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CONTENTS

For America to be displaced by an Asian people long despised and dismissed with contempt as decadent, feeble, corrupt and inept, is emotionally very difficult to accept. The sense of cultural supremacy of the Americans will make this adjustment most difficult.  Lee Kwan Yew 

Economy

21 million traveled September 29, a record, on the first day of just-ended Golden Week. Tourism revenue hit $46.9 billion in the three days leading up to the mid-autumn festival and National Day, up 125% YoY, while tickets to some popular tourist destinations sold out due to increased demand. Read article →

Luxury conglomerate LVMH, is making “an unprecedented investment” in the 128,000-square meter complex which will feature 1,000 luxury brands including LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE. The complex, expected to pull in 16 million visitors a year by 2030, will include accommodation, dining and entertainment. Read article →

In the surreal world of 24/7 influencers shilling products in never-ending livestreams, many influencers are not human. In a major step forward in deepfake commercialization, AI avatars cost $1,000 to generate but work days, nights, and weekends to sell products, performances, and even political agendas. Avatar hosts can outperform some human hosts, whose skills can vary. 20% of human streamers contribute to 80% of total sales, but a “virtual livestream host can replace the rest — six or seven streamers that contribute less and have lower ROI rates.” Read article →

Trade

The unit value of the goods that Europe bought from China rose 30%, while the value of goods it sold to China rose only 18% from 2020-2022. Even if trade volumes had stayed constant, this terms-of-trade shock would have made the deficit deteriorate significantly. ("Terms of trade" is the ratio between the index of export prices and the index of import prices. If the export prices increase more than the import prices, a country has a positive terms of trade, as for the same amount of exports, it can purchase more imports). Read article → 

China accounts for 85% of PV cell manufacturing and assembles 74% of those cells into modules. China has 80% of polysilicon production and 96% of converting polysilicon into wafers. Last year the US and EU added 54GW of solar power capacity combined—and in July alone China manufactured 47GW worth of solar cells. Many end up abroad, but most stay in China—the country made up 46% of global solar capacity additions in 2022 with its push for widespread rooftop solar drastically boosting installations in response to their energy shortages. Last year, solar delivered 4.8% of Chinese electricity, more than its share of the US power grid or the world average. Read article →

Finance

The best evidence available suggests that the dollar share in China’s reserves has been broadly stable at 50 since 2015. If a simple adjustment is made for Treasuries held by offshore custodians like Belgium's Euroclear, China’s reported holdings of U.S. assets look to be basically stable at between $1.8 and $1.9 trillion. Read article →

When examining cross border payments, we should look at all CIPS & other interbank payment systems + credit card & payment apps, in addition to SWIFT. In 2022:
$150 Trillion payments thru SWIFT 
$14T payments thru VISA
$17T payments in RMB  
$46T payments thru mobile apps
Don't just look at SWIFT when assessing RMB internalization: 3-4% of $150T = $5T CIPS alone. That's 3.5x Alipay, Wechat Pay & other payment apps are 9x that Alipay+ also rising in significance, saw > 100m users (mostly from Southeast Asia) in major shopping holiday of 11/11. T. P. Huang. Read article →

China has postponed indefinitely the construction of the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway line, which was scheduled to start construction this autumn. This is positive news for Kazakhstan, as the route was supposed to be an alternative for the delivery of Chinese goods to Russia, depriving Astana of customs clearance fees.“The project is ready, but Beijing, Bishkek and Tashkent have not yet been able to agree on money, or rather on the proportions of its financing. This may drag on for a long time. Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan have no money to finance the project. While China could build everything itself, the railway is not a current priority. Read article →

Technology

Astronauts lit a candle during a live lecture broadcast from Tiangong space station to demonstrate how flames burn in microgravity. On Earth, they produce flames shaped through buoyancy-driven convection, with hot air rising and cold air descending. That combustion convection current is weak in the microgravity environment of low Earth orbit, so flames diffuse in all directions, resulting in spherical fireballs. (The International Space Station, from which China is barred, cannot accommodate naked flames).Read article →

TCM treats atherosclerosis. Evidence-based research and clinical experience show that the Shexiang Baoxin pill enhances blood vessel growth, reduces inflammatory reactions and reduces plaque. Read article →

Baidu used generative AI to complete a masterpiece of traditional ink art, left unfinished 50 years ago. Ernie, Baidu's answer to ChatGPT, trained on unstructured text, but it also has a knowledge graph, a structured database of fundamental information and, crucially, the semantic links between them. It includes scientific, demographic, geographic and economic data. The idea is that a large, curated database of factual information can curb LLM-based models' tendency to hallucinate. Read article →

Research “overwhelmingly ahead” of US in 10 technology areas, including inertial navigation for GPS, magnetic field sensors, multispectral and hyperspectral imaging sensors, radar systems, and sonar and acoustic sensors. The US is even with China in three areas: quantum sensors, atomic clocks, and gravitational sensors. “Even if the three AUKUS partners team up with Japan and South Korea, they do not match the Chinese output in high-impact research,” the report noted. Read article →

Taiwan’s share in the global chip manufacturing supply chain – covering foundry work and the field of assembly and test – is expected to decline over the next few years, while mainland China’s portion will continue to increase amid changes brought by various governments’ semiconductor policies and geopolitical tensions, according to market research firm IDC. Read article →

Society

Scenic spots all over China are crowded, especially Dunhuang in Gansu. The “Singing Sand Mountains & Crescent Moon Spring” area features 40 km of mountains, sand dunes, and a crescent-shaped lake. People joke about the ‘camel jams’ due to so many tourists doing camel rides in the scenic area, causing enormous lines of camels throughout the desert. But also some less famous places that were surprisingly crowded, such as Nanchang, which led to the joke that practically every place has "a 100 million visitors" this week. Booming domestic tourism. Read article →

