Opinion polling for the next German federal election

In the run-up to the next German federal election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Germany. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

Poll results[edit]

Graphical summary[edit]

2024[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	FW	BSW	Others	Lead
INSA	19–22 Apr 2024	2,008	–	15	30.5	12.5	5	18.5	4	2.5	7	5	12
Forsa	16–22 Apr 2024	2,501	25	16	31	12	5	16	–	–	5	15	15
INSA	15–19 Apr 2024	1,204	–	15	30	13	5	18	4	2	7	6	12
Verian	10–16 Apr 2024	1,445	–	16	30	14	5	18	3	3	5	6	12
INSA	12–15 Apr 2024	2,006	–	16	29.5	13	6	18.5	3	2.5	6.5	5	11
Forsa	9–15 Apr 2024	2,505	23	16	31	12	5	17	–	–	5	14	14
INSA	8–12 Apr 2024	1,203	–	16	30	13	5	18	3	2	6	7	12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	9–11 Apr 2024	1,254	20	16	31	12	4	18	3	–	6	10	13
YouGov	5–10 Apr 2024	1,588	–	14	29	15	5	19	4	1	7	6	10
INSA	5–8 Apr 2024	2,084	–	15	30.5	13	5	18.5	3.5	2.5	6.5	5.5	12
Forsa	2–8 Apr 2024	2,506	24	16	30	13	5	17	–	–	5	14	13
Ipsos	5–7 Apr 2024	2,000	–	15	29	13	5	18	4	3	7	6	11
INSA	2–5 Apr 2024	1,243	–	15	31	13	5	19	3	2	6	6	12
Infratest dimap	2–3 Apr 2024	1,304	–	15	30	15	4	18	3	3	5	7	12
INSA	28 Mar – 2 Apr 2024	2,004	–	15	30	12.5	5	19.5	3.5	2.5	6.5	5.5	10.5
Forsa	26–28 Mar 2024	1,508	24	16	31	13	4	17	–	–	5	14	14
INSA	25–28 Mar 2024	1,210	–	15	30	13	5	20	3	2	6	6	10
INSA	22–25 Mar 2024	2,008	–	15.5	30	12.5	5	19.5	3.5	2.5	6.5	5	10.5
Forsa	19–25 Mar 2024	2,503	24	16	31	13	4	17	3	3	5	8	14
INSA	18–22 Mar 2024	1,204	–	16	30	13	5	19	3	2	6	6	11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	19–21 Mar 2024	1,296	19	16	31	13	4	18	3	–	6	9	13
Wahlkreisprognose	18–20 Mar 2024	1,300	–	19.5	29	14	4	15	3.5	–	6.5	8.5	9.5
Verian	13–19 Mar 2024	1,480	–	17	29	15	5	18	3	–	5	8	11
INSA	15–18 Mar 2024	2,002	–	16	29.5	12	5	19.5	3.5	2.5	6.5	5.5	10
Forsa	12–18 Mar 2024	2,500	24	16	31	13	4	17	3	3	5	8	14
INSA	11–15 Mar 2024	1,199	–	15	30	12	5	19	3	2	6	8	11
Allensbach	1–14 Mar 2024	1,027	–	15	34	14	5	16	3	–	7	6	18
INSA	8–11 Mar 2024	2,079	–	14.5	31	12.5	5.5	18.5	3.5	2.5	6.5	5.5	12.5
Forsa	5–11 Mar 2024	2,502	26	15	30	14	5	17	3	3	5	8	13
INSA	4–8 Mar 2024	1,249	–	15	31	12	5	19	3	2	7	6	12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	5–7 Mar 2024	1,260	19	15	30	15	4	18	3	3	5	7	12
Infratest dimap	4–6 Mar 2024	1,288	–	16	29	14	5	19	3	–	6	8	10
YouGov	1–5 Mar 2024	1,762	–	15	29	14	4	19	4	1	7	7	10
INSA	1–4 Mar 2024	2,024	–	14.5	30.5	13	5.5	19.5	3	2.5	6.5	5	11
Forsa	27 Feb – 4 Mar 2024	2,506	–	15	31	14	5	17	3	3	4	8	14
Ipsos	1–3 Mar 2024	2,000	–	15	29	14	5	18	3	3	7	6	11
INSA	26 Feb – 1 Mar 2024	1,200	–	15	30	13	5	19	3	3	7	5	11
Verian	21–27 Feb 2024	1,392	–	16	30	15	5	18	3	–	4	9	12
INSA	23–26 Feb 2024	2,006	–	15.5	30.5	13	4.5	19	3	3	7.5	4	11.5
Forsa	20–26 Feb 2024	2,503	–	14	30	15	5	17	3	3	4	9	13
INSA	19–23 Feb 2024	1,203	–	15	30	13	5	19	3	3	8	4	11
Wahlkreisprognose	21–22 Feb 2024	1,300	–	14	28.5	12.5	5.5	19	2	2	8.5	8	9.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	20–22 Feb 2024	1,294	18	15	30	14	4	19	4	–	5	9	11
Verian	14–20 Feb 2024	1,505	–	16	29	15	4	19	3	–	5	9	10
INSA	16–19 Feb 2024	2,007	–	14.5	30.5	12.5	4.5	19.5	3.5	3	7.5	4.5	11
Forsa	13–19 Feb 2024	2,504	24	15	30	14	5	17	3	3	4	9	13
INSA	12–16 Feb 2024	1,203	–	14	31	13	4	19	3	3	8	5	12
Allensbach	3–15 Feb 2024	1,053	–	15	32	14	6	18	3	–	7	5	14
INSA	9–12 Feb 2024	2,083	–	15	30	12.5	3.5	20.5	3.5	3	7.5	4.5	9.5
Forsa	6–12 Feb 2024	2,502	25	15	31	14	4	18	3	–	5	10	13
INSA	5–8 Feb 2024	1,276	–	15	30	13	4	20	3	3	7	5	10
YouGov	2–6 Feb 2024	2,018	–	14	31	12	4	20	3	1	7	6	11
INSA	2–5 Feb 2024	2,004	–	15	30	12.5	4.5	20.5	3.5	3	7.5	3.5	9.5
GMS	31 Jan – 5 Feb 2024	1,012	–	16	32	13	4	18	2	3	5	7	14
Forsa	30 Jan – 5 Feb 2024	2,503	25	15	31	14	4	18	3	3	5	7	13
Ipsos	2–4 Feb 2024	2,000	–	15	30	13	4	18	4	3	8	5	12
INSA	29 Jan – 2 Feb 2024	1,202	–	15	30	13	4	20	4	3	7	4	10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	30 Jan – 1 Feb 2024	1,217	20	15	31	13	4	19	3	3	6	6	12
Infratest dimap	29–31 Jan 2024	1,303	–	16	30	14	4	19	3	–	5	9	11
INSA	26–29 Jan 2024	2,002	–	14.5	30	12.5	5	21	3.5	2.5	7	4	9
Forsa	23–29 Jan 2024	2,506	27	15	32	14	3	19	3	3	3	8	13
INSA	22–26 Jan 2024	1,201	–	14	31	13	4	21	4	2	7	4	10
Wahlkreisprognose	22–24 Jan 2024	1,366	26	17.5	30.5	11	4.5	22	2.5	4	–	8	8.5
				15.5	27.5	12.5	6.5	19	2.5	2	9	5.5	8.5
Verian	16–23 Jan 2024	1,922	–	16	29	16	4	19	4	–	3	9	10
pollytix	19–22 Jan 2024	1,530	–	15	29	12	5	22	4	–	9	4	7
INSA	19–22 Jan 2024	2,006	–	13.5	30.5	12.5	5	21.5	3	2.5	–	11.5	8
Forsa	16–22 Jan 2024	2,503	–	14	31	14	4	20	4	3	3	7	11
INSA	15–19 Jan 2024	1,203	–	13	30	13	5	22	3	3	7	4	8
Allensbach	5–18 Jan 2024	1,018	–	15	34	13.5	6	19.5	4	3	–	5	14.5
INSA	12–15 Jan 2024	2,004	–	14	31	12	5	23	4	3	–	8	8
Forsa	9–15 Jan 2024	2,504	–	13	31	14	4	22	4	3	–	9	9
INSA	11–12 Jan 2024	1,002	–	14	27	12	4	18	3	3	14	5	9
INSA	8–12 Jan 2024	1,202	–	15	30	12	5	22	4	3	–	9	8
Verian	9–11 Jan 2024	1,359	–	14	31	16	4	22	4	3	–	6	9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	9–11 Jan 2024	1,337	21	13	31	14	4	22	4	4	4	4	9
INSA	5–8 Jan 2024	2,008	–	16	32	12	5	23	4	3	–	5	9
YouGov	3–8 Jan 2024	1,614	–	15	29	12	6	24	5	2	–	7	5
Forsa	2–8 Jan 2024	2,502	–	15	30	14	4	22	4	3	–	8	8
Ipsos	5–7 Jan 2024	2,000	–	15	30	13	6	22	5	–	–	9	8
INSA	2–5 Jan 2024	1,204	–	16	31	12	5	23	4	3	–	6	8
Wahlkreisprognose	2–4 Jan 2024	1,500	24	12	34	10.5	4.5	24.5	3	4	–	7.5	9.5
Infratest dimap	2–3 Jan 2024	1,321	–	14	31	13	5	22	4	3	–	8	9
INSA	29 Dec – 2 Jan 2024	2,002	–	15	32	13	5	22.5	4	3	–	5.5	9.5
GMS	27 Dec – 2 Jan 2024	1,004	–	14	33	13	6	23	3	3	–	5	10
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	23.4	25.7	24.2	14.7	11.4	10.4	4.9	2.4	–	6.3	1.6

