep 2023 1,250 Online 24 23 27 12 8 3 3 3
Market-Lazarsfeld 28–30 Aug 2023 2,000 Online 22 23 30 10 9 3 3 7
Market 4–8 Aug 2023 805 Online & CAPI 21 22 28 11 10 3 4 1 6
INSA 31 Jul–3 Aug 2023 1,000 Online 24 22 30 10 8 6 6
OGM 18–20 Jul 2023 920 Online 24 25 27 9 9 6 2
Market-Lazarsfeld 3–12 Jul 2023 2,000 Online 23 23 30 11 8 3 2 7
INSA 4–6 Jul 2023 1,000 Online 23 22 32 9 9 5 9
Market-Lazarsfeld 26 Jun–5 Jul 2023 2,000 Online 21 25 28 10 11 4 1 3
Unique Research 26–29 Jun 2023 800 Phone & Online 21 23 30 10 8 5 3 7
20 20 28 8 7 4 12 1 8
Market-Lazarsfeld 19–28 Jun 2023 2,000 Online 22 23 26 10 13 4 2 3
OGM 19–22 Jun 2023 1,177 Online 23 24 28 9 9 4 3 4
Peter Hajek 19–22 Jun 2023 800 Phone & Online 24 22 30 9 9 4 2 6
23 19 29 8 6 4 11 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 12–21 Jun 2023 2,000 Online 21 23 27 11 11 4 3 4
Unique Research 12–15 Jun 2023 800 Phone & Online 24 20 30 11 9 5 1 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 5–14 Jun 2023 2,000 Online 23 23 28 11 9 4 2 5
Market 5–7 Jun 2023 800 Online & CAPI 22 20 27 12 11 4 4 5
INSA 5–7 Jun 2023 1,000 Online 24 20 30 10 9 7 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 26 May–7 Jun 2023 2,000 Online 24 21 28 11 11 4 1 4
5 June 2023: Election Commission corrects results: Andreas Babler elected as new SPÖ leader[8]
3 June 2023: Hans Peter Doskozil gets declared as winner of the SPÖ leadership election
Market-Lazarsfeld 26–31 May 2023 489 Online 22 20[a] 27 10 14 6 1 5
511 26 19[b] 31 7 9 3 3 5
IFDD 25–27 May 2023 1,208 Online 22 25[a] 26 10 9 6 2 1
24 26[b] 27 8 8 4 3 1
OGM 22–24 May 2023 1,186 Online 20 24[a] 26 10 10 8 2 2
23 26[b] 28 8 9 4 2 2
23 May 2023: Pamela Rendi-Wagner comes in third in the SPÖ leadership election and steps down as party leader
Market-Lazarsfeld 15–24 May 2023 2,000 Online 21 25 28 10 12 4 3
IFDD 16–18 May 2023 1,250 Online 24 21 27 9 8 7 4 3
Market 12–16 May 2023 800 Online & CAPI 22 24 27 10 10 3 4 3
Market-Lazarsfeld 8–16 May 2023 2,000 Online 21 25 26 11 11 6 1
Unique Research 8–11 May 2023 800 Phone & Online 23 23 29 10 9 6 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 28 Apr–10 May 2023 2,000 Online 21 25 26 12 10 6 1
OGM 24 Apr–4 May 2023 2,289 Online 23 20 28 9 9 7 4 5
INSA 2–4 May 2023 1,000 Online 23 23 30 9 9 6 7
Market-Lazarsfeld 24 Apr–3 May 2023 2,000 Online 21 25 28 10 11 5 3
IFDD 29 Apr–1 May 2023 1,250 Online 24 22 27 9 8 6 4 3
Peter Hajek 24–27 Apr 2023 800 Phone & Online 24 22 29 10 9 3 2 1 5
Market-Lazarsfeld 24–26 Apr 2023 1,000 Online 22 22 28 9 11 5 3 6
OGM 24–26 Apr 2023 1,021 Online 23 20 29 9 8 7 4 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 17–26 Apr 2023 2,000 Online 22 25 27 10 12 4 2
23 April 2023: The KPÖ receives a record 12% in the 2023 Salzburg state election
2019 legislative election 29 Sep 2019 37.5 21.2 16.2 13.9 8.1 0.7[c] 0.1 3.0 16.3