Taiwan’s young men adrift? "The government has failed for decades to stem the trend of stagnant salaries, skyrocketing housing costs and the growth of dead-end service jobs, which puts Taiwan’s democracy at risk.” Read article →

The Potala Palace has archived 12.3 million folios and digitally scanned 3,152 folios from rare pattra-leaf scriptures to preserve and utilize its collection of ancient books and documents thanks to a $40 million central govt grant. Read article →

In the new Chinese animated film Deep Sea, a girl gets thrown overboard during a storm. As she clings to a life preserver, her imagination transports her to an underwater world of anthropomorphic walruses and squid-like demons, plus many other bizarre creatures, who help her process her mother’s absence. It’s Spirited Away (directed by Hayao Miyazaki) meets Life of Pi, and it’s one of the best animated films in years. The cutting edge animation technology cost tens of millions of dollars, and I’m glad someone threw that kind of money toward something so risky, unattached to any existing intellectual property or popular brand. I’m convinced director Tian Xiaopeng will go down as one of the animation greats, alongside the likes of Walt Disney, Tex Avery, and of course, Miyazaki. Read article →

Expats

Visitors to China can now upload e-yuan to a digital wallet using Mastercard or Visa. Foreign nationals can download the updated digital yuan wallet for iOS devices from the App Store or Google Play, create a personal wallet, preload it with digital yuan using their international credit card and use the CBDC to make payments. Read article →

To any sane person living in China, reading 95% of western reporting about China can shake one's belief in all western news reporting on everything. The chasm between the peaceful, sunny, happy life of folks in China and the nightmarish hellscape MSM in the west portrays China is wide. Reality: People in China own their own homes (largely with no loan), even and especially in the countryside. Food and everyday items are affordable. Coffee shops, entertainment venues and sunny parks full of laughing families are part of each and every neigborhood. I've been to about two thirds of all Chinese provinces. Life is good everywhere. Sorry. Not Sorry. I moved from America for a better life. And China has not disappointed. I literally broke my back a couple years ago. I needed weeks of daily therapy and treatment. Cost: a couple hundred American. If that had happened in the state, I would be in debt for life. China is everything America promised me as a child. Here, I can own a home, afford to go out, afford to go to the hospital if needs be. I have time for trips to the park. I can afford new clothes when I want them. And most importantly, I have no fear of crime, anywhere, at anytime. I am so sick of reading bad takes on China. I so desparately want my American brothers and sisters to understand one simple thing: society can be better. We need to start learning from China and other nations that are doing it better. Jason Smith. Read article →

Environment

Based on the current power generation mix in China, the lifecycle emissions of an EV are about 39 tonnes of CO2e versus 85 for Internal Combustion vehicles. A BEV emits 42 tonnes of CO2 in its life in the US, 58% lower than a gasoline or diesel vehicle that emits more than 100 tonnes. Of these totals, emissions related to the extraction, refining, and burning of fossil fuels contribute 90% of all ICE emissions. Read article →

China is building the world’s biggest wind turbine in the middle of the ocean — 70 stories tall. It will produce enough power annually for 100,000 people. Read article →

Stats

The Spectator Index: Proven natural gas reserves (km³)
🇷🇺 Russia: 47,798
🇮🇷 Iran: 33,980
🇶🇦 Qatar: 23,871
🇸🇦 Saudi: 15,910
🇺🇸 US: 13,167
🇹🇲 Turkmenistan: 11,326
🇨🇳 China: 6,654
🇦🇪 UAE: 6,088
🇳🇬 Nigeria: 5,748
🇻🇪 Venezuela: 5,663
🇩🇿 Algeria: 4,502
🇮🇶 Iraq: 3,738
🇦🇺 Australia: 3,228.   

Governance

Shanghai's medical insurance now covers artificial cochlea implants, two of the first patients to benefit from the coverage have now undergone implant surgery.  Read More 

The Cyberspace Administration released a “public comment seeking draft directive on the implementation of the cross-border data transmission approval process.  The previous law was not easy to implement and resulted in unintended consequences, which were interpreted by the mainstream media as blocking foreign access to China's data. But China is not blocking data. It aims to transform it into an asset, having categorized data as a production factor in 2019. The new Bureau of Data Management oversees government-led data exchanges, government subsidies for data trade, and experimentation with monetizing personal data in the domestic market. This is the first top-down global effort to develop a nationwide data market. Read article →

Rather than allowing China’s low-end industries to shift to other, lower-income countries, and then importing those products, Xi's idea is to maintain the ability to produce the full range of goods within China. Low-end industries are not abandoned but become targets for technological upgrading in order to preserve their competitiveness. As the Chinese economist Xu Zhaoyuan explained:

We cannot allow traditional industries to transfer abroad too quickly. This requires continuous strengthening of policy support for the upgrading and transformation of traditional industries, improving product innovation and efficiency to enhance their competitiveness, while also continuously reducing the cost burden of the real economy, especially reducing various transaction costs. 