2023[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	FW	Others	Lead
INSA	28–29 Dec 2023	1,001	–	15	32	12	5	23	4	3	6	9
INSA	22–27 Dec 2023	2,000	–	15	32	12	5	23	4	3	6	9
Forsa	19–22 Dec 2023	–	–	14	31	14	5	22	3	–	11	9
INSA	18–22 Dec 2023	1,202	–	15	32	12	5	22	4	3	7	10
Infratest dimap	18–20 Dec 2023	1,210	–	14	32	14	5	21	3	4	7	11
Verian	13–19 Dec 2023	1,421	–	15	31	15	4	21	4	–	10	10
INSA	15–18 Dec 2023	2,002	–	15.5	31.5	12.5	5	23	4	2.5	6	8.5
Forsa	12–18 Dec 2023	2,501	26	14	31	13	5	23	3	–	11	8
INSA	11–15 Dec 2023	1,202	–	15	32	12	5	23	4	2	7	9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	12–14 Dec 2023	1,146	21	14	32	14	5	22	4	3	6	10
Allensbach	1–14 Dec 2023	1,013	–	17	34	15	5	18	3.5	3	4.5	16
Verian	6–12 Dec 2023	1,515	–	15	30	16	5	20	4	–	10	10
INSA	8–11 Dec 2023	2,008	–	16	30	12.5	6	22.5	4	3	6	7.5
GMS	6–11 Dec 2023	1,001	–	14	32	15	5	22	2	3	7	10
Forsa	5–11 Dec 2023	2,501	27	14	31	13	5	22	4	–	11	9
INSA	4–8 Dec 2023	1,203	–	16	30	12	6	22	4	3	7	8
Infratest dimap	4–6 Dec 2023	1,364	–	14	32	15	4	21	3	3	8	11
YouGov	1–6 Dec 2023	1,669	–	14	30	14	6	23	4	2	7	7
Verian	29 Nov – 5 Dec 2023	1,402	–	14	30	17	4	20	4	–	11	10
INSA	1–4 Dec 2023	2,006	–	15.5	29.5	13	6	22.5	3.5	3	7	7
Forsa	28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023	2,501	–	14	30	14	5	22	4	–	11	8
Ipsos	1–3 Dec 2023	2,000	–	16	29	13	6	21	5	–	10	8
INSA	27 Nov – 1 Dec 2023	1,202	–	16	30	13	6	22	3	3	7	8
Verian	20–28 Nov 2023	1,806	–	17	29	16	5	19	4	–	10	10
Wahlkreisprognose	25–27 Nov 2023	1,200	25	15	31	13	5	26	3.5	–	6.5	5
INSA	24–27 Nov 2023	2,007	–	15.5	30.5	12.5	6	22	4	3	6.5	8.5
Forsa	21–27 Nov 2023	2,500	25	14	30	15	5	21	4	–	11	9
INSA	20–24 Nov 2023	1,202	–	16	30	12	6	22	4	3	7	8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	21–23 Nov 2023	1,242	22	15	31	15	5	22	4	–	8	9
Verian	14–21 Nov 2023	1,452	–	16	29	17	5	20	4	–	9	9
INSA	17–20 Nov 2023	2,003	–	16.5	30	13	5.5	21	4.5	3	6.5	9
Forsa	14–20 Nov 2023	2,501	26	15	30	14	5	21	3	3	9	9
INSA	13–17 Nov 2023	1,201	–	16	30	13	6	21	4	3	7	9
Allensbach	1–16 Nov 2023	1,047	–	17	32	13.5	6	19	3.5	4	5	13
Verian	8–14 Nov 2023	1,421	–	16	28	16	6	20	4	–	10	8
INSA	10–13 Nov 2023	2,008	–	16.5	30.5	13.5	5	21.5	4.5	3	5.5	9
Forsa	7–13 Nov 2023	2,504	–	14	30	14	5	21	4	3	9	9
INSA	6–10 Nov 2023	1,204	–	17	30	14	5	21	4	3	6	9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	7–9 Nov 2023	1,234	21	16	30	15	5	21	4	3	6	9
Infratest dimap	7–8 Nov 2023	1,195	–	15	30	15	5	21	4	3	7	9
YouGov	3–7 Nov 2023	1,732	–	15	29	15	5	22	5	2	7	7
Kantar	1–7 Nov 2023	1,443	–	16	28	16	6	20	4	3	7	8
INSA	3–6 Nov 2023	2,006	–	16.5	29.5	13.5	5.5	22	4.5	3	5.5	7.5
Forsa	31 Oct – 6 Nov 2023	2,502	–	15	29	14	5	21	4	3	9	8
Ipsos	3–5 Nov 2023	2,000	–	17	28	15	6	20	5	–	9	8
INSA	30 Oct – 3 Nov 2023	1,204	–	16	30	13	6	22	4	3	6	8
Infratest dimap	30 Oct – 1 Nov 2023	1,314	–	16	30	14	4	22	5	3	6	8
Kantar	25–31 Oct 2023	1,418	–	17	27	16	5	21	4	–	10	6
INSA	27–30 Oct 2023	2,010	–	16.5	30.5	13	5.5	21	4	3.5	6	9.5
Forsa	24–30 Oct 2023	2,501	26	15	29	14	5	22	3	3	9	7
INSA	23–27 Oct 2023	1,216	–	16	31	13	6	21	4	3	6	10
Wahlkreisprognose	23–25 Oct 2023	1,300	24	14.5	30	14	6	22	4	–	9.5	8
Kantar	18–24 Oct 2023	1,422	–	16	28	16	5	20	5	–	10	8
INSA	20–23 Oct 2023	2,004	–	16.5	28.5	13	5.5	22	5	3.5	6	6.5
Forsa	17–23 Oct 2023	2,504	–	14	31	14	5	21	4	3	8	10
INSA	16–20 Oct 2023	1,202	–	16	29	13	5	22	5	4	6	7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	17–19 Oct 2023	1,252	21	15	30	14	5	21	5	3	7	9
Allensbach	6–19 Oct 2023	1,010	–	17	34	13	5	19	3	4	5	15
Kantar	11–17 Oct 2023	1,388	–	14	31	15	5	21	4	3	7	10
INSA	13–16 Oct 2023	2,006	–	16.5	28	13	6	23	4.5	4	5	5
Forsa	10–16 Oct 2023	2,501	22	14	32	14	4	21	4	3	8	11
INSA	9–13 Oct 2023	1,202	–	17	28	13	6	23	5	4	4	5
Infratest dimap	10–11 Oct 2023	1,203	–	15	29	13	5	23	4	4	5	6
YouGov	6–10 Oct 2023	1,842	–	16	29	15	5	21	6	2	5	8
Kantar	4–10 Oct 2023	1,386	–	16	27	15	6	22	5	3	6	5
INSA	6–9 Oct 2023	2,001	–	17	27	13.5	6	22.5	5	3	6	4.5
Forsa	4–9 Oct 2023	2,003	–	18	28	14	6	20	4	–	10	8
Ipsos	6–8 Oct 2023	2,000	–	17	26	14	7	22	5	–	9	4
INSA	2–6 Oct 2023	1,201	–	17	27	14	6	22	5	3	6	5
INSA	29 Sep – 2 Oct 2023	2,010	–	18	26.5	13.5	7	22	5	2.5	5.5	4.5
Forsa	26–29 Sep 2023	2,004	25	18	28	14	5	20	4	–	11	8
INSA	25–29 Sep 2023	1,206	–	18	26	14	7	22	5	3	5	4
Kantar	26–28 Sep 2023	1,391	–	16	26	16	7	21	5	–	9	5
Infratest dimap	25–27 Sep 2023	1,302	–	16	28	14	6	22	4	3	7	6
Kantar	20–26 Sep 2023	1,356	–	16	27	15	7	21	5	–	9	6
Wahlkreisprognose	24–25 Sep 2023	1,200	24	18.5	24	15	6.5	23	3.5	–	9.5	1
INSA	22–25 Sep 2023	2,003	–	17.5	27	13.5	6.5	21.5	5	3	6	5.5
Forsa	19–25 Sep 2023	2,503	27	17	27	14	6	21	4	–	11	6
INSA	18–22 Sep 2023	1,203	–	17	27	14	6	22	5	3	6	5
Kantar	13–19 Sep 2023	1,370	–	17	27	15	7	21	4	–	9	6
INSA	15–18 Sep 2023	2,008	–	17	26.5	14.5	6	21	5	3.5	6.5	5.5
GMS	13–18 Sep 2023	1,002	–	16	27	15	6	23	4	–	9	4
Forsa	12–18 Sep 2023	2,504	27	17	27	14	6	22	4	–	10	5
INSA	11–15 Sep 2023	1,204	–	17	27	15	6	21	5	3	6	6
Allensbach	4–15 Sep 2023	1,030	–	18	30	14	7	19	5	–	7	11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	12–14 Sep 2023	1,201	21	17	26	16	6	21	5	3	6	5
Infratest dimap	12–13 Sep 2023	1,222	–	16	28	15	7	22	4	–	8	6
Kantar	6–12 Sep 2023	1,442	–	16	26	15	7	22	5	–	9	4
INSA	8–11 Sep 2023	2,002	–	18	26.5	14	7	22	4.5	–	8	4.5
Forsa	5–11 Sep 2023	2,505	28	17	27	13	7	21	4	–	11	6
INSA	4–8 Sep 2023	1,201	–	18	27	13	7	22	5	–	8	5
YouGov	1–6 Sep 2023	1,833	–	16	29	14	5	23	5	1	8	6
Kantar	30 Aug – 5 Sep 2023	1,441	–	17	26	15	6	21	5	–	10	5
INSA	1–4 Sep 2023	2,010	–	17.5	26.5	13.5	7.5	21.5	4.5	–	9	5
Forsa	29 Aug – 4 Sep 2023	2,506	–	16	27	14	7	21	4	–	11	6
Ipsos	1–3 Sep 2023	2,000	–	17	26	14	8	21	6	–	8	5
INSA	28 Aug – 1 Sep 2023	1,195	–	18	27	13	7	21	5	–	9	6
Infratest dimap	28–30 Aug 2023	1,310	–	16	29	14	6	22	4	–	9	7
Kantar	23–29 Aug 2023	1,330	–	18	25	15	7	20	5	–	10	5
INSA	25–28 Aug 2023	2,006	–	18	26.5	14.5	7	21	4.5	–	8.5	5.5
Forsa	22–28 Aug 2023	2,504	29	17	26	14	7	21	4	–	11	5
Wahlkreisprognose	22–27 Aug 2023	1,200	26	20.5	25	13	7.5	22	4	–	8	3
INSA	21–25 Aug 2023	1,285	–	18	27	14	7	21	5	–	8	6
Kantar	16–22 Aug 2023	1,426	–	18	26	14	7	20	5	–	10	6
INSA	18–21 Aug 2023	2,008	–	18.5	26.5	14	8	20.5	5	–	7.5	6
Forsa	15–21 Aug 2023	2,506	29	18	26	14	7	20	4	–	11	6
INSA	14–18 Aug 2023	1,203	–	18	27	14	8	21	5	–	7	6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	15–17 Aug 2023	1,288	26	19	26	15	7	20	5	–	8	6
Infratest dimap	15–16 Aug 2023	1,216	–	17	27	14	7	21	4	–	10	6
Allensbach	4–16 Aug 2023	1,026	–	19	29	14	7	19	5	–	7	10
Kantar	9–15 Aug 2023	1,426	–	18	26	15	7	19	5	–	10	7
INSA	11–14 Aug 2023	2,002	–	19.5	26	13.5	7	21	4.5	–	8.5	5
Forsa	8–14 Aug 2023	2,501	28	17	25	15	7	21	4	–	11	4
INSA	7–11 Aug 2023	1,200	–	20	26	13	7	21	5	–	8	5
GMS	2–9 Aug 2023	1,004	–	17	27	14	7	21	4	–	10	6
Kantar	2–8 Aug 2023	1,330	–	19	27	16	6	18	6	–	8	8
INSA	4–7 Aug 2023	2,004	–	19	27	14.5	7.5	20.5	4.5	–	7	6.5
Forsa	1–7 Aug 2023	2,502	28	17	25	15	7	21	4	–	11	4
Ipsos	4–6 Aug 2023	1,000	–	17	26	15	8	22	5	–	7	4
INSA	31 Jul – 4 Aug 2023	1,203	–	19	27	14	7	21	5	–	7	6
Infratest dimap	31 Jul – 2 Aug 2023	1,297	–	17	27	15	7	21	4	–	9	6
Kantar	26 Jul – 1 Aug 2023	1,310	–	19	27	16	6	19	5	–	8	8
YouGov	25 Jul – 2 Aug 2023	1,756	–	17	27	14	5	23	6	1	7	4
INSA	28–31 Jul 2023	2,003	–	18.5	26.5	14	6.5	21.5	5	–	8	5
Forsa	25–31 Jul 2023	2,500	28	17	25	15	6	21	5	–	11	4
INSA	24–28 Jul 2023	1,200	–	18	26	14	7	22	5	–	8	4
Wahlkreisprognose	26–27 Jul 2023	1,525	23	20.5	25	13	7	20.5	4.5	3	6.5	4.5
Kantar	19–25 Jul 2023	1,402	–	18	27	16	6	20	5	–	8	7
INSA	21–24 Jul 2023	2,006	–	18.5	26.5	14	7.5	21.5	4.5	–	7.5	5
Forsa	18–24 Jul 2023	2,504	28	18	27	14	6	19	5	–	11	8
INSA	17–21 Jul 2023	1,266	–	18	26	14	7	22	5	–	8	4
Infratest dimap	18–19 Jul 2023	1,235	–	18	28	13	7	20	4	–	10	8
Allensbach	7–19 Jul 2023	1,011	–	19	29	16	7	18	4	–	7	10
Kantar	12–18 Jul 2023	1,403	–	18	26	16	7	20	5	–	8	6
INSA	14–17 Jul 2023	2,004	–	18	27	14	7	20.5	5	–	8.5	6.5
Forsa	11–17 Jul 2023	2,502	26	18	26	15	7	20	4	–	10	6
INSA	10–14 Jul 2023	1,184	–	18	27	14	7	20	5	–	9	7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	11–13 Jul 2023	1,347	27	17	27	16	7	20	4	–	9	7
Kantar	5–11 Jul 2023	1,393	–	19	26	15	7	20	5	–	8	6
INSA	7–10 Jul 2023	2,008	–	19	26	14	7	20.5	5	–	8.5	5.5
Ipsos	7–9 Jul 2023	1,000	–	18	26	14	7	22	5	–	8	4
Forsa	4–7 Jul 2023	2,003	25	18	27	14	7	19	5	–	10	8
INSA	3–7 Jul 2023	1,204	–	19	27	13	7	20	5	–	9	7
Infratest dimap	3–5 Jul 2023	1,305	–	18	28	14	7	20	4	–	9	8
YouGov	30 Jun – 4 Jul 2023	1,694	–	18	27	14	6	21	6	1	6	6
Kantar	28 Jun – 4 Jul 2023	1,403	–	18	27	15	6	20	5	–	9	7
INSA	30 Jun – 3 Jul 2023	2,897	–	19	25.5	14.5	6.5	21	5	–	8.5	4.5
GMS	28 Jun – 3 Jul 2023	1,005	–	17	28	14	7	20	4	–	10	8
Forsa	27 Jun – 3 Jul 2023	2,501	25	18	27	15	6	19	5	–	10	8
INSA	26–30 Jun 2023	1,401	–	19	26	14	7	20	5	–	9	6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	27–29 Jun 2023	1,379	24	18	28	16	6	19	5	–	8	9
Kantar	20–27 Jun 2023	1,408	–	18	26	15	7	19	5	–	10	7
INSA	23–26 Jun 2023	2,004	–	19.5	26.5	13.5	6.5	20.5	4.5	–	9	6
Forsa	20–26 Jun 2023	2,506	25	18	27	15	7	19	4	–	10	8
Wahlkreisprognose	22–25 Jun 2023	1,399	25	21	24	14.5	6	21	4.5	–	9	3
INSA	19–23 Jun 2023	1,203	–	20	26	13	7	20	4	–	10	6
Allensbach	9–22 Jun 2023	1,039	–	19	31	15	8	17	4	–	6	12
Infratest dimap	20–21 Jun 2023	1,191	–	17	29	15	6	19	4	–	10	10
Kantar	14–20 Jun 2023	1,406	–	19	27	15	7	20	4	–	8	7
INSA	16–19 Jun 2023	2,006	–	20	26.5	13.5	7.5	20	4.5	–	8	6.5
Forsa	13–19 Jun 2023	2,503	25	18	27	15	7	19	4	–	10	8
INSA	12–16 Jun 2023	1,203	–	20	27	13	8	19	4	–	9	7
Civey	9–16 Jun 2023	10,031	–	19	25	16	7	20	5	–	8	5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	13–15 Jun 2023	1,224	21	19	28	16	6	18	5	–	8	9
Kantar	6–13 Jun 2023	1,387	–	20	27	15	6	19	5	–	8	7
INSA	9–12 Jun 2023	2,003	–	20	27	13	8	19.5	4.5	–	8	7
Forsa	6–12 Jun 2023	2,504	24	18	29	14	7	19	4	–	9	10
INSA	5–9 Jun 2023	1,201	–	20	27	13	8	19	5	–	8	7
YouGov	2–7 Jun 2023	1,628	–	19	28	13	5	20	6	1	7	8
Kantar	31 May – 6 Jun 2023	1,402	–	20	27	15	7	18	5	–	8	7
INSA	2–5 Jun 2023	2,009	–	19	26.5	13.5	9	19	5	–	8	7.5
GMS	31 May – 5 Jun 2023	1,001	–	18	29	15	7	19	4	–	8	10
Forsa	30 May – 5 Jun 2023	2,505	23	18	30	14	7	17	4	–	10	12
Ipsos	2–4 Jun 2023	1,000	–	20	28	13	8	19	6	–	6	8
Wahlkreisprognose	1–2 Jun 2023	1,100	24	21	27	13	8	19	4	–	8	6
INSA	30 May – 2 Jun 2023	1,205	–	19	27	13	9	19	5	–	8	8
Infratest dimap	30–31 May 2023	1,302	–	18	29	15	7	18	4	–	9	11
INSA	26–30 May 2023	2,004	–	20.5	28	13	8.5	18	4.5	–	7.5	7.5
Kantar	23–30 May 2023	1,379	–	20	27	15	8	17	5	–	8	7
Forsa	23–26 May 2023	2,001	23	18	29	14	7	17	5	–	10	11
INSA	22–26 May 2023	1,207	–	20	28	13	9	18	4	–	8	8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	23–25 May 2023	1,257	24	20	28	16	6	17	5	–	8	8
Kantar	16–23 May 2023	1,321	–	18	29	15	8	16	5	–	9	11
INSA	19–22 May 2023	2,004	–	20.5	27.5	14	8.5	17	5	–	7.5	7
Forsa	16–22 May 2023	2,003	–	18	30	14	7	16	5	–	10	12
INSA	15–19 May 2023	1,195	–	21	28	14	8	17	5	–	7	7
Kantar	9–16 May 2023	1,401	–	18	28	16	8	16	5	–	9	10
INSA	12–15 May 2023	2,010	–	20	28	14.5	8.5	16.5	5	–	7.5	8
Forsa	9–15 May 2023	2,503	25	17	30	15	8	16	4	–	10	13
INSA	8–12 May 2023	1,205	–	20	28	15	9	16	4	–	8	8
Infratest dimap	9–10 May 2023	1,220	–	18	28	16	8	16	5	–	9	10
Allensbach	28 Apr – 10 May 2023	1,001	–	18	32	16	8	15	5	–	6	14
YouGov	5–9 May 2023	1,700	–	16	31	16	5	17	6	2	7	14
Kantar	3–9 May 2023	1,405	–	18	29	17	8	16	5	–	7	11
INSA	5–8 May 2023	2,008	–	20	28	14	9	16.5	4.5	–	8	8
Forsa	2–8 May 2023	2,505	–	18	29	16	7	16	4	–	10	11
Ipsos	5–7 May 2023	1,000	–	19	29	15	8	16	5	–	8	10
INSA	2–5 May 2023	1,204	–	20	28	14	9	16	4	–	9	8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	2–4 May 2023	1,225	28	19	30	17	6	15	5	–	8	11
Infratest dimap	2–3 May 2023	1,360	–	17	30	16	7	16	5	–	9	13
INSA	28 Apr – 2 May 2023	2,006	–	21	27	15	8	16.5	4.5	–	8	6
Kantar	26 Apr – 2 May 2023	1,394	–	17	31	16	8	16	4	–	8	14
Wahlkreisprognose	26–30 Apr 2023	1,400	24	21	27.5	14	10.5	15	3.5	–	8.5	6.5
Forsa	25–28 Apr 2023	2,007	–	17	30	16	7	16	4	–	10	13
INSA	24–28 Apr 2023	1,202	–	21	28	14	8	16	5	–	8	7
Kantar	18–25 Apr 2023	1,426	–	18	30	16	7	16	5	–	8	12
INSA	21–24 Apr 2023	2,004	–	20	27.5	14.5	9	16	4.5	–	8.5	7.5
Forsa	18–24 Apr 2023	2,506	23	18	30	16	7	15	4	–	10	12
INSA	17–21 Apr 2023	1,202	–	20	28	15	9	16	4	–	8	8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	18–20 Apr 2023	1,266	24	18	31	18	6	15	4	–	8	13
Kantar	12–18 Apr 2023	1,407	–	19	29	17	7	15	4	–	9	10
Allensbach	3–18 Apr 2023	1,007	–	20	31	15	7.5	16	5	–	5.5	11
INSA	14–17 Apr 2023	2,008	–	21	27.5	15	8	16	4.5	–	8	6.5
Forsa	11–17 Apr 2023	2,508	24	18	29	17	7	15	4	–	10	11
INSA	11–14 Apr 2023	1,204	–	21	27	15	8	16	5	–	8	6
Infratest dimap	11–12 Apr 2023	1,204	–	19	29	17	7	15	4	–	9	10
INSA	6–11 Apr 2023	2,005	–	20	27.5	15.5	8	16	4.5	–	8.5	7.5
Kantar	5–11 Apr 2023	1,367	–	21	27	17	8	14	5	–	8	6
Forsa	4–6 Apr 2023	1,501	25	18	30	18	7	14	4	–	10	12
INSA	3–6 Apr 2023	1,204	–	20	28	16	8	16	4	–	8	8
Infratest dimap	3–5 Apr 2023	1,304	–	18	30	17	7	15	4	–	9	12
Ipsos	3–4 Apr 2023	1,000	–	21	27	17	8	15	4	–	8	6
YouGov	30 Mar – 4 Apr 2023	1,522	–	20	30	15	6	17	6	1	6	10
Kantar	29 Mar – 4 Apr 2023	1,269	–	20	27	18	8	14	5	–	8	7
INSA	31 Mar – 3 Apr 2023	2,007	–	20	28	15.5	7.5	16	4.5	–	8.5	8
GMS	29 Mar – 3 Apr 2023	1,007	–	19	31	17	6	15	4	–	8	12
Forsa	28 Mar – 3 Apr 2023	2,502	25	18	29	18	7	14	4	–	10	11
INSA	27–31 Mar 2023	1,200	–	21	27	16	8	16	4	–	8	6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	28–30 Mar 2023	1,379	25	19	30	17	7	15	5	–	7	11
Kantar	21–28 Mar 2023	1,387	–	18	28	19	7	15	4	–	9	10
INSA	24–27 Mar 2023	2,004	–	20.5	28	16	8	15.5	4	–	8	7.5
Forsa	21–27 Mar 2023	2,506	24	19	29	18	6	14	4	–	10	10
Wahlkreisprognose	23–26 Mar 2023	1,200	23	23	26.5	15	7.5	13.5	4	–	10.5	3.5
INSA	20–24 Mar 2023	1,203	–	21	28	16	8	15	4	–	8	7
Kantar	14–21 Mar 2023	1,504	–	18	28	18	7	15	5	–	9	10
INSA	17–20 Mar 2023	2,006	–	21.5	28	15	7.5	16	5	–	7	6.5
Forsa	14–20 Mar 2023	2,503	23	19	29	18	6	14	5	–	9	10
INSA	13–17 Mar 2023	1,202	–	21	28	15	8	16	5	–	7	7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	14–16 Mar 2023	1,146	24	21	29	19	5	14	5	–	7	8
Infratest dimap	14–15 Mar 2023	1,215	–	18	30	16	7	15	5	–	9	12
Allensbach	2–15 Mar 2023	1,101	–	21	31	16	6.5	15	4.5	–	6	10
Kantar	8–14 Mar 2023	1,432	–	19	28	18	7	15	5	–	8	9
INSA	10–13 Mar 2023	2,002	–	21.5	28.5	15.5	7.5	16	4	–	7	7
Forsa	7–13 Mar 2023	2,505	22	20	29	17	6	14	5	–	9	9
INSA	6–10 Mar 2023	1,268	–	21	29	16	7	15	4	–	8	8
YouGov	3–7 Mar 2023	1,649	–	20	28	16	6	17	7	1	6	8
Kantar	1–7 Mar 2023	1,504	–	19	29	19	7	13	5	–	8	10
INSA	3–6 Mar 2023	2,007	–	20	29.5	15.5	7.5	15.5	5	–	7	9.5
Forsa	28 Feb – 6 Mar 2023	2,504	–	20	31	17	5	13	5	–	9	11
Ipsos	3–4 Mar 2023	1,000	–	20	27	18	7	15	5	–	8	7
INSA	27 Feb – 3 Mar 2023	1,203	–	20	30	16	7	15	5	–	7	10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	28 Feb – 2 Mar 2023	1,165	24	21	29	18	5	15	5	–	7	8
Infratest dimap	27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023	1,311	–	18	31	17	6	14	5	–	9	13
Wahlkreisprognose	27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023	1,419	25	23.5	32	15.5	5	14	3	–	7	8.5
Kantar	21–28 Feb 2023	1,722	–	20	28	18	6	14	6	–	8	8
INSA	24–27 Feb 2023	2,010	–	20.5	29.5	15.5	7.5	15.5	4.5	–	7	9
Forsa	21–27 Feb 2023	2,501	22	20	31	17	5	13	5	–	9	11
INSA	20–24 Feb 2023	1,200	–	21	29	16	7	15	5	–	7	8
Kantar	14–21 Feb 2023	1,373	–	21	29	17	6	15	5	–	7	8
INSA	17–20 Feb 2023	2,006	–	21.5	29	15.5	7	15.5	5	–	6.5	7.5
GMS	15–20 Feb 2023	1,004	–	19	29	17	7	15	5	–	8	10
Forsa	14–20 Feb 2023	2,510	–	19	31	17	6	13	5	–	9	12
INSA	13–17 Feb 2023	1,207	–	21	29	16	7	16	5	–	6	8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	14–16 Feb 2023	1,361	25	20	30	19	5	14	5	–	7	10
Infratest dimap	14–15 Feb 2023	1,216	–	19	29	17	6	15	5	–	9	10
Kantar	8–14 Feb 2023	1,386	–	21	26	18	7	15	5	–	8	5
INSA	10–13 Feb 2023	2,005	–	20	28	16	7.5	16	5	–	7.5	8
Forsa	7–13 Feb 2023	2,505	23	21	28	18	6	13	5	–	9	7
INSA	6–10 Feb 2023	1,457	–	20	28	16	8	16	5	–	7	8
YouGov	3–9 Feb 2023	1,736	–	19	27	16	6	17	6	2	7	8
Allensbach	27 Jan – 9 Feb 2023	1,088	–	22.5	30	16	7.5	14	4	–	6	7.5
Kantar	31 Jan – 7 Feb 2023	1,410	–	21	25	19	7	15	5	–	8	4
INSA	3–6 Feb 2023	2,008	–	21	27	16	8	15.5	5	–	7.5	6
Forsa	31 Jan – 6 Feb 2023	2,502	24	21	28	18	7	13	5	–	8	7
Ipsos	3 Feb 2023	1,000	–	20	26	17	8	16	5	–	8	6
INSA	30 Jan – 3 Feb 2023	1,462	–	21	28	16	8	15	5	–	7	7
Infratest dimap	30 Jan – 1 Feb 2023	1,328	–	20	27	18	7	15	4	–	9	7
Kantar	25–31 Jan 2023	1,405	–	21	25	19	7	15	5	–	8	4
INSA	27–30 Jan 2023	2,007	–	20.5	28.5	16	7.5	15	5	–	7.5	8
Forsa	24–30 Jan 2023	2,503	–	20	27	19	7	13	5	–	9	7
Wahlkreisprognose	26–27 Jan 2023	1,421	26	24	24	18	6.5	14.5	3.5	–	9.5	Tie
INSA	24–27 Jan 2023	1,506	–	20	29	16	7	15	5	–	8	9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	24–26 Jan 2023	1,345	26	21	27	19	6	15	6	–	6	6
Kantar	18–24 Jan 2023	1,392	–	21	27	19	7	14	5	–	7	6
INSA	20–23 Jan 2023	2,009	–	20.5	28	16.5	7.5	15	4.5	–	8	7.5
Forsa	17–23 Jan 2023	2,502	23	19	28	20	7	12	5	–	9	8
INSA	16–21 Jan 2023	1,504	–	20	28	16	7	15	5	–	9	8
Infratest dimap	17–18 Jan 2023	1,211	–	19	29	19	6	14	4	–	9	10
Allensbach	5–18 Jan 2023	1,023	–	21	31	17	6	14	4.5	–	6.5	10
Kantar	11–17 Jan 2023	1,418	–	20	27	20	6	14	5	–	8	7
Wahlkreisprognose	15–16 Jan 2023	1,500	–	21.5	24.5	17	8	16.5	3.5	–	9	3
INSA	13–16 Jan 2023	2,006	–	21	28	16.5	7.5	15	5	–	7	7
Forsa	10–16 Jan 2023	2,500	24	18	28	20	7	13	5	–	9	8
INSA	9–13 Jan 2023	1,202	–	20	27	17	8	15	5	–	8	7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	10–12 Jan 2023	1,259	26	20	27	21	6	14	6	–	6	6
Civey	5–12 Jan 2023	10,065	–	18	28	20	7	14	5	–	8	8
Ipsos	9–10 Jan 2023	1,000	–	19	27	18	7	15	6	–	8	8
YouGov	6–10 Jan 2023	1,561	–	18	27	17	8	16	6	1	6	9
Kantar	4–10 Jan 2023	1,398	–	19	28	18	7	14	4	–	10	9
INSA	6–9 Jan 2023	2,006	–	20	27	17.5	7.5	15	5	–	8	7
Forsa	3–9 Jan 2023	2,502	23	18	29	20	7	13	5	–	8	9
INSA	2–6 Jan 2023	1,465	–	20	27	18	7	15	5	–	8	7
Infratest dimap	2–4 Jan 2023	1,314	–	18	29	19	6	15	5	–	8	10
GMS	28 Dec – 3 Jan 2023	1,002	–	19	29	17	7	14	5	–	9	10
INSA	29 Dec – 2 Jan 2023	2,010	–	20	27	17.5	7.5	15	4.5	–	8.5	7
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	23.4	25.7	24.2	14.7	11.4	10.4	4.9	2.4	6.3	1.6