October 2022 to April 2023

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Method ÖVP SPÖ FPÖ Grüne NEOS MFG BIER Others Lead
Market-Lazarsfeld 7–19 Apr 2023 2,000 Online 22 26 27 10 13 2 1
Market-Lazarsfeld 3–12 Apr 2023 2,000 Online 20 25 28 11 14 2 3
INSA 3–6 Apr 2023 1,000 Online 22 25 28 9 10 6 3
Market-Lazarsfeld 27 Mar–5 Apr 2023 2,000 Online 20 23 29 11 13 4 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 27–29 Mar 2023 1,000 Online 21 21[d] 29 10 13 6 3
20 25[a] 28 10 12 5 3
22 16[b] 31 11 13 7 9
Market-Lazarsfeld 20–29 Mar 2023 2,000 Online 21 21 29 10 13 6 8
OGM 20–23 Mar 2023 1,038 Online 23 23 28 10 10 6 5
Unique Research 20–23 Mar 2023 800 Phone & Online 25 24[d] 28 11 9 3 3
21 31[a] 25 11 10 3 6
Market 20–23 Mar 2023 800 Online & CAPI 23 21 29 10 11 4 2 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 13–22 Mar 2023 2,000 Online 23 23 28 11 11 4 5
Market-Lazarsfeld 13–15 Mar 2023 2,000 Online 23 22 27 10 12 4 2 4
Unique Research 6–9 Mar 2023 800 Phone & Online 22 25 31 10 9 3 6
INSA 6–9 Mar 2023 1,000 Online 22 26 27 9 10 6 1
Market-Lazarsfeld 6–8 Mar 2023 2,000 Online 22 24 27 10 9 5 3 3
5 March 2023: The Carinthian state election is taking place. The SPÖ looses 9% and therefore initiates the SPÖ leadership election
Market-Lazarsfeld 20–22 Feb 2023 2,000 Online 19 26 29 10 10 5 1 3
Market 17–21 Feb 2023 800 Online & CAPI 22 24 28 10 11 1 3 1[e] 4
Unique Research 13–16 Feb 2023 800 Phone & Online 24 24 29 10 10 3 5
OGM 12–16 Feb 2023 1,043 Online 22 24 27 10 11 6 3
Market-Lazarsfeld 13–15 Feb 2023 2,000 Online 19 24 28 11 11 6 1 4
INSA 6–9 Feb 2023 1,000 Online 21 24 28 10 11 6 4
Market-Lazarsfeld 6–8 Feb 2023 2,000 Online 19 23 29 11 11 6 1 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 30 Jan–1 Feb 2023 2,000 Online 21 23 29 10 10 6 1 6
29 Jan 2023: The Lower Austria state election is taking place. The ÖVP looses almost 10% making it their worst election result in the states history
Market-Lazarsfeld 23–25 Jan 2023 2,000 Online 20 24 28 9 11 6 2 4
Unique Research 16–19 Jan 2023 800 Phone & Online 22 24 28 12 9 2 3 4
OGM 16–18 Jan 2023 1,002 Online 22 25 27 10 11 5 2
Market-Lazarsfeld 16–18 Jan 2023 2,000 Online 20 25 26 9 12 6 2 1
Market-Lazarsfeld 9–11 Jan 2023 2,000 Online 22 25 25 10 11 6 1 Tie
INSA 2–5 Jan 2023 1,000 Online 22 25 28 9 10 2 4 3
Market-Lazarsfeld 2–4 Jan 2023 2,000 Online 20 25 29 10 9 5 2 4
Market-Lazarsfeld 23–28 Dec 2022 2,000 Online 21 25 28 9 11 4 2 3
Market-Lazarsfeld 19–21 Dec 2022 2,000 Online 20 27 27 9 10 4 3 Tie
Peter Hajek 12–15 Dec 2022 800 Phone & Online 22 24 26 11 11 3 1 2
Market-Lazarsfeld 12–14 Dec 2022 2,000 Online 19 24 30 10 10 5 2 6
INSA 5–9 Dec 2022 1,000 Online 21 27 26 10 8 3 5 1
Unique Research 2–7 Dec 2022 800 Phone & Online 20 26 26 11 10 4 4 Tie
[1] 28 Nov–7 Dec 2022 2,000 Online 21 25 29 9 10 5 1 4
Market 3–5 Dec 2022 804 Online 21 27 29 10 11 1 2 2
Market-Lazarsfeld 28–30 Nov 2022 2,000 Online 21 25 27 10 12 4 1 2
Market-Lazarsfeld 21–23 Nov 2022 2,000 Online 20 25 26 10 13 1 5 1
Market-Lazarsfeld 14–16 Nov 2022 2,000 Online 22 27 25 10 12 1 3 2
OGM 8–10 Nov 2022 1,091 Online 19 24 25 8 10 6 6[f] 1
Peter Hajek 7–10 Nov 2022 800 Phone & Online 22 27[d] 25 10 10 3 3 2
20 32[a] 21 10 12 5 11
Unique Research 7–10 Nov 2022 800 Phone & Online 22 27 25 10 10 3 3 2
Market-Lazarsfeld 7–9 Nov 2022 2,000 Online 22 27 24 11 12 1 3 3
INSA 2–4 Nov 2022 1,000 Online 21 29 23 10 9 2 6 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 31 Oct–2 Nov 2022 2,000 Online 21 26 25 11 12 2 3 1
IFDD 26–28 Oct 2022 1,250 Online 20 27 25 11 11 6 2
19 25 24 8 10 10 4 1
Market-Lazarsfeld 17–25 Oct 2022 2,000 Online 21 26 26 11 11 2 3 Tie
Market-Lazarsfeld 17–19 Oct 2022 2,000 Online 22 27 25 10 10 2 4 2
IFDD 10–14 Oct 2022 1,007 Online 23 28 24 10 10 5 4
Unique Research 10–13 Oct 2022 800 Phone & Online 23 28 24 11 10 2 2 4
Market-Lazarsfeld 10–12 Oct 2022 2,000 Online 22 28 25 10 10 2 3 3
21 27 23 8 8 2 7 4[g][h] 4
9 Oct 2022: President Alexander Van der Bellen was reelected in the first round