The assumption is clearly no longer that nations can specialize to take advantage of an open global trading system, but rather that they need to minimize external dependencies and vulnerability to trade disruption. Economist Yu Yongding called it part of China’s response to US decoupling: 

Re-emphasizing the importance of comprehensiveness is a reaction to the new geopolitical reality. While China cannot and should not produce everything – autarky is impossible for a modern economy – it should be able to quickly launch or increase production of critical goods, as needed. Read article →

Propaganda

 ABC: everything that happened at the world's biggest sporting event was
bad or sad or nasty.
More athletes at Asian Games than Olympics
On October 3, Murdoch's National Geographic Magazine released a story: "The Manchu language was once the official language of 300 million people, but now even the Manchu people, with a population of over 10 million, cannot find a single person who can speak the language. How did the official language disappear?" Hilariously, they showed the text of the first treaty between the Tsardom of Russia and the Qing dynasty of China, The Treaty of Nerchinsk, thinking it was written in Manchu, despite the title, "Латинский текст Нерчинского Договора " being  clearly shown on the page, not to mention that the Manchu language uses modified Mongolian writing system, which goes from left to right and up to down. They also added the misleading headline "Manchu language JUST disappeared," an evident attempt to perpetuate their "China cultural genocide" narrative, except this time it's Manchu rather than Tibetan, Uyghur, or Mongolian. Although the Manchu language was the imperial language of China during the Qing Dynasty, it was restricted to the Manchu ethnic people. The number of speakers started to decrease during the middle of the Qing Dynasty, and the last emperor could not speak Manchu fluently. Read more →

The deafening silence from western media on this month’s huge Asia Games is a direct example of the cancer that is spreading among previously respected institutions. No journalist would dare put out material that showed China to be anything but the evil empire as characterised by the folks in Washington and London. The saddest angle is that the efforts of these 12,000 athletes deserve a great deal more recognition than that given by the western media who cannot stop themselves from politicising what should and could be a uniting sports event involving countries representing over half the world’s population. Read more →

History

90% of China's ten biggest irrigation projects were built during the Great Leap, when research in high grain yields started and produced Yuan Long-Ping’s hybrid rice in 1973, helping  to feed 900 million people. During that decade, the Chinese Academy of Sciences produced the world’s first fully synthesized crystalline bovine insulin, Tung Dizhou cloned two different fishes (a goldfish and a Rhodeus sinensis), 30 years before Scotland’s Dolly the Sheep. In 1967, “Struggling to deal with a malaria-ridden army, Ho Chi Minh asked Mao … to look for a cure for malaria and Project 523 began its search in 1967.”  Mao advised the hundreds of researchers to look  in China’s “great storehouse of Chinese traditional medicine.” Tu Yuyu headed the research and discovered an ancient dynasty’s herb that produced artemisinin. The rest is history. Millions of lives in Asia and Africa in particular were saved. “Mao’s prompting,” said The Hindu, “led to Tu’s discovery.” Tu was awarded the 2015 Nobel Prize for physiology.  Read more →

Diplomacy

China gifted Sri Lanka with a $72 million hospital. The 500-bed National Nephrology Hospital has 150 dialysis machines, 8 operating theaters, two 20-bed ICUs, a 20 bed 'High Dependency Unit,' a complete laboratory, and a 200-seat auditorium. Read more →

152 countries signed BRI agreements with China. In Africa, China has built 6,000 km. of railways, 10,000 km of highways, 20+ ports, 80 major infrastructure developments and 80% of telecommunications facilities. China added 1,300 new airline routes with BRI countries. More than 80 countries have seen new bank branches opened or financial cooperation established. China’s average annual outward foreign investment remains at $150 billion, with more and more of China’s capital flowing to BRI countries. BRI adds 1.2%-3.4% of participants' GDP. Each year, 400,000 students from BRI countries study in China, while China has established Confucius Institutes, Luban Workshops, and Cultural Centres in more than 100 countries. Read more →

Geopolitics

Are China and Russia in a new Cold War?
Professor Zhou Jinyan of Shanghai International Studies University: "Africa’s share of global manufacturing went from 3% in 1970 to less than 2% today, 5 decades later. This makes the African continent today more dependent on the rest of the world, especially the West, as a market for its primary commodities than at the time of independence – the result of the "failure of Western development prescriptions". "Western aid has promoted economic dependence in Africa, while the political, economic, and ideological hegemony of the West has reduced Africa’s policy space and autonomy. From neoliberal structural adjustment programmes to reform strategies aimed at improving the business and investment environment, Western prescriptions have not assisted African economic development”. Economist Wen Yi called this "taking the roof as the foundation, taking the result as the cause […] taking the results of Western industrialisation as the prerequisite for economic development". In short the West encourages countries to become like them, thinking that it would help them develop but their status is an outcome of development, not a cause! Instead Professor Zhou highlights 3 ways in which China can contribute to Africa’s industrial development.
  1. China’s help, via the BRI and other mechanisms, to build infrastructure across the African continent over the last 3 decades or so will greatly aid the continent’s aspirations at industrialisation. The building of modern ports, highways, and power stations should reduce the costs of production and thereby promote industrialisation.
  2. Africa can learn from China's development model, for instance the "dialectical unity of reform, development, stability, and innovation; the management of relations between the government, market, and society; the importance of leadership that is capable and has a strong political will; [or] the need to define clear strategies." This would undoubtedly be more productive than the private sector-led, market-centric approach that is the staple of the World Bank and International Monetary Fund. Zhou interestingly notes that many African countries had early experiments with state-led development models in the 1960s and 1970s: during that time per capita income in sub-Saharan Africa grew at a rate of 1.6 percent per year when between 1980 and 2004 (when those development models were abandoned in favor of Western neoliberal prescriptions), per capita income decreased by 0.3 percent per year.
  3. By enhancing Africa’s autonomy in the global geopolitical arena by providing the continent with an alternative way to interact with the rest of the world along mutually reinforcing and respectful lines. Read more →
LONG READS:
The Plan
China’s Growing Role in the Middle East:
Regional Geopolitics and US Policy


Amb. Chas Freeman 

 
American obsession with a rising China has become nothing short of monomaniacal, diverting needed attention from almost all other foreign policy concerns.  An escalating U.S. ‘forever war’ with Russia is underway in Europe.  The China mainland and Taiwan are drifting toward renewed combat and American involvement in the unfinished Chinese civil war.  With help from Russia, North Korea is enhancing its ability to hold the United States at nuclear bay.  Electoral autocracies are taking root in India and Israel.
 