2022[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	Others	Lead
INSA	27–29 Dec 2022	1,205	–	20	26	18	7	15	5	9	6
INSA	19–22 Dec 2022	1,203	–	21	27	17	8	14	5	8	6
YouGov	16–21 Dec 2022	1,608	–	19	30	17	7	14	5	9	11
INSA	16–19 Dec 2022	2,005	–	21	27.5	17.5	7.5	14.5	4.5	7.5	6.5
Forsa	13–19 Dec 2022	2,503	24	19	28	19	7	13	5	9	9
INSA	12–16 Dec 2022	1,501	–	21	27	18	7	15	5	7	6
Kantar	13–15 Dec 2022	1,717	–	19	29	18	7	14	5	8	10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	12–15 Dec 2022	1,365	22	20	28	20	6	15	5	6	8
Allensbach	2–15 Dec 2022	1,035	–	22	30	18	7.5	12	4.5	6	8
INSA	9–12 Dec 2022	2,007	–	20	28.5	18	7	15.5	4.5	6.5	8.5
Kantar	7–12 Dec 2022	1,429	–	18	28	19	7	14	5	9	9
Forsa	6–12 Dec 2022	2,506	24	19	29	19	7	12	5	9	10
Wahlkreisprognose	7–9 Dec 2022	1,500	–	22.5	25	16.5	7	14.5	4	10.5	2.5
INSA	2–9 Dec 2022	1,502	–	20	28	18	7	15	4	8	8
Infratest dimap	6–7 Dec 2022	1,259	–	18	29	18	6	15	5	9	11
Kantar	30 Nov – 6 Dec 2022	1,443	–	19	27	19	6	15	5	9	8
INSA	3–5 Dec 2022	2,008	–	20.5	28	17	7	14.5	5	8	7.5
Forsa	29 Nov – 5 Dec 2022	2,500	25	19	29	19	7	12	5	9	10
Ipsos	2–3 Dec 2022	1,000	–	19	27	19	7	14	6	8	8
INSA	28 Nov – 2 Dec 2022	1,502	–	20	28	17	7	15	5	8	8
Civey	25 Nov – 2 Dec 2022	10,016	–	19	28	21	7	13	4	8	7
GMS	28 Nov – 1 Dec 2022	1,005	–	18	28	21	7	12	4	10	7
Infratest dimap	28–30 Nov 2022	1,318	–	18	30	18	5	15	5	9	12
Kantar	22–29 Nov 2022	1,414	–	18	27	20	7	14	5	9	7
INSA	25–28 Nov 2022	2,006	–	21	27	17.5	7	15	5	7.5	6
Forsa	22–28 Nov 2022	2,505	24	19	29	20	6	12	5	9	9
INSA	21–25 Nov 2022	1,501	–	21	27	18	7	15	5	7	6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	22–24 Nov 2022	1,273	26	19	28	22	5	14	6	6	6
Kantar	15–22 Nov 2022	1,430	–	19	29	19	7	13	4	9	10
INSA	18–21 Nov 2022	2,004	–	20	28	17	7.5	15	5	7.5	8
Forsa	15–21 Nov 2022	2,502	25	19	28	20	6	13	5	9	8
INSA	14–18 Nov 2022	1,314	–	20	28	17	7	15	5	8	8
Allensbach	5–17 Nov 2022	1,042	–	20	29.5	20	7	14	4	5.5	9.5
Kantar	9–15 Nov 2022	1,443	–	20	27	19	7	13	5	9	7
INSA	11–14 Nov 2022	2,010	–	20.5	27.5	17.5	7	15	4.5	8	7
Forsa	8–14 Nov 2022	2,503	25	19	28	20	6	14	4	9	8
INSA	8–11 Nov 2022	1,255	–	21	28	18	7	15	4	7	7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	8–10 Nov 2022	1,310	23	19	28	22	5	15	5	6	6
Infratest dimap	8–9 Nov 2022	1,225	–	18	28	19	7	14	4	10	9
YouGov	4–9 Nov 2022	1,608	–	18	29	20	5	16	7	6	9
Wahlkreisprognose	7–8 Nov 2022	1,300	–	24.5	25.5	16	8.5	14	3.5	8	1
Kantar	2–8 Nov 2022	1,442	–	21	26	20	7	14	5	7	5
Ipsos	4–7 Nov 2022	1,000	–	19	27	20	7	13	6	8	7
INSA	4–7 Nov 2022	2,007	–	21	27	17.5	8	14.5	4.5	7.5	6
Forsa	1–7 Nov 2022	2,502	24	19	28	19	6	14	5	9	9
INSA	1–4 Nov 2022	1,286	–	21	27	17	8	15	5	7	6
Infratest dimap	31 Oct – 2 Nov 2022	1,307	–	19	28	19	6	14	5	9	9
Kantar	25 Oct – 2 Nov 2022	1,516	–	21	26	19	8	14	5	7	5
INSA	28–31 Oct 2022	2,009	–	20.5	26	18	9	15	4.5	7	5.5
Forsa	25–31 Oct 2022	2,503	23	20	27	20	6	14	4	9	7
INSA	24–28 Oct 2022	1,230	–	20	26	18	9	15	5	7	6
Kantar	19–25 Oct 2022	1,406	–	21	25	20	7	15	5	7	4
GMS	19–25 Oct 2022	1,002	–	18	28	20	6	15	4	9	8
INSA	21–24 Oct 2022	2,007	–	20.5	26.5	17.5	8.5	15	4.5	7.5	6
Forsa	18–24 Oct 2022	2,502	22	19	28	20	6	14	4	9	8
Wahlkreisprognose	18–21 Oct 2022	1,910	–	22	25	17.5	8	16	3.5	8	3
INSA	17–21 Oct 2022	1,503	–	20	27	18	8	15	5	7	7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	18–20 Oct 2022	1,389	22	19	28	21	6	15	5	6	7
Kantar	12–18 Oct 2022	1,435	–	22	23	20	7	16	4	8	1
INSA	14–17 Oct 2022	2,000	–	19.5	27.5	18.5	7.5	15.5	4.5	7	8
Forsa	11–17 Oct 2022	2,505	–	20	27	20	6	14	4	9	7
INSA	10–14 Oct 2022	1,327	–	19	28	18	8	15	5	7	9
Allensbach	1–13 Oct 2022	1,021	–	19	30.5	19	7	14	5	5.5	11.5
Infratest dimap	11–12 Oct 2022	1,225	–	19	26	20	6	15	5	9	6
YouGov	7–12 Oct 2022	1,617	–	16	29	19	6	15	6	9	10
Kantar	5–11 Oct 2022	1,433	–	20	25	21	6	15	5	8	4
Forsa	4–10 Oct 2022	2,501	24	18	28	20	6	14	5	9	8
INSA	4–10 Oct 2022	2,005	–	19.5	27.5	19	7.5	15	5	6.5	8
Ipsos	7–9 Oct 2022	1,000	–	18	27	21	7	13	6	8	6
INSA	4–7 Oct 2022	1,315	–	19	27	19	8	15	5	7	8
Wahlkreisprognose	3–6 Oct 2022	1,923	–	21	25	16	9	16	4.5	8.5	4
Infratest dimap	3–5 Oct 2022	1,307	–	17	28	19	7	15	5	9	9
Kantar	28 Sep – 4 Oct 2022	1,864	–	18	27	20	8	14	6	7	7
INSA	30 Sep – 3 Oct 2022	2,008	–	19	27.5	18.5	8	15	5.5	6.5	8.5
Forsa	27–30 Sep 2022	2,001	25	18	28	20	6	14	5	9	8
INSA	26–30 Sep 2022	1,210	–	19	28	18	8	15	6	6	9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	27–29 Sep 2022	1,355	27	18	27	22	7	14	5	7	5
Kantar	22–27 Sep 2022	1,381	–	19	27	21	8	13	5	7	6
INSA	23–26 Sep 2022	2,102	–	18	27.5	19.5	8	15	5.5	6.5	8
Forsa	20–26 Sep 2022	2,505	23	18	28	20	7	13	5	9	8
INSA	19–23 Sep 2022	1,255	–	19	28	19	8	14	5	7	9
Wahlkreisprognose	20–22 Sep 2022	1,700	–	22	26	18	8	13.5	4	8.5	4
Kantar	14–20 Sep 2022	1,444	–	19	27	20	7	14	5	8	7
GMS	14–20 Sep 2022	1,003	–	18	28	21	7	13	4	9	7
INSA	16–19 Sep 2022	2,080	–	18.5	28.5	19	7.5	14	5.5	7	9.5
Forsa	13–19 Sep 2022	2,506	23	19	28	19	7	13	5	9	9
INSA	12–16 Sep 2022	1,476	–	19	28	19	7	13	6	8	9
Infratest dimap	13–14 Sep 2022	1,224	–	17	28	21	7	14	5	8	7
Allensbach	1–14 Sep 2022	1,030	–	20	30	19	7	13	5.5	5.5	10
YouGov	9–13 Sep 2022	1,635	–	16	29	19	6	14	7	8	10
Kantar	7–13 Sep 2022	1,443	–	20	26	21	7	13	5	8	5
Forsa	6–13 Sep 2022	2,501	–	19	28	20	6	13	5	9	8
INSA	9–12 Sep 2022	2,039	–	18	28	20	8	13.5	5.5	7	8
Wahlkreisprognose	9–11 Sep 2022	1,300	–	20	25.5	19	7	14	5.5	9	5.5
INSA	5–9 Sep 2022	1,443	–	19	27	20	8	13	5	8	7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	6–8 Sep 2022	1,299	25	19	28	23	6	13	5	6	5
Kantar	31 Aug – 6 Sep 2022	1,416	–	20	25	21	8	12	5	9	4
INSA	2–5 Sep 2022	2,004	–	18	28	20.5	7.5	13.5	5.5	7	7.5
Forsa	30 Aug – 5 Sep 2022	2,500	25	18	26	24	7	11	5	9	2
Ipsos	2–4 Sep 2022	1,000	–	19	26	21	8	12	6	8	5
INSA	29 Aug – 2 Sep 2022	1,203	–	19	28	20	8	13	5	7	8
Infratest dimap	29–31 Aug 2022	1,324	–	17	27	22	8	13	5	8	5
Kantar	24–30 Aug 2022	1,411	–	21	24	22	8	12	5	8	2
INSA	26–29 Aug 2022	2,138	–	19	27.5	20.5	8	13	5.5	6.5	7
Forsa	23–29 Aug 2022	2,503	25	17	26	25	7	11	5	9	1
INSA	22–26 Aug 2022	1,204	–	20	28	21	8	12	5	6	7
Civey	18–25 Aug 2022	10,014	–	19	27	22	7	11	5	9	5
Kantar	17–23 Aug 2022	1,431	–	19	26	23	7	12	5	8	3
INSA	19–22 Aug 2022	2,091	–	18.5	28	21	7.5	13	5.5	6.5	7
Forsa	16–22 Aug 2022	2,505	25	18	26	25	7	11	4	9	1
INSA	15–19 Aug 2022	1,427	–	19	28	21	8	12	5	7	7
Wahlkreisprognose	16–18 Aug 2022	1,433	–	18	25	26	6	14	3	8	1
Allensbach	5–18 Aug 2022	1,038	–	19.5	29	21	8	12	5	5.5	8
Infratest dimap	16–17 Aug 2022	1,273	–	18	28	23	7	12	4	8	5
Kantar	10–16 Aug 2022	1,429	–	20	28	23	6	12	4	7	5
INSA	12–15 Aug 2022	2,146	–	19	28	22	8	12	5	6	6
Forsa	9–15 Aug 2022	2,500	28	18	26	25	6	11	4	10	1
INSA	8–12 Aug 2022	1,502	–	19	27	22	9	12	5	6	5
Wahlkreisprognose	6–12 Aug 2022	2,920	–	16	24	25.5	8	14.5	3.5	8.5	1.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	9–11 Aug 2022	1,389	25	19	26	26	7	12	4	6	Tie
YouGov	5–10 Aug 2022	1,595	–	19	27	21	6	14	6	8	6
Kantar	3–9 Aug 2022	1,422	–	21	27	22	7	11	5	7	5
Ipsos	5–8 Aug 2022	1,000	–	19	27	22	8	11	5	8	5
INSA	5–8 Aug 2022	2,099	–	18	27	21.5	8	12.5	5.5	7.5	5.5
Forsa	2–8 Aug 2022	2,504	26	18	26	24	7	10	5	10	2
INSA	1–5 Aug 2022	1,701	–	19	27	21	9	12	5	7	6
Infratest dimap	1–3 Aug 2022	1,313	–	17	28	23	7	13	4	8	5
Kantar	26 Jul – 2 Aug 2022	1,426	–	21	25	23	6	11	5	9	2
INSA	29 Jul – 1 Aug 2022	2,144	–	18.5	26.5	22	8	12	5	8	4.5
Forsa	26 Jul – 1 Aug 2022	2,504	–	18	27	24	7	10	5	9	3
INSA	25–29 Jul 2022	1,202	–	19	26	22	9	12	5	7	4
Kantar	19–26 Jul 2022	1,413	–	21	26	22	7	11	5	8	4
INSA	22–25 Jul 2022	2,043	–	18.5	26.5	22	8	12	5	8	4.5
GMS	20–25 Jul 2022	1,005	–	18	27	23	9	10	5	8	4
Forsa	19–25 Jul 2022	2,510	22	19	26	24	6	10	5	10	2
INSA	18–22 Jul 2022	1,501	–	18	27	23	8	12	5	7	4
Allensbach	8–21 Jul 2022	1,006	–	22	27.5	22	7	11	5	5.5	5.5
Infratest dimap	19–20 Jul 2022	1,210	–	19	27	22	7	12	4	9	5
Wahlkreisprognose	19–20 Jul 2022	1,400	−	22	24	24	8.5	10.5	3.5	7.5	Tie
Kantar	13–19 Jul 2022	1,392	–	19	25	23	8	11	5	9	2
INSA	15–18 Jul 2022	2,062	–	18.5	26.5	22	8	12	4.5	8.5	4.5
Forsa	12–18 Jul 2022	2,501	–	20	26	24	6	9	5	10	2
Civey	11–18 Jul 2022	10,018	–	20	27	23	7	10	5	8	4
INSA	11–15 Jul 2022	1,277	–	19	26	22	8	11	5	9	4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	12–14 Jul 2022	1,167	25	21	26	25	6	11	5	6	1
Kantar	6–12 Jul 2022	1,433	–	20	25	24	8	11	4	8	1
INSA	8–11 Jul 2022	2,044	–	20	27	21	8.5	11	4.5	8	6
Forsa	5–11 Jul 2022	2,503	22	19	26	24	7	9	5	10	2
INSA	4–8 Jul 2022	1,202	–	19	28	22	8	10	4	9	6
Wahlkreisprognose	5–6 Jul 2022	1,700	−	22	25	22	8	10	4	9	3
Infratest dimap	4–6 Jul 2022	1,327	–	19	27	23	8	11	4	8	4
YouGov	1–5 Jul 2022	1,655	–	19	28	20	7	12	5	9	8
Kantar	28 Jun – 5 Jul 2022	1,426	–	20	25	24	7	10	5	9	1
INSA	1–4 Jul 2022	2,066	–	19	28	21	9.5	11	4	7.5	7
Forsa	28 Jun – 4 Jul 2022	2,502	23	20	26	24	8	9	4	9	2
Ipsos	1–2 Jul 2022	1,000	–	22	26	20	9	10	5	8	4
INSA	27 Jun – 2 Jul 2022	1,253	–	20	27	22	9	11	4	7	5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	28–30 Jun 2022	1,186	20	21	27	25	6	10	5	6	2
Kantar	21–28 Jun 2022	1,410	–	20	26	25	8	10	4	7	1
INSA	24–27 Jun 2022	2,101	–	20	27	21.5	9	10.5	4	8	5.5
Forsa	21–27 Jun 2022	2,500	22	20	26	24	8	9	4	9	2