September 2021 to October 2022

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Method ÖVP SPÖ FPÖ Grüne NEOS MFG Others Lead
INSA 4–6 Oct 2022 1,000 Online 22 28 23 10 9 3 5 5
Market-Lazarsfeld 3–5 Oct 2022 2,000 Online 22 28 24 9 12 3 2 4
25 Sep 2022: The Tyrolean state election is taking place. The ÖVP suffered its worst-ever result in the state
OGM 23–28 Sep 2022 1,098 Online 22 28 22 10 10 3 5 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 19–27 Sep 2022 2,000 Online 21 27 24 10 12 4 2 3
Market-Lazarsfeld 12–20 Sep 2022 2,000 Online 20 28 23 11 12 4 2 5
Unique Research 7–15 Sep 2022 1,600 Phone & Online 21 29 23 11 9 5 2 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 12–13 Sep 2022 2,000 Online 20 28 22 12 13 3 2 6
INSA 5–8 Sep 2022 1,000 Online 20 29 21 10 10 5 5 8
Market-Lazarsfeld 5–6 Sep 2022 2,000 Online 20 29 22 10 13 3 3 7
Market-Lazarsfeld 29–30 Aug 2022 2,000 Online 21 30 22 9 11 4 3 8
Market-Lazarsfeld 22–23 Aug 2022 2,000 Online 20 30 22 9 13 4 2 8
Unique Research 10–18 Aug 2022 1,615 Phone & Online 21 28 22 11 11 4 3 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 9–17 Aug 2022 2,000 Online 21 30 21 9 13 4 2 9
Market 8–11 Aug 2022 817 Online 22 30 21 11 11 3 2 8
Market-Lazarsfeld 8–9 Aug 2022 2,000 Online 23 31 20 9 11 4 2 8
INSA 1–4 Aug 2022 1,000 Online 20 29 21 10 10 5 5 8
Market-Lazarsfeld 1–2 Aug 2022 2,000 Online 22 29 22 11 11 3 2 7
Market-Lazarsfeld 25–27 Jul 2022 2,000 Online 21 29 23 10 11 4 2 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 18–20 Jul 2022 2,000 Online 20 31 23 9 11 4 2 8
INSA 16 Jul 2022[i] 1,000 Online 21 30 20 10 10 5 4 9
Unique Research 11–14 Jul 2022 800 Phone & Online 22 29 21 10 11 4 3 7
Market-Lazarsfeld 11–13 Jul 2022 2,000 Online 21 29 22 10 12 3 3 7
Market-Lazarsfeld 4–6 Jul 2022 2,000 Online 23 30 21 11 9 3 3 7
IFDD 30 Jun–3 Jul 2022 1,000 Online 20 31 21 10 11 4 3 10
Peter Hajek 27–30 Jun 2022 800 Online 22 29 22 10 10 5 2 7
Market-Lazarsfeld 27–28 Jun 2022 2,000 Online 21 31 22 10 9 4 3 9
OGM 20–23 Jun 2022 1,015 Online 23 29 19 10 11 5 3 6
Unique Research 20–23 Jun 2022 800 Phone & Online 21 31 19 11 11 5 2 10
Market-Lazarsfeld 13–21 Jun 2022 2,000 Online 21 31 21 9 11 4 3 10
INSA 10–14 Jun 2022 1,000 22 29 20 10 11 4 4 7
Market-Lazarsfeld 7–14 Jun 2022 2,000 Online 22 31 19 9 12 5 2 9
IFDD 7–11 Jun 2022 1,250 Online 21 31 20 9 11 5 3 10
Unique Research 7–9 Jun 2022 800 Phone & Online 22 27 20 12 10 6 3 5
Market-Lazarsfeld 7–8 Jun 2022 2,000 Online 21 32 19 9 12 5 2 11
Market-Lazarsfeld 30 May–1 Jun 2022 2,000 Online 22 30 19 9 13 5 2 8
Market 23–25 May 2022 1,000 Online 23 29 20 10 11 5 2 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 21–24 May 2022 2,000 Online 23 29 20 11 11 5 1 6
Market-Lazarsfeld 16–19 May 2022 2,000 Online 23 29 21 9 11 6 1 6
Unique Research 9–12 May 2022 800 Phone & Online 22 27 20 12 11 6 2 5
Market-Lazarsfeld 9–11 May 2022 2,000 Online 23 27 20 9 12 5 2 4
OGM 29 Apr–5 May 2022 800 Online 26 26 18 12 10 5 3 Tie
Market 25 Apr–5 May 2022 2,000 Phone & Online 24 28 18 11 11 5 3 4
IFDD 21–24 Mar 2022 1,000 Online 23 28 19 9 10 6 5 5
Peter Hajek 25–28 Apr 2022 800 Phone & Online 26 26 18 12 9 7 2 Tie
Unique Research 22–26 Apr 2022 800 Online & CAPI 24 28 19 11 12 5 1 4
Unique Research 4–7 Apr 2022 800 Phone & Online 24 28 19 11 9 7 2 4
OGM 22–24 Mar 2022 968 Online 26 26 18 11 10 6 3 Tie
Unique Research 21–24 Mar 2022 800 Phone & Online 22 29 19 11 9 8 2 7
Unique Research 7–10 Mar 2022 800 Phone & Online 23 27 19 11 10 8 2 4
IFDD 21 Feb–1 Mar 2022 600 Online 23 28 20 9 11 9 5
Peter Hajek 21–24 Feb 2022 800 Phone & Online 23 25 20 11 11 7 3 2
Market 18–22 Feb 2022 803 Online & CAPI 24 27 20 11 12 5 1 3
Unique Research 7–10 Feb 2022 800 Phone & Online 24 25 18 13 10 7 3 1
Unique Research 10–13 Jan 2022 800 Phone & Online 25 25 20 11 11 6 2 Tie
Market 23–28 Dec 2021 800 Online & CAPI 24 26 21 12 11 4 2 2
Peter Hajek 13–16 Dec 2021 800 Phone & Online 27 25 17 14 10 4 3 2
Unique Research 6–9 Dec 2021 800 Phone & Online 27 27 17 11 9 6 3 Tie
Market 6–9 Dec 2021 800 Online & CAPI 24 26 22 12 11 4 1 2
IFDD 6–9 Dec 2021 552 Online 23 26 20 12 12 7 3
6 Dec 2021: Karl Nehammer becomes new chancellor
2 Dec 2021: Chancellor Alexander Schallenberg resigns
OGM 23–25 Nov 2021 837 Online 23 26 21 12 12 6 3
Unique Research 15–18 Nov 2021 800 Phone & Online 24 25 20 13 10 3 5 1
Unique Research 8–11 Nov 2021 800 Phone & Online 24 25 18 13 11 6 3 1
Peter Hajek 18–21 Oct 2021 800 Phone & Online 23 23 20 16 12 4 2 Tie
OGM 12–15 Oct 2021 1,170 Online 26 24 21 12 12 5 2
Unique Research 12–15 Oct 2021 800 Phone & Online 25[j] 25 19 14 11 3 3 Tie
26[k] 24 18 14 12 4 2 2
Market 11–12 Oct 2021 800 Online 27 25 21 11 13 3 2
IFDD 7–11 Oct 2021 1,526 Online 26 25 21 11 11 6 1
25 25 18 11 11 7 3 Tie
9 Oct 2021: Chancellor Sebastian Kurz resigns
Research Affairs 28–30 Sep 2021 506 Online 34 22 15 10 9 5 5[l] 13
26 September 2021: The MFG receives 6% in the 2021 Upper Austrian state election

