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Portfolio Watch: Sitting on our hands
2024-04-19It is tricky to time the drones flying back and forth in the Middle East, which is why we are sitting on our hands. We see an increasing latent potential ...Shipping Watch: No news is bad news (for inflation)
2024-04-19Headlines in the beginning of 2024 were dominated by shipping and logistic troubles but over the last months that has almost died completely down. With “no news” we continue to ...Trade alert: Scandi RV
2024-04-19We see a strong RV case between the Scandis! To read the full article, sign up for a 14-day FREE trial of the Premium plan. Already a member? Login hereFree Macro Nugget: Cut rates and inflation will go down
2024-04-19Cut rates if you want lower inflation, PowellScandi Watch: Assessing the path for SEK and NOK rates
2024-04-18The Norwegian rate path is likely to look dovish in June in contrast to expectations. Here is our “cheat sheet” to assess the NOK rate path daily. At the same ...Crypto Moves #24 – Bitcoin Is A Safe Haven When There’s Nothing to Worry About
2024-04-18Bitcoin does not currently function as a safe haven. According to our quantitative model, it behaves more like a risk-on asset, similar to technology stocks. However, there is potential for ...
Something for your Espresso: Here we go again..
2024-04-19It remains our base-case that we are on a de-escalatory path but the tit for tat strikes continue. Risk assets will likely become cheap when the dust settles. To read the ...Something for your Espresso: USD liquidity back in the driver’s seat
2024-04-18Our quant PCA tool flags USD liquidity as the most important macro driver so far in April, which is interesting given the ongoing tax season. The worst is probably already ...Something for your Espresso: “A lack of further progress so far this year on returning to our 2% inflation goal.”
2024-04-17Powell admitted to the lack of progress on inflation in recent months, but the implicit bias is still dovish. The debate is still centered around WHEN rates will come down, ...