Military dictatorships are replacing democracies and French dominance in the Sahel.  Parts of Libya, Syria, and Yemen remain in states of anarchy.  Iran is breaking free of the “maximum pressure” the United States has applied to it. The Israel-Palestine issue is once again erupting in violence.  Much of the world is searching for alternatives to the dollar as a medium of trade settlement. Yet our secretary of state finds time to look for Chinese influence to root out in mid-Pacific ministates.  And here we are at the Arab Center addressing the Washington Beltway idée fixe du jour: China’s increasing engagement with the countries of West Asia.

The relentless American focus on China obscures the reality that over the past three decades every country in the Middle East – including Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Israel, and the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) – has pivoted toward intensified economic and military relationships with Asia – not just China but India, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, and Singapore.  To be sure, trade with China by the region’s largest economy – the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia – is now triple that with the United States and almost twice that with Europe.  Today, about one-fifth of Gulf Arab international economic interaction is with China.  But GCC trade turnover with India has recently grown far faster than that with China, rising by an amazing 58 percent between 2021 and 2022.  The region’s commercial relations with ASEAN are growing too, though nowhere near as rapidly.

Investment flows are following a similar but delayed trajectory.  The importance of the GCC countries in international finance is large and rising.  The region is home to some of the world’s largest sovereign wealth funds (SWF), with more than $3.7 trillion in total assets under management – an amount that exceeds the UK’s 2022 GDP.  Saudi Arabia expects that its main state investment vehicle, the Public Investment Fund, will have more than $2 trillion by 2030, making it the world’s largest.  The GCC’s fund managers remain far more familiar and comfortable with European and American financial institutions, but their co-investment programs with Chinese development banks, funds, and the Chinese Investment Corporation – a counterpart SWF with assets of $1.3 trillion – are expanding apace.

Clearly, “emerging Asia” – with China in the lead – is displacing Western commercial influence in West Asia.  American egocentrism is such that we assume that doing so must have been the Chinese objective.  But there is no evidence whatsoever that this was the case.  No government in the region expects China to replace the United States as a guarantor of its security.  China has an aversion to alliances, which it regards as likely to involve it in quarrels in which it has no direct stake.  And the Chinese saying: 强龙难压地头蛇 – “even the strongest dragon would have trouble subduing a snake on its home ground” – encapsulates its skepticism about the risks inherent in projecting military power to distant environments.

But the facts that China and India alone account for over half the world’s economic growth and that ASEAN’s GDP is even larger than India’s have not escaped attention in West Asian capitals, which are actively negotiating free trade agreements with China, India, ASEAN, and ASEAN’s member states.  If these negotiations bear fruit, economists project that trade between the GCC and “emerging Asia” will grow around six percent per year to about $600 billion by 2030.  Qatar’s recent commitment to supply China with LNG through the year 2050 is a noteworthy illustration of what is happening.  The United States, by contrast, is no longer interested in lowering tariff or other trade and investment barriers with any foreign country.  West Asia is no exception.

It’s easy to forget that it was Washington, not Beijing, that first embraced the imperative of Sino-American global competition and launched tariff and technology wars designed to hamstring its proclaimed rival’s economy.  In the name of such competition, the United States has done its best to restrict Chinese trade and investment in other countries and has imposed ever more sanctions, quotas, and tariff increases on the world, including West Asia.  But erecting such barriers to trade is no way to compete with agreements that facilitate and increase it.  It just creates a vacuum that invites greater economic interaction between other countries, including China, as opposed to America.  As trends in West Asia illustrate, this is a recipe for reduced American influence.

Meanwhile, China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and a variety of bilaterally agreed Sino-Arab funds are increasing connectivity between China and the Persian Gulf region.  Not to be outdone, India and Russia are collaborating to link Moscow with Bombay through the Iranian port of Chabahar.  There has been a lot of American talk about infrastructure investment but nothing concrete has yet come of it.  Blather has never been much of a substitute for hard cash.

Politically, unlike the United States (which has cooperative relations with some West Asian nations and antagonistic relations with others) China has pursued a policy of friendship and economic intercourse with all.  Of course, as the Chinese phrase has it, 广交友无深交 – “in practice, friendship with all means devotion to none.”  China is an important interlocutor, not a patron or ally of any West Asian state.  It does not threaten any nation in the region, but it has carefully avoided assuming any commitment to defend one.  China’s aversion to alliances as well as its inability to project power to the region mean that it is not in contention to replace the United States as the guarantor of regional security.  But it is beginning to develop military relationships with the countries of West Asia.

After decades of near total dependence on international arms imports, both Saudi Arabia and the UAE now seek to attract investment in their nascent domestic military industries.  The UAE has bought jet trainers and armed drones as well as alleged military port construction services from China.  Abu Dhabi’s growing military relationship with Beijing was a key factor in queering the purchase of U.S. F-35s it had been promised in return for its normalization of relations with Israel under the so-called “Abraham Accords.”  The gradual emergence of China as a source of advanced weaponry and military technology is a potential deathblow to the traditional American approach of insisting that protected Arab states not buy U.S. competitors’ weapons, while Washington simultaneously refuses to sell them U.S. alternatives.  Saudi Arabia accounts for ten percent of the global arms market. Chinese sales to it have included ballistic missiles, armed drones, anti-drone systems, and artillery.  Both the Kingdom and the Emirates as well as Iran now routinely exercise with the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN).  And this month, the UAE Air Force will join its first exercise with the PLA Air Force (PLAAF) in Xinjiang.