January to September 2021

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Method ÖVP SPÖ FPÖ Grüne NEOS Others Lead
OGM 7–9 Sep 2021 804 Online 34 24 18 12 11 1 10
Research Affairs 30 Aug – 1 Sep 2021 500 Online 35 22 19 10 11 3 13
Research Affairs 24–26 Aug 2021 500 Online 34 21 19 10 12 4 13
Research Affairs 17–19 Aug 2021 504 Online 34 21 19 11 11 4 13
Research Affairs 10–12 Aug 2021 506 Online 34 21 18 10 12 5 13
Market 6–11 Aug 2021 805 Online & CAPI 31 25 18 13 11 2 6
Research Affairs 3–5 Aug 2021 500 Online 35 21 17 11 12 4 14
Unique Research 2–5 Aug 2021 800 Phone & Online 35 21 19 12 11 2 14
Research Affairs 27–29 Jul 2021 504 Online 35 20 17 12 12 4 15
Research Affairs 20–22 Jul 2021 504 Online 35 20 18 12 11 4 15
IFDD 15–21 Jul 2021 800 Online 35 22 19 11 12 1 13
Research Affairs 13–15 Jul 2021 504 Online 35 20 18 11 12 4 15
Unique Research 5–8 Jul 2021 800 Phone & Online 34 22 17 12 12 3 12
Research Affairs 5–8 Jul 2021 508 Online 35 21 17 11 12 4 14
IFDD 28 Jun – 2 Jul 2021 806 Online 33 24 18 12 12 1 9
Unique Research 28 Jun – 1 Jul 2021 800 Phone & Online 35 22 17 13 12 1 13
Research Affairs 28 Jun – 1 Jul 2021 508 Online 34 22 16 11 12 5 12
Market 29–30 Jun 2021 820 Online & CAPI 31 26 17 13 11 2 5
OGM 22–24 Jun 2021 801 Online 33 25 18 11 11 2 8
Research Affairs 22–24 Jun 2021 500 Online 34 23 16 12 11 4 11
Peter Hajek 21–24 Jun 2021 800 Phone & Online 34 23 18 11 12 2 11
Research Affairs 15–17 Jun 2021 500 Online 35 22 15 12 11 5 13
IFDD 10–15 Jun 2021 803 Online 32 27 18 11 11 1 5
Market 8–10 Jun 2021 841 Online & CAPI 32 27 16 13 11 1 5
Research Affairs 8–10 Jun 2021 502 Online 35 23 14 12 12 4 12
Unique Research 7–10 Jun 2021 800 Phone & Online 33 23 18 13 11 2 10
Research Affairs 31 May – 2 Jun 2021 506 Online 35 24 15 11 12 3 11
Market 24–30 May 2021[m] 1,000 Online 29 28 20 10 11 2 1
Research Affairs 25–27 May 2021 500 Online 34 23 16 11 12 4 11
Research Affairs 18–20 May 2021 523 Online 34 22 17 11 12 4 12
Demox Research 14 May 2021 1,000 Online 33 23 18 12 11 3 10
Research Affairs 11–13 May 2021 500 Online 35 22 17 12 11 3 13
Unique Research 10–12 May 2021 800 Phone & Online 34 23 18 12 10 3 11
Research Affairs 4–6 May 2021 504 Online 36 21 17 12 11 3 15
Research Affairs 27–29 Apr 2021 511 Online 36 20 16 12 12 4 16
Peter Hajek 26–29 April 2021 800 Phone & Online 33 25 18 13 9 2 8
Research Affairs 20–22 Apr 2021 507 Online 36 21 16 12 11 4 15
Unique Research 5–8 Apr 2021 800 Phone & Online 33 24 19 12 10 2 9
OGM 30 Mar – 1 Apr 2021 801 Online 35 24 17 11 10 3 11
Research Affairs 30 Mar – 1 Apr 2021 1,000 Online 36 21 18 9 12 4 15
Market 26–30 Mar 2021 800 Online 36 26 15 12 10 1 10
Unique Research 23–25 Mar 2021 800 Phone & Online 36 23 18 11 11 1 13
Research Affairs 23–25 Mar 2021 501 Online 36 22 17 9 11 5 14
Research Affairs 15–17 Mar 2021 1,000 Online 37 24 16 9 10 4 13
Peter Hajek 8–11 Mar 2021 800 Phone & Online 35 25 17 10 11 2 10
Research Affairs 2–4 Mar 2021 510 Online 37 23 17 9 10 4 14
Unique Research 1–4 Mar 2021 800 Phone & Online 35 24 17 10 12 2 11
Research Affairs 15–18 Feb 2021 508 Online 37 24 17 8 10 4 13
Market 15–17 Feb 2021 1,000 Online 37 25 14 12 10 2 12
Unique Research 8–11 Feb 2021 800 Phone & Online 36 23 17 10 11 3 13
Research Affairs 8–11 Feb 2021 500 Online 38 24 16 9 10 3 14
Research Affairs 1–4 Feb 2021 500 Online 39 24 15 9 10 3 15
IFDD 25 Jan – 1 Feb 2021 800 Online 35 24 18 10 11 2 11
Unique Research 11–14 Jan 2021 800 Phone & Online 37 22 16 14 10 1 15
Research Affairs 4–7 Jan 2021 509 Online 39 23 16 9 9 4 16