Wahlkreisprognose	23–26 Jun 2022	2,430	−	22	25	21	7	12	4	9	3
INSA	20–24 Jun 2022	1,414	–	20	26	22	9	11	4	8	4
Infratest dimap	21–22 Jun 2022	1,248	–	20	26	23	8	12	4	7	3
Kantar	14–21 Jun 2022	1,769	–	20	26	24	8	10	4	8	2
INSA	17–20 Jun 2022	2,063	–	19.5	28	21	9.5	10	4	8	7
GMS	15–20 Jun 2022	1,003	–	21	29	21	8	8	4	9	8
Forsa	14–20 Jun 2022	2,504	25	19	28	23	8	9	4	9	5
INSA	13–17 Jun 2022	1,501	–	20	27	21	9	10	4	9	6
Allensbach	3–17 Jun 2022	1,046	–	23	27	22	8	10	4.5	5.5	4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	13–15 Jun 2022	1,133	22	22	26	25	6	10	5	6	1
Kantar	8–14 Jun 2022	1,895	–	20	28	22	8	9	4	9	6
INSA	10–13 Jun 2022	2,082	–	20	27.5	21	9.5	10.5	3.5	8	6.5
Forsa	7–13 Jun 2022	2,511	20	20	27	23	8	9	4	9	4
INSA	7–10 Jun 2022	1,203	–	21	27	21	9	10	4	8	6
Wahlkreisprognose	7–8 Jun 2022	1,603	−	22	24	20	7	13	6	8	2
Ipsos	3–7 Jun 2022	1,000	–	23	27	19	9	10	4	8	4
YouGov	3–7 Jun 2022	1,633	–	18	30	21	7	12	6	7	9
INSA	3–7 Jun 2022	2,055	–	20	27	21.5	9.5	10.5	3.5	8	5.5
Kantar	1–7 Jun 2022	1,428	–	22	26	23	9	8	4	8	3
Forsa	31 May – 3 Jun 2022	2,002	20	19	27	23	8	10	4	9	4
INSA	30 May – 3 Jun 2022	1,501	–	22	27	20	9	9	4	9	5
Infratest dimap	30 May – 1 Jun 2022	1,226	–	21	27	21	8	11	4	8	6
Wahlkreisprognose	30 May – 1 Jun 2022	1,500	−	18	27	25.5	8	9	4	8.5	1.5
Kantar	24–31 May 2022	1,428	–	20	28	23	8	8	4	9	5
INSA	27–30 May 2022	2,056	–	22	27	20.5	8.5	10	3.5	8.5	5
GMS	25–30 May 2022	1,005	–	22	30	20	8	7	4	9	8
Forsa	24–30 May 2022	2,004	21	19	29	24	7	9	4	8	5
INSA	23–27 May 2022	1,337	–	23	27	19	9	9	4	9	4
Kantar	17–24 May 2022	1,422	–	21	27	21	8	9	5	9	6
INSA	20–23 May 2022	2,100	–	22	28.5	20	8.5	10.5	3	7.5	6.5
Forsa	17–23 May 2022	2,505	22	21	28	23	7	9	4	8	5
Civey	16–23 May 2022	10,050	–	22	27	20	8	11	5	7	5
INSA	16–20 May 2022	1,214	–	21	28	19	10	10	3	9	7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	17–19 May 2022	1,162	22	22	26	24	7	10	4	7	2
Allensbach	6–18 May 2022	1,118	–	24	29	20.5	8	9	4.5	5	5
Kantar	11–17 May 2022	1,425	–	22	26	21	8	10	5	8	4
Wahlkreisprognose	15–16 May 2022	1,302	−	23.5	29	23	5.5	7.5	2.5	9	5.5
INSA	13–16 May 2022	2,147	–	21.5	28	20.5	9	11	3	7	6.5
Forsa	10–16 May 2022	2,502	23	22	27	22	8	8	4	9	5
INSA	9–13 May 2022	1,501	–	22	27	18	10	10	4	9	5
Infratest dimap	10–11 May 2022	1,226	–	22	26	20	8	11	4	9	4
YouGov	6–10 May 2022	1,659	–	20	28	19	9	10	5	8	8
Kantar	4–10 May 2022	1,426	–	22	26	20	9	10	5	8	4
Wahlkreisprognose	8–9 May 2022	1,610	−	24	23.5	22.5	10.5	9	3	7.5	0.5
INSA	6–9 May 2022	2,086	–	22.5	27.5	19	10	10.5	3.5	7	5
Forsa	3–9 May 2022	2,501	–	23	26	21	9	9	4	8	3
Ipsos	6 May 2022	906	–	24	25	16	11	11	5	8	1
INSA	2–6 May 2022	1,501	–	23	27	18	11	10	3	8	4
pollytix	29 Apr – 4 May 2022	1,303	–	22	26	17	12	12	5	6	4
Kantar	26 Apr – 3 May 2022	1,570	–	23	27	19	9	9	5	8	4
INSA	29 Apr – 2 May 2022	2,146	–	23	27	19	9.5	10.5	4.5	6.5	4
Forsa	26 Apr – 2 May 2022	2,508	–	23	26	20	9	9	4	9	3
INSA	25–29 Apr 2022	1,202	–	23	26	18	10	11	4	8	3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	26–28 Apr 2022	1,170	21	25	23	21	9	11	4	7	2
Infratest dimap	25–27 Apr 2022	1,314	–	24	26	18	9	11	3	9	2
Kantar	19–26 Apr 2022	1,431	–	23	25	20	9	9	5	9	2
INSA	22–25 Apr 2022	2,056	–	24	26.5	18	9	11.5	4.5	6.5	2.5
GMS	20–25 Apr 2022	1,003	–	26	26	18	8	9	4	9	Tie
Forsa	19–25 Apr 2022	2,507	25	24	25	20	9	9	4	9	1
Civey	8–25 Apr 2022	10,011	–	24	25	20	9	11	4	7	1
Wahlkreisprognose	23 Apr 2022	1,007	−	24.5	22.5	22	11	8.5	3	8.5	2
INSA	19–22 Apr 2022	1,296	–	24	26	18	9	11	5	7	2
Kantar	12–19 Apr 2022	1,715	–	25	25	19	9	9	4	9	Tie
INSA	15–18 Apr 2022	2,073	–	23.5	26	19	9	11	4.5	7	2.5
Forsa	12–14 Apr 2022	1,501	25	25	25	20	8	9	4	9	Tie
INSA	11–14 Apr 2022	1,402	–	25	26	17	10	10	5	7	1
Infratest dimap	11–12 Apr 2022	1,226	–	24	26	18	8	11	4	9	2
YouGov	8–12 Apr 2022	1,643	–	21	26	18	9	12	6	8	5
Kantar	6–12 Apr 2022	1,960	–	26	25	19	8	10	4	8	1
INSA	8–11 Apr 2022	2,061	–	25	27	17.5	9	11	4.5	6	2
Forsa	5–11 Apr 2022	2,500	25	27	24	19	8	9	4	9	3
INSA	4–8 Apr 2022	1,503	–	25	26	16	10	11	4	8	1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	5–7 Apr 2022	1,230	21	27	24	19	8	11	4	7	3
Infratest dimap	4–6 Apr 2022	1,325	–	24	25	19	9	11	4	8	1
Allensbach	25 Mar – 6 Apr 2022	1,075	–	28	24	17	9	9	6	7	4
Kantar	30 Mar – 5 Apr 2022	1,437	–	27	25	19	8	10	4	7	2
Wahlkreisprognose	3–4 Apr 2022	2,450	−	27	25.5	19	8.5	9	3	8	1.5
INSA	1–4 Apr 2022	2,063	–	25	26	17.5	10.5	10.5	4.5	6	1
Ipsos	1 Apr 2022	912	–	25	23	15	12	12	6	7	2
Forsa	29 Mar – 4 Apr 2022	2,508	24	27	24	19	8	9	4	9	3
INSA	25 Mar – 1 Apr 2022	1,501	–	26	26	16	10	11	4	7	Tie
Kantar	23–29 Mar 2022	1,428	–	25	26	18	9	9	5	8	1
INSA	25–28 Mar 2022	2,070	–	25	26	16.5	10	10.5	5.5	6.5	1
Forsa	22–28 Mar 2022	2,507	22	24	26	18	9	9	5	9	2
INSA	21–25 Mar 2022	1,205	–	26	26	16	10	11	5	6	Tie
Kantar	16–22 Mar 2022	1,429	–	26	25	18	9	9	6	7	1
INSA	18–21 Mar 2022	2,122	–	24.5	26.5	16.5	11	11	4.5	6	2
Forsa	15–21 Mar 2022	2,501	22	23	27	18	10	9	5	8	4
Allensbach	9–21 Mar 2022	1,041	–	25	25	17	10.5	10	5	7.5	Tie
Wahlkreisprognose	18–20 Mar 2022	1,923	−	26.5	25.5	18.5	10	8.5	3	8	1
INSA	14–18 Mar 2022	1,198	–	26	26	16	10	10	5	7	Tie
Infratest dimap	15–16 Mar 2022	1,254	–	25	26	17	9	11	4	8	1
Kantar	9–15 Mar 2022	1,416	–	26	26	19	8	9	5	7	Tie
INSA	11–14 Mar 2022	2,073	–	25	25.5	15.5	10.5	10.5	5	8	0.5
Forsa	8–14 Mar 2022	2,502	–	25	26	18	9	9	5	8	1
INSA	7–11 Mar 2022	1,201	–	26	24	16	10	10	6	8	2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	8–10 Mar 2022	1,345	19	27	24	18	9	10	5	7	3
YouGov	4–8 Mar 2022	1,629	–	23	26	16	9	11	6	8	3
Kantar	2–8 Mar 2022	1,426	–	25	26	19	8	10	5	7	1
INSA	4–7 Mar 2022	2,103	–	25	24.5	15.5	11	10.5	6	7.5	0.5
Ipsos	4 Mar 2022	935	–	25	24	16	11	11	6	7	1
Forsa	1–7 Mar 2022	2,501	22	26	25	18	9	7	6	9	1
INSA	28 Feb – 4 Mar 2022	1,185	–	25	25	15	11	11	6	7	Tie
Infratest dimap	28 Feb – 2 Mar 2022	1,320	–	25	26	16	9	11	5	8	1
Kantar	23 Feb – 1 Mar 2022	1,405	–	26	26	17	8	10	6	7	Tie
INSA	25–28 Feb 2022	2,067	–	23	27	15.5	11	10.5	6.5	6.5	4
Forsa	24–28 Feb 2022	1,500	–	25	26	18	9	7	6	9	1
Wahlkreisprognose	24–27 Feb 2022	2,030	−	26	23.5	17.5	11.5	10.5	4	7	2.5
GMS	23–26 Feb 2022	1,005	–	24	27	15	10	9	6	9	3
INSA	21–25 Feb 2022	1,405	–	23	26	15	11	12	7	6	3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	21–23 Feb 2022	1,103	20	26	24	17	9	11	6	7	2
Kantar	16–22 Feb 2022	1,432	–	26	25	17	9	10	7	6	1
INSA	18–21 Feb 2022	1,539	–	23	27	14.5	12.5	11	6	6	4
Forsa	15–21 Feb 2022	2,500	23	23	27	17	9	9	6	9	4
INSA	14–18 Feb 2022	1,303	–	22	27	15	11	12	7	6	5
Infratest dimap	15–16 Feb 2022	1,202	–	24	26	15	9	12	5	9	2
Allensbach	3–16 Feb 2022	1,033	–	23	27	15	10.5	10	6	6.5	4
Wahlkreisprognose	13–15 Feb 2022	1,200	−	25	24.5	17	9.5	9.5	6	8.5	0.5
YouGov	10–15 Feb 2022	1,659	–	21	27	17	9	11	7	7	6
Kantar	8–15 Feb 2022	1,434	–	24	24	16	10	12	6	8	Tie
INSA	11–14 Feb 2022	2,141	–	22.5	26	15	12	12	6	6.5	3.5
Forsa	8–14 Feb 2022	2,504	22	23	27	16	9	9	6	10	4
INSA	7–11 Feb 2022	1,504	–	22	26	16	11	12	6	7	4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	8–10 Feb 2022	1,224	18	25	25	16	9	11	6	8	Tie
pollytix	4–8 Feb 2022	1,547	–	23	27	15	9	12	8	6	4
Kantar	1–8 Feb 2022	1,287	–	22	26	16	10	12	6	8	4
INSA	4–7 Feb 2022	2,067	–	23	26	15	12	11	7	6	3
Ipsos	4 Feb 2022	910	–	25	24	16	8	12	8	7	1
Forsa	1–7 Feb 2022	2,502	23	22	27	16	9	10	6	10	5
INSA	1–4 Feb 2022	1,202	–	22	27	16	11	11	6	7	5
Wahlkreisprognose	1–3 Feb 2022	2,330	−	21	28	19	8.5	10	5.5	8	7
Civey	22 Jan – 3 Feb 2022	10,070	–	25	25	15	10	11	6	8	Tie
Infratest dimap	31 Jan – 2 Feb 2022	1,339	–	22	27	16	10	12	5	8	5
Kantar	26 Jan – 1 Feb 2022	1,410	–	24	24	17	9	11	6	9	Tie
INSA	28–31 Jan 2022	2,247	–	24	25	15	12.5	10	6.5	7	1
Forsa	25–31 Jan 2022	2,501	23	23	27	16	9	10	6	9	4
INSA	24–28 Jan 2022	1,383	–	26	24	16	11	11	6	6	2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	25–27 Jan 2022	1,249	21	24	23	18	10	10	7	8	1
YouGov	21–25 Jan 2022	1,602	–	23	26	15	8	12	8	9	3
Kantar	19–25 Jan 2022	1,415	–	24	24	18	10	10	6	8	Tie
INSA	21–24 Jan 2022	2,146	–	26	24	15	11.5	11	6	6.5	2
Forsa	18–24 Jan 2022	2,502	22	25	24	16	10	10	6	9	1
INSA	17–21 Jan 2022	1,204	–	26	23	16	12	12	6	5	3
Allensbach	6–20 Jan 2022	1,090	–	27.5	23	14.5	12.5	10	5.5	7	4.5
Infratest dimap	18–19 Jan 2022	1,424	–	25	24	16	10	12	5	8	1
Wahlkreisprognose	15–18 Jan 2022	1,920	−	27.5	22.5	17	10.5	10	4.5	8	5
Kantar	12–18 Jan 2022	1,441	–	26	22	17	9	12	6	8	4
INSA	14–17 Jan 2022	2,130	–	26	22.5	15.5	12	12	6	6	3.5
Forsa	11–17 Jan 2022	2,504	22	25	25	16	10	10	5	9	Tie
INSA	10–14 Jan 2022	1,504	–	27	23	16	11	12	5	6	4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	11–13 Jan 2022	1,128	21	27	22	16	11	10	6	8	5
Kantar	5–11 Jan 2022	1,426	–	26	23	17	10	10	6	8	3
INSA	7–10 Jan 2022	2,107	–	26.5	23	15	12	12	5	6.5	3.5
Forsa	3–10 Jan 2022	3,003	22	25	25	17	10	9	5	9	Tie
Ipsos	6–9 Jan 2022	929	–	25	21	15	11	12	6	10	4
INSA	3–7 Jan 2022	1,504	–	27	23	16	12	11	5	6	4
Infratest dimap	3–5 Jan 2022	1,325	–	26	23	16	11	11	5	8	3
INSA	30 Dec – 3 Jan 2022	2,060	–	26.5	23	15.5	11	11.5	6	6.5	3.5
GMS	29 Dec – 3 Jan 2022	1,003	–	26	24	16	12	11	4	7	2
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	23.4	25.7	24.2	14.7	11.4	10.4	4.9	8.7	1.6