The only country in West Asia that has bowed to U.S. pressure to limit military cooperation with China is Israel, which cannot afford to lose U.S. backing for its “qualitative military edge.”  The U.S. technology war on China is curtailing the previously robust presence of Chinese investors in Israeli start-ups.  Israel has instead turned to India – whose lapse into Hindutva echoes its own religious nationalism and Islamophobia.  India is now Israel’s primary military partner in ‘emerging Asia’ and Israel’s largest overseas arms market.

Let me conclude so that the excellent panel the Arab Center has assembled to discuss the changing geopolitics of the Middle East can get to work.It’s not all about us.  The trends that Americans find disturbing in West Asia are less the product of predatory Chinese policies than they are the result of American unwillingness or inability to satisfy the economic, political, and military requirements of former client states in the region.  China-bashing, sanctions, and refusals to sell weapons or transfer technology will not retard, still less reverse these trends.  The region is pivoting toward “emerging Asia,” not just China.  If Americans wish to contest this, we will have to adjust our policies and rules of engagement not just with West Asian countries but with the nations to their South and East. Chas Freeman.  

REVIEWS

Edgar Snow and Mao Zedong
 

“Edgar Snow was the first correspondent to penetrate into the heart of Communist China and to return to tell the tale. His book, planned and executed with meticulous care, is the most superb piece of reporting that I have ever read. It is the authentic, inside story of the Chinese Communists and of their relation to the Sino-Japanese War. The Communists and the war are more intimately connected than most people suppose.”
—The Atlantic

“He was the first foreign journalist to risk this trek to the forbidden Communist state in China’s West in the second half of the 1930s, when it was under heavy blockade by the Nationalist government. Snow invested a lot of time and energy in bringing an untold story out into the world…There is also much that is troubling about the book, especially Snow’s unquestioning, even adulatory, response to Mao’s story about the Communist past and present.”
—Julia Lovell, Five Books

“A journalistic scoop in 1937, this book has since become a historical classic. Snow’s sympathetic portrayal of the Chinese communists is somewhat naive, however, and it exposed him to widespread criticism during the McCarthy years.”
—Foreign Affairs

About the author

Edgar Snow (1905-1972) is by far best remembered for Red Star Over China. However, his earlier life was also one of some adventure and excitement. From Kansas City, he attended the University of Missouri and looked set for a career in Manhattan in advertising — until the Wall Street Crash. The Depression set him off for China in the hope of more opportunity — he was to stay 13 years, know just about everyone, Chinese or foreign, who was anyone, and marry Helen Foster, another American journalist working in China.

He spent time in the famine districts of northwest China, traveled the Burma Road, and explored Manchuria. Living in Shanghai initially, the couple moved to Beijing, where Snow taught journalism at Yenching University and started several left-wing magazines. In this way, they became acquainted with leftist students who eased Snow’s path to Yan’an.

After World War Two, Snow continued to write about China and Asia, invariably from a leftist perspective. In the 1950s, he encountered some trouble from Senator Joseph McCarthy and eventually moved to Switzerland. He returned to China in 1960 and 1964 to interview Máo Zédōng 毛泽东 and Zhōu Ēnlái 周恩来. In 1970, he stood next to Mao during the National Day parade in Beijing, during which Mao told Snow that he would welcome Nixon to China. Snow never saw that trip, dying the day Nixon arrived in China.

In 150 words

Edgar Snow made his way through Nationalist lines to Shanxi Province in June 1936, encountering a band of communists newly emerged, exhausted and decimated, after their 6,000-mile Long March. Snow found them developing the distinctive brand of communism that was to govern China during the Maoist era. Many of the men Snow interviewed in 1936 were the first-generation leaders of Communist China, and in particular he is credited with introducing Mao Zedong to a Western audience. Indeed, the best-known section of the book is Mao’s autobiography as related to Snow, which remains lauded in the P.R.C.

Takeaways:

Communists, over whose heads hung the sentence of death, did not identify themselves as such in polite — or impolite — society. Even in the foreign concessions, Nanking kept a well-paid espionage system at work. It included, for example, such vigilantes as C Patrick Givens, former chief Red-chaser in the British police force of Shanghai’s International Settlement.

Do the Reds really imagine that China can defeat Japan’s mighty war-machine? I believe they do. What is the peculiar shape of logic on which they base their assumptions of triumph? It was one of dozens of questions I put to Mao Tse-tung. And his answer, which follows, is a stimulating if perhaps prophetic thing indeed, even though the orthodox military mind may find it technically fallacious.

At last, after two weeks of hacking and walking over the hills and plains of Kansu and Ninghsia, I came to Yu Wang Pao, a big walled town in southern Ninghsia, which was then the headquarters of the First Front Red Army — and of its commander-in-chief Peng Teh-huai.

Great benefits have undoubtedly accrued to the Chinese Reds from sharing the collective experience of the Russian Revolution, and from the leadership of the Comintern. But it is also true that the Comintern may be held responsible for serious reverses suffered by the Chinese Communists in the anguish of their growth.

Why this book should be on your bookshelf:

The debate around Snow and Red Star Over China has been a long and divisive one among Sinologists, China Watchers, and the Chinese Communist Paty. The CCP still lionizes Snow, most Western scholars think Red Star well worth close reading, and some think he was a patsy for Mao’s propaganda. There’s no doubt that Snow’s visit to Yan’an was closely stage-managed by the Party and that he saw nothing of the intense factional in-fighting taking place within the senior ranks that would work itself out, sometimes in deadly ways, over the next 20 to 30 years. Still, there is no denying Snow’s skills as a writer (and the largely unacknowledged input of Helen Foster-Snow as his editor throughout the project), his vivid recreations of the scene at Yan’an, his depictions of the genuineness of many Party members in wanting to improve the situation in China, and the extreme circumstances — the Long March, suppression by the Nationalists, war with Japan — that have formed the CCP worldview that lingers still today in terms of a tendency to isolationism, inability to seriously criticize itself, and continual factional disputes and purging.