2019 to 2020

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Method ÖVP SPÖ FPÖ Grüne NEOS HC Others Lead
Market 17–21 Dec 2020 809 Phone & Online 39 23 13 14 9 2 16
OGM 15—17 Dec 2020 794 Online 40 23 13 13 9 2 17
Research Affairs 14–17 Dec 2020 500 Online 40 22 15 10 10 3 18
Peter Hajek 8–12 Dec 2020 800 Phone & Online 39 22 16 13 9 1 17
Market 30 Nov–2 Dec 2020 800-1,000 Phone & Online 39 23 14 14 8 2 16
Unique Research Dec 2020 814 Phone & Online 40 20 15 13 10 2 20
Research Affairs 20 Nov–3 Dec 2020 508 Online 40 22 13 10 11 2 2 18
Research Affairs 17–19 Nov 2020 500 Online 41 22 12 11 10 2 2 19
Research Affairs 9–12 Nov 2020 1,000 Online 41 22 12 11 10 4 19
Unique Research 2–6 Nov 2020 804 Phone & Online 38 21 16 12 10 3 17
Research Affairs 27–29 Oct 2020 500 Online 40 22 10 11 10 4 3 18
OGM Oct 2020 2,000 Online 40 23 11 16 8 2 17
Research Affairs 20–22 Oct 2020 1,000 Online 41 21 10 12 10 4 2 20
Unique Research 14–18 Sep 2020 804 Phone & Online 39 20 16 16 8 1 19
Unique Research 12–16 Oct 2020 806 Phone & Online 40 22 13 13 9 3 18
Research Affairs 28–30 Sep 2020 500 Online 41 20 11 12 9 5 2 21
Research Affairs 21–24 Sep 2020 506 Online 41 20 12 12 9 4 2 21
Unique Research 14–18 Sep 2020 804 Phone & Online 39 20 16 16 8 1 19
Research Affairs 14–16 Sep 2020 1,000 Online 42 19 12 12 9 5 23
Research Affairs 25–27 Aug 2020 503 Online 42 18 13 14 8 4 1 24
41 19 13 14 8 4 22
Research Affairs 17–20 Aug 2020 505 Online 41 18 15 13 8 5 23
Unique Research 10–13 Aug 2020 806 Phone & Online 41 18 15 16 9 1 23
Research Affairs 3–6 Aug 2020 500 Online 41 18 12 15 9 3 2 23
Research Affairs 20–22 Jul 2020 500 Online 42 19 11 15 8 4 23
42 19 11 15 8 4 1 23
Unique Research 13–16 Jul 2020 801 Phone & Online 41 19 15 16 8 1 22
Research Affairs 6–9 Jul 2020 503 Online 41 20 11 15 8 3 21
41 20 11 15 8 3 2 21
OGM 23–25 Jun 2020 805 Online 42 19 13 16 8 2 23
Research Affairs 22–24 Jun 2020 503 Online 42 19 11 15 8 3 2 23
Unique Research 9–12 Jun 2020 802 Phone & Online 44 17 14 16 8 1 27
Research Affairs 5–10 Jun 2020 1,000 Online 42 19 12 16 7 3 1 23
Karmasin Research & Identity 5–9 Jun 2020 1,000 Phone & Online 42 19 13 15 8 3 23
Research Affairs 25–28 May 2020 1,000 Online 43 18 12 16 7 3 1 25
Market 21–26 May 2020 809 Phone & Online 44 20 12 16 7 1 24
Market 18–19 May 2020 1,000 Online 43 21 12 17 6 1 22
Unique Research 11–14 May 2020 802 Phone & Online 46 17 14 15 6 2 29
Market 11–13 May 2020 1,000 Online 44 21 11 17 6 1 23
Research Affairs 11–13 May 2020 1,000 Online 44 18 11 17 7 2 1 26
Research Affairs 4–6 May 2020 501 Online 45 17 10 18 6 3 1 27
Research Affairs 20–23 Apr 2020 1,000 Online 45 16 10 19 6 2 2 26
Market 20–22 Apr 2020 1,000 Online 44 20 10 18 7 1 24
Unique Research 13–16 Apr 2020 806 Phone & Online 48 16 13 16 6 1 32