2021[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	FW	Others	Lead
INSA	27–30 Dec 2021	1,201	–	27	24	16	10	11	5	–	7	3
INSA	20–23 Dec 2021	1,195	–	28	23	15	11	11	5	–	7	5
INSA	17–20 Dec 2021	2,075	–	27.5	21.5	14.5	13	11.5	5.5	–	6.5	6
Forsa	14–20 Dec 2021	2,501	–	26	24	16	10	9	5	–	10	2
Wahlkreisprognose	18–19 Dec 2021	1,120	−	30	21.5	14.5	11.5	10	4	–	8.5	8.5
INSA	13–18 Dec 2021	1,501	–	27	23	14	12	12	5	–	7	4
Kantar	14–16 Dec 2021	1,436	–	27	22	16	11	11	5	–	8	5
Allensbach	1–15 Dec 2021	1,069	–	26	24	15	13	10.5	5	–	6.5	2
YouGov	10–14 Dec 2021	1,715	–	27	23	16	10	11	6	2	6	4
Kantar	8–14 Dec 2021	1,440	–	27	22	16	11	10	5	–	9	5
INSA	10–13 Dec 2021	2,221	–	27	22	14.5	13	11.5	5.5	–	6.5	5
Forsa	7–13 Dec 2021	2,509	–	26	23	15	11	10	5	–	10	3
INSA	6–10 Dec 2021	1,480	–	26	22	15	13	11	5	–	8	4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	7–9 Dec 2021	1,303	21	28	21	17	12	10	5	–	7	7
Infratest dimap	7–8 Dec 2021	1,266	–	26	23	16	12	11	5	–	7	3
Civey	1–8 Dec 2021	10,043	–	27	23	15	11	11	5	–	8	4
Kantar	1–7 Dec 2021	1,439	–	28	21	15	11	11	5	3	6	7
INSA	3–6 Dec 2021	2,119	–	26	22	15	13.5	11.5	5.5	–	6.5	4
Wahlkreisprognose	1–6 Dec 2021	1,002	−	29	18	16.5	13.5	11	4	–	8	11
Forsa	30 Nov – 6 Dec 2021	2,503	–	25	22	17	11	10	5	–	10	3
INSA	29 Nov – 3 Dec 2021	1,348	–	26	21	15	13	12	5	–	8	5
Infratest dimap	29 Nov – 1 Dec 2021	1,316	–	25	23	17	12	11	5	–	7	2
Civey	24 Nov – 1 Dec 2021	10,078	–	26	24	15	11	11	5	–	8	2
Kantar	24–30 Nov 2021	1,425	–	27	20	16	12	11	6	–	8	7
INSA	26–29 Nov 2021	2,129	–	25	21	16	14	11	5.5	–	7.5	4
Forsa	23–29 Nov 2021	2,509	–	24	22	17	12	10	5	–	10	2
INSA	22–26 Nov 2021	1,403	–	26	21	15	13	12	6	–	7	5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	23–25 Nov 2021	1,344	19	28	19	17	13	11	5	–	7	9
Infratest dimap	23–24 Nov 2021	1,239	–	25	21	17	13	11	5	–	8	4
Wahlkreisprognose	22–24 Nov 2021	1,002	–	27	22.5	15.5	11.5	10	5	–	8.5	4.5
Civey	17–24 Nov 2021	10,064	–	25	24	15	11	11	5	–	9	1
YouGov	19–23 Nov 2021	1,797	–	25	23	16	11	12	6	2	5	2
Kantar	17–23 Nov 2021	1,424	–	24	22	18	11	11	6	–	8	2
INSA	19–22 Nov 2021	2,096	–	26	22	14	14	11	5.5	–	7.5	4
Forsa	16–22 Nov 2021	2,501	21	24	22	17	12	10	5	–	10	2
INSA	15–19 Nov 2021	1,501	–	26	21	15	13	12	5	–	8	5
Civey	10–17 Nov 2021	10,077	–	26	23	15	12	11	5	–	8	3
Kantar	10–16 Nov 2021	1,433	–	24	21	18	12	11	6	–	8	3
INSA	12–15 Nov 2021	2,091	–	27	21	15	13	11.5	5.5	–	7	6
Forsa	9–15 Nov 2021	2,510	21	24	22	17	12	10	5	–	10	2
INSA	8–12 Nov 2021	1,202	–	26	22	15	13	11	5	–	8	4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	9–11 Nov 2021	1,257	16	28	20	16	13	11	5	–	7	8
Allensbach	29 Oct – 11 Nov 2021	1,016	–	27	23	15	14	9.5	5.5	–	6	4
Civey	3–10 Nov 2021	9,999	–	26	22	15	13	11	5	–	8	4
Kantar	3–9 Nov 2021	1,424	–	25	21	16	14	10	6	–	8	4
INSA	5–8 Nov 2021	2,112	–	26.5	20.5	16	13.5	10.5	5.5	–	7.7	6
Forsa	2–8 Nov 2021	2,502	–	25	22	16	14	9	5	–	9	3
INSA	1–5 Nov 2021	1,212	–	27	21	15	14	11	5	–	7	6
Wahlkreisprognose	31 Oct – 5 Nov 2021	1,200	–	28	20.5	15.5	14	10.5	4	–	7.5	7.5
GMS	1–4 Nov 2021	1,005	–	26	21	16	15	10	4	–	8	5
Infratest dimap	2–3 Nov 2021	1,329	–	27	21	16	13	10	5	–	8	6
Civey	27 Oct – 3 Nov 2021	10,069	–	26	22	15	13	11	5	–	8	4
Kantar	27 Oct – 2 Nov 2021	1,417	–	25	22	16	13	10	5	3	6	3
INSA	29 Oct – 1 Nov 2021	2,140	–	27	20	16	13.5	11.5	5	–	7	7
Forsa	26 Oct – 1 Nov 2021	2,501	–	25	21	16	15	9	5	–	9	4
INSA	25–29 Oct 2021	1,503	–	27	21	16	13	11	5	–	7	6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	26–28 Oct 2021	1,208	15	27	20	16	14	11	5	–	7	7
Infratest dimap	26–27 Oct 2021	1,239	–	26	22	16	13	10	4	–	9	4
Civey	20–27 Oct 2021	10,050	–	25	21	15	14	12	5	–	8	4
Kantar	19–26 Oct 2021	1,422	–	25	21	17	14	11	5	–	7	4
INSA	22–25 Oct 2021	2,105	–	28	20	16	14	11	5	–	6	8
Forsa	19–25 Oct 2021	2,510	–	25	20	17	16	9	5	–	8	5
INSA	18–22 Oct 2021	1,205	–	27	20	17	14	11	4	–	7	7
Civey	13–20 Oct 2021	10,028	–	25	20	15	15	11	6	–	8	5
Kantar	13–19 Oct 2021	1,424	–	25	21	16	13	11	5	–	9	4
INSA	15–18 Oct 2021	2,140	–	28	18.5	16	15	11.5	5	–	6	9.5
Forsa	12–18 Oct 2021	2,502	–	26	20	16	15	9	5	–	9	6
INSA	11–15 Oct 2021	1,195	–	28	19	16	13	11	4	–	9	9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	12–14 Oct 2021	1,329	14	28	19	17	13	11	5	–	7	9
Allensbach	1–14 Oct 2021	1,045	–	28	21	15	14	9.5	5	–	7.5	7
Civey	6–13 Oct 2021	9,999	–	26	20	14	15	11	6	–	8	6
Kantar	6–12 Oct 2021	1,410	–	26	19	17	14	10	5	–	9	7
INSA	8–11 Oct 2021	2,101	–	28.5	19.5	16	14.5	11	4	–	6.5	9
Wahlkreisprognose	7–10 Oct 2021	1,210	–	27	19	17.5	14	10	4	–	8.5	8
Forsa	5–11 Oct 2021	2,503	–	26	20	16	14	9	5	–	10	6
INSA	4–8 Oct 2021	1,509	–	28	20	15	14	10	5	–	8	8
Civey	29 Sep – 6 Oct 2021	10,009	–	28	19	15	14	11	6	–	7	9
Kantar	28 Sep – 5 Oct 2021	1,985	–	26	20	17	13	10	5	3	6	6
INSA	1–4 Oct 2021	2,000	–	28	21	15.5	13.5	10	4.5	–	7.5	7
Forsa	27 Sep – 4 Oct 2021	3,004	–	26	20	16	14	9	5	–	10	6
INSA	27 Sep – 1 Oct 2021	1,254	–	28	21	16	12	10	5	–	8	7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	28–30 Sep 2021	1,249	15	28	20	16	13	10	5	–	8	8
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	23.4	25.7	24.2	14.7	11.4	10.4	4.9	2.4	6.3	1.5