What most people now take from Red Star Over China is the autobiography of Mao, his life as told to Snow. Snow, of course, could only ask questions based on his ultimately limited knowledge of the Party. The same applies to his ability to judge any answers or claims made by Mao. It’s hard not to see an element of performance in Snow, donning the cap with the five-pointed red star for photos, etc. Snow was to be among the first of many foreign journos to play at revolutionary in Yan’an.

The photos included in Red Star Over China are also interesting. Any selection of images to accompany such a book must also be read as part of the argument of the text. They are important in that these early photos of Mao are really among the only ones we have from that time — more came later, but Snow captured a rawer Mao. Mao’s image has been subject to much manipulation, change, and various uses, so these early images are important.

The entire book was a massive coup for Snow. But what story does it tell of Mao at Yan’an? Perhaps not entirely the one Mao told Snow or that Snow understood Mao telling him. Biography, history, reportage are all famously tricky areas. But it’s also important to remember that the Nationalists clamped down on any publicity or reporting about Mao, Zhū Dé 朱德, and the communists, making Red Star Over China’s impact even greater.

Today, Red Star Over China is read differently in China, Japan, Europe, and the U.S., given prevailing attitudes to China, communism, socialism, and Snow himself. He is venerated in China, though perhaps now in the West a little forgotten, except of course by students of China who invariably find their way to him early on in their reading. That’s not a bad thing — Red Star Over China can at times be a gripping read, inspiring to would-be journalists perhaps. But it is also an abject lesson in the pitfalls of access in China, and a reminder to try to understand when you’re seeing the wider picture and when you’re being fed a line.

Finally, and perhaps most remarkably, it is important to remember that Mao spent a lot of time with Snow. They talked for hours. The chances of that sort of relationship being built between a foreign journalist and a senior leader of the CCP today is, quite frankly, unimaginable. Read more

Audible China!

 
The 2023 edition is out and, with it, the new Audible version. Listen and wonder!

It's the only book that explains all three elements of China's success:
 
  1. Talent at the Top: Only the brightest, most idealistic people are are admitted to politics–a policy unchanged in 2200 years.
  2. Data in the Middle: policies are implemented, tracked, and optimized based on terabytes of data. The PRC is the world's largest consumer of public surveys.
  3. Democracy at the Bottom: ordinary people, all unpaid amateurs, assemble twice a year to check the stats and sign off on new legislation. Policies need a minimum of 66% support to become law. That's why 95% of Chinese say the country is on the right track.
The proof? There are more hungry children, more poor, homeless, drug addicted, and imprisoned people in America than in China.  

Why China Leads the World
investigates why the epidemic accelerated the change of global leadership from America to China and examines China’s bigger, steadier economy, its science leadership, stronger military, more powerful allies, and wider international support.

Crammed with charts, footnotes, and lengthy quotes, Why China Leads the World is a profoundly disturbing book that helps readers understand the tectonic shift and adapt to this new era–and even thrive in it.
***
The size of China's displacement of the world balance is such that the world must find a new balance. It is not possible to pretend that this is just another big player. This is the biggest player in the history of the world. Lee Kuan Yew: The Future of US-China Relations. The Atlantic.  
***
The Coronavirus accelerated the pace of change of global leadership from America to China. There are now more hungry children, more poor, homeless, drug addicted, and imprisoned people in America than in China. 

Suddenly, China's larger, steadier economy, its leadership in science, its stronger military, more powerful allies, and wider international support have handed it a lead that widens every day.  Crammed with direct quotes from its movers and shakers, charts, and footnotes, Why China Leads the World tells a remarkable tale, explains a tectonic shift, and helps you adapt to this new era, and even thrive in it. 
 ***
If we could just be China for one day we could actually authorize the right decisions. Thomas L. Friedman. The New York Times  

300 pages, 27 charts and graphs. $9.99 on Amazon and in bookstores worldwide.

Atrocities?

 

For decades, Western media have been narrating the same story about China being this brutal “dictatorship” whose people are killed at the hands of the criminal communist regime, giving the Tiananmen Square massacre as a prime example of the brutality of the Chinese government, wherein supposedly scores of students were killed at the hands of the People’s Liberation Army. However, a new book emerged proving that these claims are false and have no foundation to them except for Washington’s aspirations to tarnish the image of the Chinese Communist Party.

Atrocity Fabrication and Its Consequences: How Fake News Shapes World Order, a new book by A. B. Abrams, highlights that there never were any killings in the infamous Tiananmen Square back in 1989 as had been spread by Western propaganda for decades, and it was revealed that the entire affair was but a mere attempt at showing China as the villain in the geopolitical arena. The book underlines that no killings, let alone a massacre as is proclaimed, took place in Tiananmen Square.

How did the U.S. succeed in manipulating the mainstream narrative and have millions upon millions of people believe that China initiated a mass murder of its own people—young college students—crushing them with tanks and shooting them down with machine guns? The answer is simple: the manipulation of public perception through the press. This could be done using media out of context and providing an incomplete version of the truth.

For example, the most infamous piece of media “documenting” the crime to ever exist is a video showing a tank marching onto a person alleged to have been a student, and right as the tank gets close enough to the young man and stops, the video is cut, with there being some text accompanying the video hinting or proclaiming that the tank went on to run over the protester. However, that could not be further from the truth. In reality, other protesters rushed to the scene and accompanied him from there as the tank was standing in place waiting for him to comply and get out of its way.