Peter Hajek 7–14 Apr 2020 807 Phone & Online 46 17 10 16 7 3 1 29
Market 3–7 Apr 2020 1,800 Phone & Online 44 19 11 19 6 1 25
Research Affairs 2–7 Apr 2020 500 Online 41 18 10 19 7 3 2 22
OGM 31 Mar–2 Apr 2020 800 Online 45 16 12 18 7 2 27
Market 24–31 Mar 2020 1,000 Online 43 19 11 19 7 1 24
Research Affairs 23–25 Mar 2020 500 Online 40 18 11 18 8 3 2 22
Unique Research 9–13 Mar 2020 811 Phone & Online 39 16 17 16 9 3 22
Market 11–12 Mar 2020 1,000 Online 40 20 13 17 9 1 20
Research Affairs 5–11 Mar 2020 817 Online 39 17 12 17 9 4 2 22
Research Affairs 24–27 Feb 2020 1,003 Online 39 17 11 17 10 5 1 22
Unique Research 10–14 Feb 2020 804 Phone & Online 38 15 16 17 10 3 21
Research Affairs 7–12 Feb 2020 1,002 Online 39 18 13 17 9 4 21
39 18 12 17 9 4 1 21
Market 4–6 Feb 2020 813 Phone & Online 39 19 15 17 9 1 20
Research Affairs 28–31 Jan 2020 1,003 Online 39 17 13 17 10 4 22
39 17 11 17 10 5 1 22
Peter Hajek 27–31 Jan 2020 802 Phone & Online 40 18 15 14 9 3 1 22
Research Affairs 17–23 Jan 2020 1,002 Online 39 16 13 17 11 4 22
39 16 12 17 11 4 1 22
Research Affairs 10–16 Jan 2020 863 Online 39 16 13 17 10 5 22
39 16 12 17 10 3 3 22
Karmasin Research & Identity 10–15 Jan 2020 1,000 Phone & Online 39 17 15 17 9 3 22
Unique Research 6–10 Jan 2020 806 Phone & Online 38 16 16 17 10 3 21
Research Affairs 3–9 Jan 2020 859 Online 39 17 13 17 9 5 22
39 17 12 17 9 3 3 22
Market 16–19 Dec 2019 806 Phone & Online 39 19 14 16 10 2 20
Research Affairs 12–19 Dec 2019 877 Online 39 17 15 16 9 4 22
38 17 14 16 9 4 2 21
Unique Research 9–13 Dec 2019 807 Phone & Online 39 18 15 17 10 1 21
Research Affairs 6–12 Dec 2019 875 Online 39 17 14 16 9 5 22
38 17 14 16 9 3 3 21
Research Affairs 29 Nov–5 Dec 2019 831 Online 39 17 14 16 10 4 22
38 17 14 16 10 3 2 21
Market 29 Nov–4 Dec 2019 792 Phone & Online 39 18 15 16 10 2 21
Research Affairs 22–28 Nov 2019 867 Online 38 18 14 16 10 4 20
37 18 14 16 9 4 2 19
Research Affairs 15–21 Nov 2019 878 Online 38 20 14 16 9 3 18
37 19 14 16 9 3 2 18
Unique Research 11–15 Nov 2019 817 Phone & Online 38 19 17 16 9 1 19
Research Affairs 8–14 Nov 2019 844 Online 38 20 15 16 8 3 18
37 19 14 16 8 4 2 18
Karmasin Research & Identity 8–13 Nov 2019 3,000 Phone & Online 38 20 15 15 9 3 18
Research Affairs 2–7 Nov 2019 736 Online 37 20 15 16 9 3 17
Research Affairs 26–31 Oct 2019 788 Online 38 19 15 16 9 3 19
Research Affairs 22–25 Oct 2019 1,000 Online 38 19 15 15 9 4 19
37 19 14 15 9 3 3 18
37 19 14 14 9 3 4[n] 18
Market 15–17 Oct 2019 802 Phone & Online 38 20 16 15 9 2 18
Research Affairs 10–16 Oct 2019 1,001 Online 38 20 15 15 8 4 18
Unique Research 7–11 Oct 2019 807 Phone & Online 37 20 17 15 9 2 17
2019 legislative election 29 Sep 2019 37.5 21.2 16.2 13.9 8.1 3.1 16.3