CDU and CSU[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	CDU	Grüne	FDP	AfD	CSU	Linke	FW	BSW	Others	Lead
INSA	19–22 Apr 2024	2,008	15	23.5	12.5	5	18.5	7	4	2.5	7	5	5
INSA	12–15 Apr 2024	2,006	16	23.5	13	6	18.5	6	3	2.5	6.5	5	5
INSA	5–8 Apr 2024	2,084	15	23.5	13	5	18.5	7	3.5	2.5	6.5	5.5	5
INSA	28 Mar – 2 Apr 2024	2,004	15	23.5	12.5	5	19.5	6.5	3.5	2.5	6.5	5.5	4
INSA	22–25 Mar 2024	2,008	15.5	23.5	12.5	5	19.5	6.5	3.5	2.5	6.5	5	4
INSA	15–18 Mar 2024	2,002	16	23.5	12	5	19.5	6	3.5	2.5	6.5	5.5	4
INSA	8–11 Mar 2024	2,079	14.5	25.5	12.5	5.5	18.5	5.5	3.5	2.5	6.5	5.5	7
INSA	1–4 Mar 2024	2,007	14.5	24.5	13	5.5	19.5	6	3	2.5	6.5	5	5
INSA	23–26 Feb 2024	2,006	15.5	24	13	4.5	19	6.5	3	3	7.5	4	5
INSA	16–19 Feb 2024	2,007	14.5	24	12.5	4.5	19.5	6.5	3.5	3	7.5	4.5	4.5
INSA	9–12 Feb 2024	2,083	15	23.5	12.5	3.5	20.5	6.5	3.5	3	7.5	4.5	3
INSA	2–5 Feb 2024	2,004	15	24	12.5	4.5	20.5	6	3.5	3	7.5	3.5	3.5
INSA	26–29 Jan 2024	2,002	14.5	23.5	12.5	5	21	6.5	3.5	2.5	7	4	2.5
INSA	19–22 Jan 2024	2,006	13.5	23.5	12.5	5	21.5	7	3	2.5	–	11.5	2
INSA	12–15 Jan 2024	2,004	14	24	12	5	23	7	4	3	–	8	1
INSA	5–8 Jan 2024	2,008	16	25	12	5	23	7	4	3	–	5	2
INSA	29 Dec – 2 Jan 2024	2,002	15	25	13	5	22.5	7	4	3	–	5.5	2.5
INSA	22–27 Dec 2023	2,000	15	25	12	5	23	7	4	3	–	6	2
INSA	15–18 Dec 2023	2,002	15,5	24.5	12.5	5	23	7	4	2.5	–	6	1.5
INSA	8–11 Dec 2023	2,008	16	23.5	12.5	6	22.5	6.5	4	3	–	6	1
INSA	1–4 Dec 2023	2,006	15.5	23	13	6	22.5	6.5	3.5	3	–	7	0.5
INSA	24–27 Nov 2023	2,007	15.5	24.5	12.5	6	22	6	4	3	–	6.5	2.5
INSA	17–20 Nov 2023	2,008	16.5	25.5	13	5.5	21	4.5	4.5	3	–	6.5	4.5
INSA	10–13 Nov 2023	2,008	16.5	24.5	13.5	5	21.5	6	4.5	3	–	5.5	3
INSA	3–6 Nov 2023	2,006	16.5	23	13.5	5.5	22	6.5	4.5	3	–	5.5	1
INSA	27–30 Oct 2023	2,010	16.5	23.5	13	5.5	21	7	4	3.5	–	6	2.5
INSA	20–23 Oct 2023	2,004	16.5	22	13	5.5	22	6.5	5	3.5	–	6	Tie
INSA	13–16 Oct 2023	2,006	16.5	21.5	13	6	23	6.5	4.5	4	–	5	1.5
INSA	6–9 Oct 2023	2,001	17	20.5	13.5	6	22.5	6.5	5	3	–	6	2
INSA	29 Sep – 2 Oct 2023	2,010	18	21	13.5	7	22	5.5	5	2.5	–	5.5	1
INSA	22–25 Sep 2023	2,003	17.5	20.5	13.5	6.5	21.5	6.5	5	3	–	6	1
INSA	15–18 Sep 2023	2,008	17	21	14.5	6	21	5.5	5	3.5	–	6.5	Tie
INSA	8–11 Sep 2023	2,002	18	19.5	14	7	22	7	4.5	–	–	8	2.5
INSA	1–4 Sep 2023	2,010	17.5	20	13.5	7.5	21.5	6.5	4.5	–	–	9	1.5
INSA	25–28 Aug 2023	2,006	18	20.5	14.5	7	21	6	4.5	–	–	8.5	0.5
INSA	18–21 Aug 2023	2,008	18.5	19.5	14	8	20.5	7	5	–	–	7.5	1
INSA	11–14 Aug 2023	2,002	19.5	19.5	13.5	7	21	6.5	4.5	–	–	8.5	1.5
INSA	4–7 Aug 2023	2,004	19	22	14.5	7.5	20.5	5	4.5	–	–	7	1.5
INSA	28–31 Jul 2023	2,003	18.5	20	14	6.5	21.5	6.5	5	–	–	8	1.5
INSA	21–24 Jul 2023	2,006	18.5	20.5	14	7.5	21.5	6	4.5	–	–	7.5	1
INSA	14–17 Jul 2023	2,004	18	20	14	7	20.5	7	5	–	–	8.5	0.5
INSA	7–10 Jul 2023	2,008	19	21	14	7	20.5	5	5	–	–	8.5	0.5
INSA	30 Jun – 3 Jul 2023	2,897	19	20.5	14.5	6.5	21	5	5	–	–	8.5	0.5
INSA	23–26 Jun 2023	2,004	19.5	20	13.5	6.5	20.5	6.5	4.5	–	–	9	0.5
INSA	16–19 Jun 2023	2,006	20	20.5	13.5	7.5	20	6	4.5	–	–	8	0.5
INSA	9–12 Jun 2023	2,003	20	21	13	8	19.5	6	4.5	–	–	8	1
INSA	2–5 Jun 2023	2,009	19	20.5	13.5	9	19	6	5	–	–	8	1.5
INSA	26–30 May 2023	2,004	20.5	23	13	8.5	18	5	4.5	–	–	7.5	2.5
INSA	19–22 May 2023	2,004	20.5	21	14	8.5	17	6.5	5	–	–	7.5	0.5
INSA	12–15 May 2023	2,010	20	22	14.5	8.5	16.5	6	5	–	–	7.5	2
INSA	5–8 May 2023	2,008	20	22	14	9	16.5	6	4.5	–	–	8	2
INSA	28 Apr – 2 May 2023	2,006	21	21	15	8	16.5	6	4.5	–	–	8	Tie
INSA	21–24 Apr 2023	2,004	20	21	14.5	9	16	6.5	4.5	–	–	8.5	1
INSA	14–17 Apr 2023	2,008	21	20.5	15	8	16	7	4.5	–	–	8	0.5
INSA	6–11 Apr 2023	2,005	20	22	15.5	8	16	5.5	4.5	–	–	8.5	2
INSA	31 Mar – 3 Apr 2023	2,007	20	22	15.5	7.5	16	6	4.5	–	–	8.5	2
INSA	24–27 Mar 2023	2,004	20.5	23	16	8	15.5	5	4	–	–	8	2.5
INSA	17–20 Mar 2023	2,006	21.5	22	15	7.5	16	6	5	–	–	7	0.5
INSA	10–13 Mar 2023	2,002	21.5	22	15.5	7.5	16	6.5	4	–	–	7	0.5
INSA	3–6 Mar 2023	2,007	20	23.5	15.5	7.5	15.5	6	5	–	–	7	3.5
INSA	24–27 Feb 2023	2,010	20.5	23.5	15.5	7.5	15.5	6	4.5	–	–	7	3
INSA	17–20 Feb 2023	2,006	21.5	24	15.5	7	15.5	5	5	–	–	6.5	2.5
INSA	10–13 Feb 2023	2,005	20	21	16	7.5	16	7	5	–	–	7.5	1
INSA	3–6 Feb 2023	2,008	21	20	16	8	15.5	7	5	–	–	7.5	1
INSA	27–30 Jan 2023	2,007	20.5	21	16	7.5	15	7.5	5	–	–	7.5	0.5
INSA	20–23 Jan 2023	2,009	20.5	22	16.5	7.5	15	6	4.5	–	–	8	1.5
INSA	13–16 Jan 2023	2,006	21	21	16.5	7.5	15	7	5	–	–	7	Tie
INSA	6–9 Jan 2023	2,006	20	21	17.5	7.5	15	6	5	–	–	8	1
INSA	29 Dec – 2 Jan 2023	2,010	20	21	17.5	7.5	15	6	4.5	–	–	8.5	1
INSA	16–19 Dec 2022	2,005	21	22	17.5	7.5	14.5	5.5	4.5	–	–	7.5	1
INSA	9–12 Dec 2022	2,007	20	21.5	18	7	15.5	7	4.5	–	–	6.5	1.5
INSA	3–5 Dec 2022	2,008	20.5	22	17	7	14.5	6	5	–	–	8	1.5
INSA	25–28 Nov 2022	2,006	21	21	17.5	7	15	6	5	–	–	7.5	Tie
INSA	18–21 Nov 2022	2,004	20	22	17	7.5	15	6	5	–	–	7.5	2
INSA	11–14 Nov 2022	2,010	20.5	21	17.5	7	15	6.5	4.5	–	–	8	0.5
INSA	4–7 Nov 2022	2,007	21	21	17.5	8	14.5	6	4.5	–	–	7.5	Tie
INSA	28–31 Oct 2022	2,009	20.5	20	18	9	15	6	4.5	–	–	7	0.5
INSA	21–24 Oct 2022	2,007	20.5	20.5	17.5	8.5	15	6	4.5	–	–	7.5	Tie
INSA	14–17 Oct 2022	2,000	19.5	20.5	18.5	7.5	15.5	7	4.5	–	–	7	1
INSA	7–10 Oct 2022	2,005	19.5	20.5	19	7.5	15	7	5	–	–	6.5	1
INSA	30 Sep – 3 Oct 2022	2,008	19	21.5	18.5	8	15	6	5.5	–	–	6.5	2.5
INSA	23–26 Sep 2022	2,102	18	21.5	19.5	8	15	6	5.5	–	–	6.5	2
INSA	16–19 Sep 2022	2,080	18.5	22	19	7.5	14	6.5	5.5	–	–	7	3
INSA	9–12 Sep 2022	2,039	18	22	20	8	13.5	6	5.5	–	–	7	2
INSA	2–5 Sep 2022	2,004	18	22	20.5	7.5	13.5	6	5.5	–	–	7	1.5
INSA	26–29 Aug 2022	2,138	19	22.5	20.5	8	13	5	5.5	–	–	6.5	2
INSA	19–22 Aug 2022	2,091	18.5	22	21	7.5	13	6	5.5	–	–	6.5	1
INSA	12–15 Aug 2022	2,146	19	22	22	8	12	6	5	–	–	6	Tie
INSA	5–8 Aug 2022	2,099	18	21	21.5	8	12.5	6	5.5	–	–	7.5	0.5
INSA	29 Jul – 1 Aug 2022	2,144	18.5	20.5	22	8	12	6	5	–	–	8	1.5
INSA	22–25 Jul 2022	2,043	18.5	21.5	22	8	12	5	5	–	–	8	0.5
INSA	15–18 Jul 2022	2,062	18.5	21.5	22	8	12	5	4.5	–	–	8.5	0.5
INSA	8–11 Jul 2022	2,044	20	21.5	21	8.5	11	5.5	4.5	–	–	8	0.5
INSA	1–4 Jul 2022	2,066	19	23	21	9.5	11	5	4	–	–	7.5	2
INSA	24–27 Jun 2022	2,101	20	22	21.5	9	10.5	5	4	–	–	8	0.5
INSA	17–20 Jun 2022	2,063	19.5	21	21	9.5	10	7	4	–	–	8	Tie
INSA	10–13 Jun 2022	2,082	20	21.5	21	9.5	10.5	6	3.5	–	–	8	0.5
INSA	3–7 Jun 2022	2,055	20	21.5	21.5	9.5	10.5	5.5	3.5	–	–	8	Tie
INSA	27–30 May 2022	2,056	22	20.5	20.5	8.5	10	6.5	3.5	–	–	8.5	1.5
INSA	20–23 May 2022	2,100	22	22	20	8.5	10.5	6.5	3	–	–	7.5	Tie
INSA	13–16 May 2022	2,147	21.5	23	20.5	9	11	5	3	–	–	7	1.5
INSA	6–9 May 2022	2,086	22.5	21	19	10	10.5	6.5	3.5	–	–	7	1.5
INSA	29 Apr – 2 May 2022	2,146	23	21	19	9.5	10.5	6	4.5	–	–	6.5	2
INSA	22–25 Apr 2022	2,056	24	20	18	9	11.5	6.5	4.5	–	–	6.5	4
INSA	15–18 Apr 2022	2,073	23.5	20	19	9	11	6	4.5	–	–	7	3.5
INSA	8–11 Apr 2022	2,061	25	20	17.5	9	11	7	4.5	–	–	6	5
INSA	1–4 Apr 2022	2,063	25	21	17.5	10.5	10.5	5	4.5	–	–	6	4
INSA	25–28 Mar 2022	2,070	25	21	16.5	10	10.5	5	5.5	–	–	6.5	4
INSA	18–21 Mar 2022	2,122	24.5	20.5	16.5	11	11	6	4.5	–	–	6	4
INSA	11–14 Mar 2022	2,073	25	19.5	15.5	10.5	10.5	6	5	–	–	8	5.5
INSA	4–7 Mar 2022	2,103	25	19	15.5	11	10.5	5.5	6	–	–	7.5	6
INSA	18–21 Feb 2022	1,539	23	22	14.5	12.5	11	5	6	–	–	6	1
INSA	11–14 Feb 2022	2,141	22.5	21	15	12	12	5	6	–	–	6.5	1.5
INSA	4–7 Feb 2022	2,067	23	20	15	12	11	6	7	–	–	6	3
INSA	28–31 Jan 2022	2,147	24	20	15	12.5	10	5	6.5	–	–	7	4
INSA	21–24 Jan 2022	2,146	26	19	15	11.5	11	5	6	–	–	6.5	7
INSA	14–17 Jan 2022	2,130	26	17	15.5	12	12	5.5	6	–	–	6.5	9
INSA	7–10 Jan 2022	2,107	26.5	18	15	12	12	5	5	–	–	6.5	8.5
INSA	31 Dec – 3 Jan 2022	2,060	26.5	17	15.5	11	11.5	6	6	–	–	6.5	9.5
INSA	17–20 Dec 2021	2,075	27.5	17	14.5	13	11.5	4.5	5.5	–	–	6.5	10.5
INSA	10–13 Dec 2021	2,221	27	17	14.5	13	11.5	5	5.5	–	–	6.5	10
INSA	3–6 Dec 2021	2,119	26	17	15	13.5	11.5	5	5.5	–	–	6.5	9
INSA	26–29 Nov 2021	2,129	25	17	16	14	11	4	5.5	–	–	7.5	8
INSA	19–22 Nov 2021	2,096	26	18	14	14	11	4	5.5	–	–	7.5	8
INSA	12–15 Nov 2021	2,091	27	16.5	15	13	11.5	4.5	5.5	–	–	7	10.5
INSA	5–8 Nov 2021	2,112	26.5	16.5	16	13.5	10.5	4	5.5	–	–	7.5	10
INSA	22–25 Oct 2021	2,105	28	16	16	14	11	4	5	–	–	6	12
INSA	15–18 Oct 2021	2,140	28	13.5	16	15	11.5	5	5	–	–	6	12
INSA	8–11 Oct 2021	2,101	28.5	14	16	14.5	11	5.5	4	–	–	6.5	12.5
INSA	1–4 Oct 2021	2,000	28	15	15.5	13.5	10	6	4.5	–	–	7.5	12.5
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	25.7	19.0	14.7	11.4	10.4	5.2	4.9	2.4	–	6.3	6.8