The book argues that all the acts committed by the United States were in a bid to “justify wars of conquest and exploitation” and generate multi-billion-dollar profits for the notorious military-industrial complex, as reported by CovertAction Magazine.

Abrams highlighted that the Tiananmen Square protests initially took place not as a push for Westernization or the downfall of the Chinese government. Instead, their primary focus was on reinforcing the principles of China’s 1949 Communist Revolution and addressing the issue of corrupt officials who had deviated from Maoist principles.

This movement encompassed not only students but also a significant number of workers, who exhibited a stronger anti-CCP stance. Their collective objective aimed at the establishment of a socialist democracy within the framework of the movement.

The book cited a cable from the U.S. Embassy in Beijing that WikiLeaks published in 2016. The leak included reports on the eyewitness account of a Chilean diplomat and his wife who were present when the PLA made it to Tiananmen Square to disperse the protesters. The pair made it in and out of the square numerous times without any harassment and observed no mass firing of weapons into the crowds. They never saw any use of lethal force, to begin with.

Moreover, the book cited former Washington Post Beijing Bureau chief Jay Mathews who, in 1998, admitted that “all verified eyewitness accounts say that the students who remained in the square when troops arrived were allowed to leave peacefully.”

It also cited Reuters  correspondent Graham Earnshaw, who spent the night of June 3-4 at the center of Tiananmen Square and reported that most of the students left the square peacefully with the remainder of them being persuaded to do the same.

As is customary, the main source the Western media used to claim that a massacre took place was an anonymous student from Qinghua University making claims to the Hong Kong press, who then made it to the British media.

Still, BBC‘s Beijing correspondent James Miles said there was no massacre.

Western reporting had conveyed the wrong impression and protesters who were still in the square when the army reached it were allowed to leave after negotiations.

The narrative was also completely spun out of proportion, with the perpetrators being painted as the victims of a crime that was never committed in the first place. The book underlined that those who did die in Beijing during the events lost their lives in street battles between the PLA and insurgents far from the square. Reports from the U.S. Department of State underlined that the unarmed PLA officers were attacked with petrol bombs, burning many alive.

Uyghurs, another ‘crime’ China committed

The hoax built around Tiananmen Square was a blueprint for U.S. media campaigns aimed at showing the Chinese government in a bad light, as Washington went on to accuse Beijing of perpetrating a genocide against the Uyghur people in Xinjiang province.

The book stressed that the claims about the so-called Uyghur genocide relied on nothing but hardline extremist U.S.-funded anti-China groups. Namely, they were funded by the CIA-affiliated National Endowment for Democracy, which was tasked with carrying out what the notorious spy agency had done alone under the covers for decades.

Amid the claims of Beijing genociding the Uyghurs, the Uyghur population in Xinjiang saw an increase of 25% between 2010 and 2018 instead of the population experiencing a contraction. Even facilities the West claimed to have been “concentration camps” in which Uyghurs were killed en masse and “brainwashed” or “indoctrinated” appeared to have been a logistics park, a regular detention center, and elementary and middle schools.

Xinjiang looks good, safe, and secure, and all the people I spoke with seemed happy about it, former London Metropolitan Police Officer Jerry Grey, who spent a lot of time traveling in Xinjiang, said.

“Uyghurs in China have been growing faster than the majority Han Chinese in part because they weren’t subject to the one-child policy, they have 20,000 mosques built […] Uyghur children can get into top universities easier than Han Chinese, and have halal foods prepared for them in canteens and they have a prayer area on campus,” Daniel Dumbrill, a Canadian businessman and Chinese political analyst said.

“Portraying an adversary as committing particularly egregious crimes, especially when one intends to initiate military action or other hostile measures against the adversary, has consistently provided an effective means of moving public and international opinion and justifying [US imperial] actions,” Abrams said in his book.

Yugoslavia

The book also shed light on the U.S. propaganda focused in the 1990s on Serb leader Slobodan Milosevic, a socialist who sought to keep Yugoslavia together, accusing him of genocide in Kosovo and elsewhere.

Milosevic, a socialist, aimed to maintain the unity of Yugoslavia and prevent its fragmentation. This effort was driven by his desire to counteract Western nations’ potential expansion of influence and the establishment of U.S. military bases in a strategically vital area.

Interestingly, the most severe instances of ethnic cleansing during the war were actually executed by the Croats through Operation Storm, a plan devised by the CIA.

The Clinton administration additionally provided support to the Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA), which sought to establish an ethnically homogeneous Albanian state. This endeavor involved targeting Serbs and other minority groups.

Financing from the drug trade played a significant role in sustaining the KLA, leading the State Department to label it a “terrorist organization”. The NATO North Atlantic Council identified the KLA as the primary instigator of violence in Kosovo.

The narrative of genocide and the Serbs running concentration camps once again heavily relied on the testimony of an individual who openly admitted to not witnessing any killings—propagandist reporter Roy Gutman. This account was eventually discredited when a British journalist visited an alleged death camp, discovering that the inmates had voluntarily sought refuge from the nearby conflict in surrounding villages.

Yugoslavia was a highly successful state that united numerous contemporary Baltic nations under the banner of communism, and it met its demise when the United States and NATO waged a war against it, killing hundreds of civilians in the notorious bombing campaign it launched on the country in order to “sow democracy” there.

Syria

The same man who was one of the main reasons behind the collapse of Yugoslavia was almost able to do the same with Syria. Gutman played a major role in another similar war launched over a decade later against Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad.

The propaganda effort pushed by Gutman was similar to the one he peddled earlier, with it including the mass murder of people at the hands of the government without any evidence backing up these claims.

Western media and regimes falsely accused Al-Assad of carrying out attacks with chemical weapons against his own people while the attacks were likely carried out by U.S.-backed terrorists.