By state

Vienna

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPÖ ÖVP Grüne FPÖ NEOS Others Lead
Triple M Matzka 19–27 Aug 2021 1004 30 22 14 14 14 3 8
2020 Viennese state election 11 Oct 2020 41.6 20.4 14.8 7.1 7.5 8.6 21.2
2019 legislative election 29 Sep 2019 27.1 24.6 20.7 12.8 9.9 4.9 2.5

Tyrol

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
ÖVP Grüne FPÖ SPÖ NEOS Others Lead
2022 Tyrolean state election 25 Sep 2022 34.7 9.2 18.8 17.5 6.3 13.5 15.9
IMAD 11–15 Nov 2019 500 42 19 10 11 10 7 23
2019 legislative election 29 Sep 2019 45.8 14.7 14.7 13.0 8.9 2.9 31.1

Burgenland

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
ÖVP SPÖ FPÖ Grüne NEOS Others Lead
Peter Hajek 11 May 2022 28 38 16 8 7 3 10
Peter Hajek 3–14 Sep 2020 600 41 28 13 10 6 2 13
2020 Burgenland state election 26 Jan 2020 30.6 49.9 9.8 6.7 1.7 1.3 19.3
2019 legislative election 29 Sep 2019 38.3 29.4 17.3 8.1 4.9 2.1 8.9

Preferred Chancellor

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Method Nehammer
ÖVP
Rendi-Wagner
SPÖ
Kickl
FPÖ
Kogler
Grüne
Meinl-Reisinger
NEOS
Other/
None
Lead
Market 6–9 Dec 2021 800 Online 21 16 11 8 7 5
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Method Schallenberg
ÖVP
Rendi-Wagner
SPÖ
Kickl
FPÖ
Kogler
Grüne
Meinl-Reisinger
NEOS
Other/
None
Lead
OGM 23–25 Nov 2021 837 Online 20 22 17 11 9 2
Unique Research 15–18 Nov 2021 800 Online 18 15 12 6 6 3
Unique Research 8–11 Nov 2021 800 Online 19 15 12 9 8 4
Peter Hajek 18–21 Oct 2021 800 Phone & Online 27 22 23 17 12 4
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Method Kurz
ÖVP
Rendi-Wagner
SPÖ
Hofer
FPÖ
Kogler
Grüne
Meinl-Reisinger
NEOS
Strache
HC
Other/
None
Lead
Research Affairs 2–4 Mar 2021 510 Online 43 21 18 9 9 22
Unique Research 1–4 Mar 2021 800 Phone & Online 30 15 11 4 7 33 15
Unique Research 8–11 Feb 2021 800 Phone & Online 32 15 10 5 6 32 17
Research Affairs 5–10 Jun 2020 1,000 Online 49 19 11 12 5 4 30
Research Affairs 25–28 May 2020 1,000 Online 49 18 11 12 6 4 31
Market 18–19 May 2020 1,000 Online 33 10 6 51 23
Unique Research 11–14 May 2020 802 Phone & Online 45 9 6 6 4 30 36
Research Affairs 11–13 May 2020 1,000 Online 51 17 11 13 5 3 34
Market 11–13 May 2020 1,000 Online 44 10 7 6 33 34
Research Affairs 4–6 May 2020 501 Online 52 16 10 14 5 3 36
Research Affairs 20–23 Apr 2020 1,000 Online 52 15 10 15 5 3 37
Unique Research 13–16 Apr 2020 806 Phone & Online 55 8 7 8 3 19 47
Peter Hajek 7–14 Apr 2020 807 Phone & Online 62 11 7 12 5 2 50
Research Affairs 2–7 Apr 2020 500 Online 50 16 11 15 5 3 34
Research Affairs 23–25 Mar 2020 500 Online 48 16 12 15 6 3 32
Research Affairs 5–11 Mar 2020 817 Online 44 15 14 15 8 4 29
Research Affairs 24–27 Feb 2020 1,003 Online 43 14 14 15 9 5 28
Unique Research 10–14 Feb 2020 804 Phone & Online 37 8 13 10 6 26 24
Research Affairs 7–12 Feb 2020 661 Online 42 15 15 14 9 5 27
Market 4–6 Feb 2020 813 Phone & Online 37 9 11 14 11 18 23
Research Affairs 28–31 Jan 2020 500 Online 42 14 15 15 9 5 27
Peter Hajek 27–31 Jan 2020 802 Phone & Online 47 14 14 12 8 5 33
Research Affairs 17–23 Jan 2020 877 Online 43 14 16 15 12 27
Research Affairs 10–16 Jan 2020 863 Online 43 14 16 16 11 27
Research Affairs 3–9 Jan 2020 859 Online 43 15 16 16 10 27
Market 16–19 Dec 2019 806 Phone & Online 43 8 9 40 34
Research Affairs 12–19 Dec 2019 877 Online 41 15 16 15 8 5 25
Unique Research 9–13 Dec 2019 807 Phone & Online 37 8 12 9 34 25
Research Affairs 6–12 Dec 2019 875 Online 42 15 18 16 9 24
Research Affairs 29 Nov–5 Dec 2019 831 Online 42 14 18 16 10 24
Market 29 Nov–4 Dec 2019 792 Phone & Online 40 8 9 14 9 20 26
Research Affairs 22–28 Nov 2019 867 Online 42 15 18 15 10 24
Research Affairs 15–21 Nov 2019 878 Online 40 17 18 16 9 22
Unique Research 11–15 Nov 2019 817 Phone & Online 37 12 11 10 6 24 25
Research Affairs 26–31 Oct 2019 788 Online 41 16 19 14 10 22
Research Affairs 10–16 Oct 2019 1,001 Online 41 17 19 12 9 2 22
Unique Research 7–11 Oct 2019 807 Phone & Online 39 11 12 8 6 24 27