Scenario polls[edit]

New party scenarios[edit]

Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht^[a]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	FW	BSW	Others	Don't Know	Lead
Wahlkreisprognose	2–4 Jan 2024	1,500	24	13	28.5	11.5	6	23.5	3	2	6	6.5	–	5
Wahlkreisprognose	25–27 Nov 2023	1,200	25	14.5	28	12.5	5.5	23.5	3	–	6	7	–	4.5
INSA	9–10 Nov 2023	1,004	–	17	24	13	5	17	2	3	14	5	–	7
INSA	26–27 Oct 2023	1,005	–	15	29	12	5	17	4	–	14	2	–	12
Wahlkreisprognose	23–25 Oct 2023	1,300	24	15.5	26.5	12.5	5.5	18	3	–	13	6	–	8.5
INSA	20–23 Oct 2023	2,004	–	15.5	26.5	12.5	5.5	18	4	–	12	6	–	8.5
INSA	28–31 Jul 2023	2,003	–	17	23	14	6	16	3	–	15	6	–	6
YouGov	14–19 Jul 2023	2,317	5	14	25	12	5	19	5	–	2	5	9	6
Wahlkreisprognose	27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023	1,419	25	22	26	14	4	13	2	–	14	5	–	4
Wahlkreisprognose	20–22 Sep 2022	1,700	–	20	24	17	7	11	3	–	10	8	–	4

Boris Palmer list

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	Liste Palmer	Others	Don't Know	Lead
INSA	28–31 Jul 2023	2,003	–	19	22	15	8	20	5	5	6	–	2

Leadership scenarios[edit]

Friedrich Merz as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	FW	BSW	Others	Lead
Wahlkreisprognose	25–27 Nov 2023	1,200	15.5	26.5	10	5	24.5	3	–	6.5	9	2
Wahlkreisprognose	26–27 Jul 2023	1,525	22.5	20	14	6.5	20	4	5	–	8	2.5

Boris Pistorius as SPD chancellor candidate

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	FW	BSW	Others	Lead
Wahlkreisprognose	25–27 Nov 2023	1,200	24	23	9	4	23	2	–	7	8	1
Wahlkreisprognose	26–27 Jul 2023	1,525	27.5	17	13.5	6	20	3.5	3	–	9.5	7.5

Hendrik Wüst as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	FW	Others	Lead
Wahlkreisprognose	26–27 Jul 2023	1,525	21.5	23	13.5	5	22	4.5	2	8.5	1.5

Markus Söder as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	FW	Others	Lead
Wahlkreisprognose	26–27 Jul 2023	1,525	21	28	15	6.5	19.5	3.5	1	5.5	7

Sahra Wagenknecht as Linke lead candidate

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	FW	Others	Lead
Wahlkreisprognose	26–27 Jul 2023	1,525	21	21	15	7	16	12	2	6	Tie

Other scenarios[edit]

National-wide CSU

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	CDU	Grüne	FDP	AfD	CSU	Linke	Others	Lead
INSA	28–31 Jul 2023	2,003	17	20	15	6	20	10	5	8	Tie

CDU/CSU open for cooperation with AfD

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	FW	Others	Lead
Wahlkreisprognose	26–27 Jul 2023	1,525	25	16.5	14.5	9	19	3.5	6	6.5	6

By state[edit]

Bavaria[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CSU	SPD	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Free Voters	Linke	Others	Lead
Wahlkreisprognose	2–5 Dec 2022	1,944	33	18	15	6	12	8	2	6	15
Forsa	23 May – 3 Jun 2022	1,049	36	12	22	8	8	-	2	12	14
Forsa	27 Apr – 13 May 2022	1,235	34	14	21	8	8	7	2	6	13
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	31.7	18.0	14.1	10.5	9.0	7.5	2.8	6.4	13.7

Brandenburg[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	AfD	CDU	FDP	Grüne	Linke	BSW	Others	Lead
Forsa	6–10 Jan 2024	1,007	17	33	20	4	8	6	3	9	13
Wahlkreisprognose	4–11 Sep 2022	1,100	25	25	14	5	12.5	9	–	9.5	Tie
Wahlkreisprognose	9–17 May 2022	1,001	35.5	16.5	15.5	4	14	5.5	–	9	19
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	29.5	18.1	15.3	9.3	9.0	8.5	–	10.3	11.4

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	AfD	CDU	Linke	FDP	Grüne	BSW	Others	Lead
Forsa	10–16 Jan 2024	1,002	15	32	22	8	3	8	5	7	10
Infratest dimap	13–16 Sep 2023	1,182	21	32	21	7	4	8	–	7	11
Forsa	18–23 Jan 2023	1,004	20	23	22	11	4	10	–	10	1
Infratest dimap	13–18 Oct 2022	1,168	25	24	20	10	4	9	–	8	1
Infratest dimap	1–4 Jun 2022	1,183	25	18	23	9	5	12	–	8	2
Forsa	14–18 Mar 2022	1,001	29	16	21	10	6	9	–	9	8
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	29.1	18.0	17.4	11.1	8.2	7.8	–	8.4	11.1

North Rhine-Westphalia[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	CDU	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	BSW	Others	Lead
Forsa	5–14 Mar 2024	1,502	18	32	16	5	14	3	4	8	14
Forsa	29 May – 7 Jun 2023	1,506	23	30	15	7	15	3	–	7	7
Forsa	27–28 Mar 2023	1,005	22	32	18	6	10	4	–	8	10
Forsa	21–26 Sep 2022	1,511	21	30	22	6	10	4	–	7	9
Wahlkreisprognose	27–30 Jun 2022	1,040	25.5	25	22	8	8.5	3	–	8	0.5
Forsa	16 Feb 2022	1,008	25	30	25	6	6	2	–	6	5
Forsa	26 Jan – 2 Feb 2022	2,006	28	25	18	10	8	4	–	7	3
Forsa	26 Nov – 7 Dec 2021	2,009	29	23	18	12	7	4	–	7	6
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	29.1	26.0	16.1	11.4	7.3	3.7	–	6.5	3.1

Rhineland-Palatinate[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	CDU	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	Others	Lead
Wahlkreisprognose	11–18 May 2022	1,042	30	30.5	19	5	5	1.5	9	0.5
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	29.4	24.7	12.6	11.7	9.2	3.3	9.2	4.7

Saxony[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	AfD	SPD	CDU	Linke	FDP	Grüne	BSW	Others	Lead
Forsa	7–10 Jan 2024	1,507	36	9	23	6	4	8	4	7	13
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	24.6	19.3	17.2	9.3	11.0	8.6	–	9.9	5.3

Saxony-Anhalt[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	CDU	AfD	Linke	FDP	Grüne	BSW	Others	Lead
Wahlkreisprognose	21–29 Jan 2024	1,000	12	20	28	5	5	5	17	8	8
Wahlkreisprognose	13–21 Feb 2022	1,005	21.5	21.5	19.5	13	7.5	7.5	–	9.5	Tie
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	25.4	21.0	19.6	9.6	9.5	6.5	–	8.4	4.4

Schleswig-Holstein[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	CDU	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	Others	Lead
Wahlkreisprognose	10–19 Feb 2022	2,000	28	22.5	22	10	6	4.5	7	5.5
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	28.0	22.0	18.3	12.5	6.8	3.6	8.7	6.0

Thuringia[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	AfD	SPD	CDU	Linke	FDP	Grüne	BSW	Others	Lead
Forsa	6–10 Jan 2024	1,253	36	12	23	9	3	6	3	8	13
Wahlkreisprognose	5–11 Dec 2022	1,016	32	19.5	18.5	8.5	5	7.5	–	9	12.5
Wahlkreisprognose	3–4 Apr 2022	994	22.5	27	18	8	6	8.5	–	10	4.5
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	24.0	23.4	16.9	11.4	9.0	6.5	–	8.7	0.6

Chancellor polling[edit]

These polls were conducted before the announcement of each party's candidate for Chancellor; they gauged opinion on various politicians who were considered to be plausible candidates for their respective parties.

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Merz Union	Habeck Grüne	Neither
Forsa	16–22 Apr 2024	2,501	17	22	16	45
Forsa	9–15 Apr 2024	2,505	17	22	16	45
INSA	11–12 Apr 2024	1,003	20	30	14	36
Forsa	2–8 Apr 2024	2,506	18	21	17	44
Forsa	26–28 Mar 2024	1,508	19	22	17	42
Forsa	19–25 Mar 2024	2,503	18	22	17	43
Forsa	12–18 Mar 2024	2,500	16	21	18	45
Forsa	5–11 Mar 2024	2,502	15	21	19	45
Forsa	27 Feb – 4 Mar 2024	2,506	15	23	18	44
Forsa	20–26 Feb 2024	2,503	15	25	18	42
Forsa	13–19 Feb 2024	2,504	14	24	18	44
Forsa	6–12 Feb 2024	2,502	15	23	19	43
Forsa	30 Jan – 5 Feb 2024	2,503	12	25	19	44
Forsa	23–29 Jan 2024	2,506	12	24	19	45
Forsa	16–22 Jan 2024	2,503	13	25	17	45
Forsa	9–15 Jan 2024	2,504	15	24	15	46
Forsa	2–8 Jan 2024	2,502	15	24	15	46
Forsa	19–22 Dec 2023	–	15	25	17	43
Forsa	12–18 Dec 2023	2,501	15	24	18	43
Forsa	5–11 Dec 2023	2,501	15	24	18	43
Forsa	28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023	2,501	16	24	18	42
Forsa	21–27 Nov 2023	2,500	17	22	19	42
Forsa	14–20 Nov 2023	2,501	19	21	18	42
Forsa	7–13 Nov 2023	2,504	19	22	18	41
Forsa	31 Oct – 6 Nov 2023	2,502	20	21	17	42
Forsa	24–30 Sep 2023	2,501	20	20	16	44
Forsa	17–23 Sep 2023	2,504	20	21	15	44
Forsa	10–16 Sep 2023	2,501	19	20	17	44
Forsa	4–9 Sep 2023	2,003	22	20	16	42
Forsa	26–29 Sep 2023	2,004	22	20	16	42
Forsa	19–25 Sep 2023	2,503	22	20	16	42
Forsa	12–18 Sep 2023	2,504	21	19	16	44
Forsa	4–11 Sep 2023	2,505	21	19	16	44
Forsa	29 Aug – 4 Sep 2023	2,506	21	20	16	43
Forsa	22–28 Aug 2023	2,504	21	19	15	45
Forsa	15–21 Aug 2023	2,506	21	19	15	45
Forsa	8–14 Aug 2023	2,501	21	18	15	46
Forsa	1–7 Aug 2023	2,502	21	17	16	46
Forsa	25–31 Jul 2023	2,500	22	18	17	43
Forsa	18–24 Jul 2023	2,504	23	20	16	41
Forsa	11–17 Jul 2023	2,502	23	20	17	40
Forsa	4–7 Jul 2023	2,003	22	20	16	42
Forsa	27 Jun – 3 Jul 2023	2,501	21	20	16	43
Forsa	20–26 Jun 2023	2,506	23	20	16	41
Forsa	13–19 Jun 2023	2,503	25	20	15	40
Forsa	6–12 Jun 2023	2,504	25	21	15	39
Forsa	30 May – 5 Jun 2023	2,505	25	23	14	38
Forsa	23–26 May 2023	2,001	25	23	14	38
Forsa	16–22 May 2023	2,003	26	22	13	39
Forsa	9–15 May 2023	2,503	24	23	14	39
Forsa	2–8 May 2023	2,505	24	22	15	39
Wahlkreisprognose	26–30 Apr 2023	1,400	31	26	8	35
Forsa	25–28 Apr 2023	2,007	23	22	16	39
Forsa	18–24 Apr 2023	2,506	22	24	16	38
Forsa	11–17 Apr 2023	2,508	23	25	17	35
Forsa	4–6 Apr 2023	1,501	21	23	18	38
Forsa	28 Mar – 3 Apr 2023	2,502	23	21	17	39
Forsa	21–27 Mar 2023	2,506	24	22	18	36
Wahlkreisprognose	23–26 Mar 2023	1,200	29	18	13	40
Forsa	14–20 Mar 2023	2,503	26	21	17	36
Forsa	7–13 Mar 2023	2,505	27	21	17	35
Forsa	28 Feb – 6 Mar 2023	2,504	25	20	19	36
Wahlkreisprognose	27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023	1,419	27	17	11	45
Forsa	21–27 Feb 2023	2,501	27	19	19	35
Forsa	14–20 Feb 2023	2,510	25	20	19	36
Forsa	7–13 Feb 2023	2,505	27	20	20	33
Forsa	31 Jan – 6 Feb 2023	2,502	26	20	20	34
Forsa	24–30 Jan 2023	2,503	25	21	20	34
Wahlkreisprognose	26–27 Jan 2023	1,421	26	16	12	46
Forsa	17–23 Jan 2023	2,502	23	21	21	35
Wahlkreisprognose	15–16 Jan 2023	1,500	22	21	15	42
Forsa	10–16 Jan 2023	2,500	22	20	20	38
Forsa	3–9 Jan 2023	2,502	21	20	20	39
Forsa	13–19 Dec 2022	2,503	23	19	20	38
Forsa	6–12 Dec 2022	2,506	24	19	19	38
Wahlkreisprognose	7–9 Dec 2022	1,500	24	22	13	41
Forsa	29 Nov – 5 Dec 2022	2,500	22	20	20	38
Forsa	22–28 Nov 2022	2,505	23	20	20	37
Forsa	15–21 Nov 2022	2,502	22	20	20	38
Forsa	8–14 Nov 2022	2,503	21	20	20	39
Wahlkreisprognose	7–8 Nov 2022	1,300	25	22	13	40
Forsa	1–7 Nov 2022	2,502	22	19	19	40
Forsa	25–31 Oct 2022	2,503	23	19	19	39
Forsa	18–24 Oct 2022	2,502	24	19	18	39
Wahlkreisprognose	18–21 Oct 2022	1,910	28	19	15	38
Forsa	11–17 Oct 2022	2,505	23	19	19	39
Forsa	4–10 Oct 2022	2,501	24	18	17	41
Wahlkreisprognose	3–6 Oct 2022	1,923	28	25	14	33
Forsa	27–30 Sep 2022	2,001	22	20	17	41
Forsa	20–26 Sep 2022	2,505	22	22	17	39
Wahlkreisprognose	20–22 Sep 2022	1,700	29	25	15	31
Forsa	13–19 Sep 2022	2,506	23	22	18	37
Forsa	6–13 Sep 2022	2,501	21	20	21	38
Wahlkreisprognose	9–11 Sep 2022	1,300	30	24	15	31
INSA	9 Sep 2022	1,000	24	23	19	34
Forsa	30 Aug – 5 Sep 2022	2,500	21	18	25	36
Forsa	23–29 Aug 2022	2,503	20	16	27	37
Forsa	16–22 Aug 2022	2,505	20	16	25	39
INSA	19 Aug 2022	1,002	18	19	25	38
Wahlkreisprognose	16–18 Aug 2022	1,433	36	13	30	21
Forsa	9–15 Aug 2022	2,500	22	16	26	36
Wahlkreisprognose	6–12 Aug 2022	2,920	32	15	28	25
Forsa	2–8 Aug 2022	2,504	24	16	27	33
Forsa	26 Jul – 1 Aug 2022	2,504	23	18	28	31
INSA	29 Jul 2022	1,002	24	18	21	37
Forsa	19–25 Jul 2022	2,510	25	17	30	28
Wahlkreisprognose	19–20 Jul 2022	1,400	39	11	32	18
Forsa	15–18 Jul 2022	2,002	26	17	31	26
Wahlkreisprognose	23–26 Jun 2022	2,430	40	13	31	16
Wahlkreisprognose	7–8 Jun 2022	1,603	38	13	27	22
Wahlkreisprognose	30 May – 1 Jun 2022	1,500	35	14	29	21
Wahlkreisprognose	15–16 May 2022	1,302	37	21	25	17
Wahlkreisprognose	8–9 May 2022	1,610	38	21	24	17