Back in November, the Grayzone website published a series of leaks that expose how senior officials of the OPCW censored this explosive finding in the Syrian city of Douma.

In its investigation, the website stated that “in the early days of the OPCW’s investigation of an alleged chemical attack in Douma, Syria, expert toxicologists ruled out chlorine gas as the cause of death for more than 40 civilians reported at the scene.”

The Korean War: Another ‘atrocity’

The Korean War, a war peddled by the United States that wound up splitting one people into two, was presented to the public as a “humanitarian intervention” aimed at rescuing the local population from communist forces. To establish this narrative, the Pentagon sponsored a propaganda film, titled The Crime of Korea narrated by Humphrey Bogart. This film falsely attributed atrocities committed by the South Korean government, with U.S. support, to the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea.

This narrative gained traction within the U.S. media and significantly bolstered the perception of the war as “morally justified”. An influential Timemagazine column titled “Barbarity” furthered this perspective by describing a communist massacre in Taejon, which subsequent investigations revealed was actually perpetrated by South Korean troops allied with the U.S.

Charles E. Potter, Chairman of the Senate Subcommittee on Korean Atrocities and appointed by Senator Joseph McCarthy, notorious for McCarthyism, which was responsible for the persecution of anyone even thought to be affiliated with any leftist organization or held any left-wing beliefs, emphasized the inhumane acts committed by U.S. adversaries. He recounted gruesome incidents, such as a “Red Chinese” nurse using garden shears to sever a GI’s toes without anesthesia and American POWs being subjected to torture with bamboo spears and confinement in small iron cages until death, with maggots infesting their eye sockets.

However, the accounts presented by Potter contradicted the testimonies of American and British POWs, who indicated that their treatment by captors was generally decent, although they had to attend lectures on communism.

Meanwhile, U.S.-run POW camps subjected DPRK and Chinese prisoners to severe brutality. These inmates were massacred for singing revolutionary songs and subjected to violent coercion to renounce repatriation to their homelands. This strategy aimed to score Cold War propaganda points by portraying defection to the West as a desire born out of the perceived superiority of its political-economic system.

The campaign of propaganda against the DPRK extended well into the 21st century, with increasingly extravagant made-up tales to portray the country in a negative light. Many of these stories were propagated by DPRK defectors, some of whom were influenced or incentivized by South Korea and possibly the CIA.

Shin Dong-hyuk, a defector, collaborated with Washington Postcorrespondent Blaine Harden to write a highly successful book Escape From Camp 14: One Man’s Remarkable Odyssey from North Korea to Freedom in the West. However, this account was later revealed to be a fabrication.

Yeonmi Park, another defector, who charges a speaking fee of $12,500 on Western media outlets, even made the ludicrous claim that her friend’s mother was executed for watching a Hollywood movie.

Lee Soon-ok, yet another defector, testified before a House committee in 2004 that she had witnessed Christians being tortured and burned to death in DPRK political prisons. However, the head of the North Korean Defectors’ Association, Chang In-suk, contradicted this, asserting that Lee was never a political prisoner.

Abrams noted that fabricated reports about DPRK state executions of prominent figures often coincided with the surprising reappearance of these supposedly deceased individuals on camera.

In a CNN report from May 2015, it was alleged that DPRK leader Kim Jong Un had ordered the poisoning and killing of his aunt, Kim Kyong Hui. However, Mrs. Kim appeared in public in January 2020, highlighting the inaccuracy of the claim.

Abrams suggested that these false defector testimonies and biased media coverage were embraced in the West due to the “self-gratification” they provided, seemingly affirming the notion of Western superiority over the least Westernized state. Additionally, they often served as justifications for hostile policies, including economic sanctions, against the DPRK.

The book talks about the demonization of the Russian and Vietnamese governments, as well as that of Libya and Iraq in a bid to validate the Gulf War, while also revisiting numerous cases of U.S. propaganda aimed at subverting its foes while giving impetus to itself and its beliefs in a bid to uphold the unipolar system that it has been trying so hard to keep propped up—to no avail. The recounting of the countless crimes committed by the United States comes as no surprise to many as the latter has done so for decades, and continues to do so, exploiting its hold on the media to give itself the moral high ground over its geopolitical enemies. Monthly ReviewAmazon.

The ISC Report

The ISC (Needham) Report


The Report of the International Scientific Commission for the Investigation of Facts Concerning Bacteriological Warfare in Korea and China (the ISC report), published at the height of the Korean War, validated claims by North Korea and China that the US had launched bacteriological warfare (biological warfare, BW) attacks against both troops and civilian targets in those two countries over a period of several months in 1952.
   

The most vilified document of the 20th Century.

The report’s release in September, 1952, brought a withering international attack. It was roundly denounced by American and British politicians of the highest rank, ridiculed by four star generals, accused of fraud by celebrated pundits, misquoted by notable scientists, and scorned by a compliant Western press. Charges were made against the quality and truthfulness of its science. Its “unstated” political agenda was denounced. The ethics of interviewing captured US pilots was excoriated and its authors were publicly flayed as communist dupes. The report was red baited in the US halls of Congress and deemed unpatriotic to read, and therefore went unread and deliberately forgotten over the years, which has been the fate of Korean War history in general. In subsequent decades, volumes placed in American university library collections were quietly and permanently removed from circulation.
   
When the rare copy came up for auction, it was discretely purchased and disappeared from public view. This critical 67 year old truth commission document from the Korean War was slipping towards oblivion. For these very reasons, historians and truth seekers should exalt the wondrous rebirth of the ISC Report from near extinction with the publication of this new electronic edition. We welcome the sunshine that re-publication brings to a shadowy and suppressed chapter of American Cold War history. (from the introduction by Thomas Powell) 800 pages.  $9.99.

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