Preferred coalition

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Method ÖVPFPÖ ÖVPSPÖ ÖVPGrüne ÖVPGrüneNEOS ÖVP alone Other Don't know/
no answer
Research Affairs 15–18 Feb 2021 508 Online 23 27 29 21
Research Affairs 8–11 Feb 2021 502 Online 27 36 37
Research Affairs 12–19 Dec 2019 877 Online 22 13 28 9 27
Research Affairs 6–12 Dec 2019 875 Online 24 13 31 8 24
Research Affairs 29 Nov–5 Dec 2019 831 Online 23 13 30 8 26
Research Affairs 22–28 Nov 2019 867 Online 24 12 32 9 23
Research Affairs 15–21 Nov 2019 878 Online 23 13 32 9 23
Research Affairs 8–14 Nov 2019 844 Online 24 12 33 8 23
Research Affairs 2–7 Nov 2019 736 Online 24 16 32 9 19
Research Affairs 26–31 Oct 2019 788 Online 26 14 32 8 20
Research Affairs 22–25 Oct 2019 1,000 Online 25 17 29 8 21
Research Affairs 10–16 Oct 2019 1,001 Online 28 13 29 10 20
Unique Research 30 Sep–3 Oct 2019 500 Online 23 12 21 18 9 17

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e f Hans Peter Doskozil as frontrunner
  2. ^ a b c d with Andreas Babler as frontrunner
  3. ^ Result obtained by the KPÖ Plus electoral alliance.
  4. ^ a b c with Pamela Rendi-Wagner as frontrunner
  5. ^ KPÖ: 1 %
  6. ^ Wallentin 3%
  7. ^ Wallentin 2%
  8. ^ Grosz 1%
  9. ^ Publication date
  10. ^ with Alexander Schallenberg as frontrunner
  11. ^ with Sebastian Kurz as frontrunner
  12. ^ KPÖ 4%
  13. ^ Fieldwork presented in survey as "KW21" (Kalenderwoche 21 - Week 21)
  14. ^ JETZT 2%

References

  1. ^ "Richtlinie für die Erstellung und Veröffentlichung von Ergebnissen der Wahlforschung – sogenannte "Sonntagsfrage" – in Medien für alle Wahlgänge" (PDF) (in German). Association of Market and Opinion Research Institutes of Austria. January 2017. Archived from the original (PDF) on 26 September 2019. Retrieved 19 October 2021.
  2. ^ "OGM aus Verband der Meinungsforscher geworfen". ORF (in German). 21 October 2021.
  3. ^ "Causa ÖVP: Meinungsforscher distanzieren sich von Beinschab". Kurier (in German). 14 October 2021.
  4. ^ "Meinungsforscherin B. veröffentlichte auch 2021 Umfragen, die ÖVP-Positionen unterstützen". Der Standard (in German). 15 October 2021.
  5. ^ red, salzburg ORF at (10 March 2024). "Stadt Salzburg: Rot-roter Doppelsieg, ÖVP stürzt ab". salzburg.ORF.at (in German). Retrieved 12 March 2024.
  6. ^ Florian Amelin, ORF.at (18 January 2024). "ANTRETEN BEI NATIONALRATSWAHL: „Günstige Gemengelage" für Bierpartei". news.ORF.at (in German). Retrieved 18 January 2024.
  7. ^ "Tobias Schweiger und Bettina Prochaska wollen die KPÖ 2024 ins Parlament führen". DER STANDARD (in Austrian German). Retrieved 18 January 2024.
  8. ^ red, ORF at (5 June 2023). "Babler statt Doskozil SPÖ-Chef". news.ORF.at (in German). Retrieved 5 June 2023.

External links