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Merz Union	Baerbock Grüne	Neither
Forsa	16–22 Apr 2024	2,501	20	25	16	39
Forsa	9–15 Apr 2024	2,505	20	25	17	38
INSA	11–12 Apr 2024	1,003	18	32	17	33
Forsa	2–8 Apr 2024	1,506	21	24	16	39
Forsa	26–28 Mar 2024	1,508	22	25	16	37
Forsa	19–25 Mar 2024	2,503	21	25	16	38
Forsa	12–18 Mar 2024	2,500	19	24	17	40
Forsa	5–11 Mar 2024	2,502	18	24	19	39
Forsa	27 Feb – 4 Mar 2024	2,506	18	26	17	39
Forsa	20–26 Feb 2024	2,503	18	27	18	37
Forsa	13–19 Feb 2024	2,504	17	27	18	38
Forsa	6–12 Feb 2024	2,502	18	26	18	38
Forsa	30 Jan – 5 Feb 2024	2,503	16	28	18	38
Forsa	23–29 Jan 2024	2,506	15	28	17	40
Forsa	16–22 Jan 2024	2,503	16	28	16	40
Forsa	9–15 Jan 2024	2,504	17	27	15	41
Forsa	2–8 Jan 2024	2,502	17	27	15	41
Forsa	19–22 Dec 2023	–	18	28	17	37
Forsa	12–18 Dec 2023	2,501	19	27	17	37
Forsa	5–11 Dec 2023	2,501	18	28	17	37
Forsa	28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023	2,501	19	27	17	37
Forsa	21–27 Nov 2023	2,500	19	25	17	39
Forsa	14–20 Nov 2023	2,501	22	24	16	38
Forsa	7–13 Nov 2023	2,504	22	25	16	37
Forsa	31 Oct – 6 Nov 2023	2,502	23	24	16	37
Forsa	24–30 Sep 2023	2,501	22	23	17	38
Forsa	17–23 Sep 2023	2,504	23	23	17	37
Forsa	10–16 Sep 2023	2,501	22	22	18	38
Forsa	4–9 Sep 2023	2,003	23	22	18	37
Forsa	26–29 Sep 2023	2,004	24	22	17	37
Forsa	19–25 Sep 2023	2,503	24	22	18	36
Forsa	12–18 Sep 2023	2,504	23	21	17	39
Forsa	4–11 Sep 2023	2,505	23	22	17	38
Forsa	29 Aug – 4 Sep 2023	2,506	22	22	17	39
Forsa	22–28 Aug 2023	2,504	22	21	17	40
Forsa	15–21 Aug 2023	2,506	22	21	16	41
Forsa	8–14 Aug 2023	2,501	22	20	16	42
Forsa	1–7 Aug 2023	2,502	22	19	18	41
Forsa	25–31 Jul 2023	2,500	24	21	18	37
Forsa	18–24 Jul 2023	2,504	25	23	17	35
Forsa	11–17 Jul 2023	2,502	25	22	18	35
Forsa	4–7 Jul 2023	2,003	24	22	18	36
Forsa	27 Jun – 3 Jul 2023	2,501	23	23	19	35
Forsa	20–26 Jun 2023	2,506	24	23	19	34
Forsa	13–19 Jun 2023	2,503	26	23	19	32
Forsa	6–12 Jun 2023	2,504	26	23	19	32
Forsa	30 May – 5 Jun 2023	2,505	26	25	19	30
Forsa	23–26 May 2023	2,001	27	25	19	29
Forsa	16–22 May 2023	2,003	27	24	18	31
Forsa	9–15 May 2023	2,503	25	25	18	32
Forsa	2–8 May 2023	2,505	26	24	18	32
Wahlkreisprognose	26–30 Apr 2023	1,400	30	25	13	32
Forsa	25–28 Apr 2023	2,007	25	25	19	31
Forsa	18–24 Apr 2023	2,506	24	26	19	31
Forsa	11–17 Apr 2023	2,508	25	27	18	30
Forsa	4–6 Apr 2023	1,501	24	25	19	32
Forsa	28 Mar – 3 Apr 2023	2,502	24	23	20	33
Forsa	21–27 Mar 2023	2,506	26	24	20	30
Wahlkreisprognose	23–26 Mar 2023	1,200	28	18	14	40
Forsa	14–20 Mar 2023	2,503	28	24	19	29
Forsa	7–13 Mar 2023	2,505	28	23	18	31
Forsa	28 Feb – 6 Mar 2023	2,504	28	23	19	30
Wahlkreisprognose	27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023	1,419	26	17	14	43
Forsa	21–27 Feb 2023	2,501	30	22	18	30
Forsa	14–20 Feb 2023	2,510	28	22	19	31
Forsa	7–13 Feb 2023	2,505	30	22	19	29
Forsa	31 Jan – 6 Feb 2023	2,502	30	22	18	30
Forsa	24–30 Jan 2023	2,503	27	23	19	31
Wahlkreisprognose	26–27 Jan 2023	1,421	26	15	15	44
Forsa	17–23 Jan 2023	2,502	25	24	22	29
Wahlkreisprognose	15–16 Jan 2023	1,500	23	23	20	34
Forsa	10–16 Jan 2023	2,500	24	23	23	30
Forsa	3–9 Jan 2023	2,502	24	23	22	31
Forsa	13–19 Dec 2022	2,503	24	22	21	33
Forsa	6–12 Dec 2022	2,506	24	22	22	32
Wahlkreisprognose	7–9 Dec 2022	1,500	26	18	15	41
Forsa	29 Nov – 5 Dec 2022	2,500	24	22	22	32
Forsa	22–28 Nov 2022	2,505	24	22	22	32
Forsa	15–21 Nov 2022	2,502	25	22	22	31
Forsa	8–14 Nov 2022	2,503	24	22	22	32
Wahlkreisprognose	7–8 Nov 2022	1,300	27	17	14	42
Forsa	1–7 Nov 2022	2,502	24	21	20	35
Forsa	25–31 Oct 2022	2,503	25	20	20	35
Forsa	18–24 Oct 2022	2,502	25	20	19	36
Wahlkreisprognose	18–21 Oct 2022	1,910	29	21	16	34
Forsa	11–17 Oct 2022	2,505	24	21	21	34
Forsa	4–10 Oct 2022	2,501	25	20	20	35
Wahlkreisprognose	3–6 Oct 2022	1,923	28	24	16	32
Forsa	27–30 Sep 2022	2,001	23	22	19	36
Forsa	20–26 Sep 2022	2,505	23	23	19	35
Wahlkreisprognose	20–22 Sep 2022	1,700	28	24	17	31
Forsa	13–19 Sep 2022	2,506	23	23	20	34
Forsa	6–13 Sep 2022	2,501	23	23	20	34
Forsa	30 Aug – 5 Sep 2022	2,500	23	21	23	33
Forsa	23–29 Aug 2022	2,503	23	19	24	34
Forsa	16–22 Aug 2022	2,505	26	17	23	34
Forsa	9–15 Aug 2022	2,500	29	17	22	32
Wahlkreisprognose	8–9 May 2022	1,610	38	20	23	19
Wahlkreisprognose	23 Apr 2022	1,007	37	13	24	26

Scholz vs. Merz[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Merz Union	Neither
Wahlkreisprognose	18–20 Mar 2024	1,300	26	26	48
Wahlkreisprognose	21–22 Feb 2024	1,300	23	25	52
INSA	25–26 Jan 2024	1,001	21	28	51
Wahlkreisprognose	22–24 Jan 2024	1,366	21	32	47
Forsa	9–15 Jan 2024	1,502	27	28	45
INSA	4–5 Jan 2024	1,004	23	26	51
Wahlkreisprognose	2–4 Jan 2024	1,500	17	34	49
INSA	14–15 Dec 2023	1,001	17	18	65
Forsa	28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023	2,501	36	32	32
Wahlkreisprognose	25–27 Nov 2023	1,200	19	29	52
Wahlkreisprognose	23–25 Oct 2023	1,300	25	24	51
Wahlkreisprognose	24–25 Sep 2023	1,200	27	24	49
INSA	7–8 Sep 2023	1,001	23	15	62
Wahlkreisprognose	22–27 Aug 2023	1,200	23	20	57
Wahlkreisprognose	26–27 Jul 2023	1,525	26	24	50
Wahlkreisprognose	22–25 Jun 2023	1,399	31	21	48
INSA	15–16 Jun 2023	1,003	25	16	59
Wahlkreisprognose	1–2 Jun 2023	1,100	28	27	45
Wahlkreisprognose	26–30 Apr 2023	1,400	36	30	34
Wahlkreisprognose	23–26 Mar 2023	1,200	33	21	46
Wahlkreisprognose	27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023	1,419	33	20	47
Wahlkreisprognose	26–27 Jan 2023	1,421	33	19	48
Wahlkreisprognose	15–16 Jan 2023	1,500	29	25	46
Wahlkreisprognose	7–9 Dec 2022	1,500	38	21	41
Wahlkreisprognose	7–8 Nov 2022	1,300	37	21	42
Wahlkreisprognose	18–21 Oct 2022	1,910	36	24	40
Wahlkreisprognose	3–6 Oct 2022	1,923	36	29	35
Wahlkreisprognose	20–22 Sep 2022	1,700	36	24	40
Wahlkreisprognose	16–18 Aug 2022	1,433	40	13	47
Wahlkreisprognose	6–12 Aug 2022	2,920	42	13	45
Wahlkreisprognose	19–20 Jul 2022	1,400	46	16	38
Forsa	12–18 Jul 2022	2,501	40	18	42
Forsa	5–11 Jul 2022	2,503	43	17	40
Forsa	28 Jun – 4 Jul 2022	2,502	43	17	40
Forsa	21–27 Jun 2022	2,500	42	19	39
Wahlkreisprognose	23–26 Jun 2022	2,430	46	15	39
Forsa	14–20 Jun 2022	2,504	39	20	41
Forsa	7–13 Jun 2022	2,511	38	21	41
Wahlkreisprognose	7–8 Jun 2022	1,603	46	16	38
Forsa	31 May – 3 Jun 2022	2,002	41	20	39
Wahlkreisprognose	30 May – 1 Jun 2022	1,500	45	18	37
Forsa	24–30 May 2022	2,004	39	20	41
Forsa	17–23 May 2022	2,505	41	19	40
INSA	20 May 2022	1,003	26	15	59
Wahlkreisprognose	15–16 May 2022	1,302	42	26	32
Forsa	10–16 May 2022	2,502	42	19	39
Wahlkreisprognose	8–9 May 2022	1,610	46	26	28
Forsa	3–9 May 2022	2,501	42	18	40
Forsa	26 Apr – 2 May 2022	2,508	43	19	38
Forsa	19–25 Apr 2022	2,507	42	18	40
Wahlkreisprognose	23 Apr 2022	1,007	45	16	39
Forsa	12–14 Apr 2022	1,501	43	18	39
Forsa	5–11 Apr 2022	2,500	42	18	40
Wahlkreisprognose	3–4 Apr 2022	2,450	51	17	32
Forsa	29 Mar – 4 Apr 2022	2,508	43	18	39
Forsa	22–28 Mar 2022	2,507	42	20	38
Forsa	15–21 Mar 2022	2,501	44	20	36
Wahlkreisprognose	18–20 Mar 2022	3,923	51.5	21.5	27
Forsa	8–14 Mar 2022	2,502	46	19	35
Forsa	1–7 Mar 2022	2,501	48	19	33
Forsa	24–28 Feb 2022	1,500	45	20	35
Wahlkreisprognose	24–27 Feb 2022	2,030	49	19	32
Forsa	15–21 Feb 2022	2,500	42	20	38
Wahlkreisprognose	13–15 Feb 2022	1,220	43	25	32
Forsa	8–14 Feb 2022	2,504	40	21	39
Forsa	1–7 Feb 2022	2,502	40	22	38
Wahlkreisprognose	2–3 Feb 2022	2,330	42	31	27
Forsa	25–31 Jan 2022	2,501	43	21	36
Forsa	18–24 Jan 2022	2,502	48	19	33
Forsa	11–17 Jan 2022	2,504	48	17	35
Wahlkreisprognose	11–12 Jan 2022	1,030	54	19	27
Forsa	3–10 Jan 2022	3,003	49	18	33
Forsa	14–20 Dec 2021	2,501	50	18	32
Wahlkreisprognose	18–19 Dec 2021	1,120	55	20	25
Forsa	23–29 Nov 2021	2,509	45	18	37
Forsa	16–22 Nov 2021	2,501	45	19	36
Forsa	9–15 Nov 2021	2,510	46	19	35
Wahlkreisprognose	11–12 Nov 2021	1,004	44	21	35
Forsa	2–8 Nov 2021	2,502	52	17	31

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Merz Union	Baerbock Grüne	Weidel AfD	Wagenknecht BSW	Neither
Wahlkreisprognose	18–20 Mar 2024	1,300	15	18	10	11	12	34
Wahlkreisprognose	21–22 Feb 2024	1,300	13	17	10	12	11	37
Wahlkreisprognose	22–24 Jan 2024	1,366	11	19	10	12	11	37
Wahlkreisprognose	2–4 Jan 2024	1,500	10	22	11	18	8	31
Wahlkreisprognose	25–27 Nov 2023	1,200	16	19	9	17	8	31
Wahlkreisprognose	23–25 Oct 2023	1,300	18	16	9	14	13	30

Pistorius vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Pistorius SPD	Merz Union	Baerbock Grüne	Weidel AfD	Wagenknecht BSW	Neither
Wahlkreisprognose	18–20 Mar 2024	1,300	27	18	12	11	11	21
Wahlkreisprognose	25–27 Nov 2023	1,200	31	12	10	16	10	21

Scholz vs. Söder[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Söder Union	Neither
Forsa	9–15 Jan 2024	1,502	27	40	33
INSA	4–5 Jan 2024	1,004	20	36	44
INSA	7–8 Sep 2023	1,001	26	32	42
INSA	15–16 Jun 2023	1,003	30	31	39
INSA	20 May 2022	1,003	32	29	39
Wahlkreisprognose	18–19 Dec 2021	1,120	49	28	23
Forsa	2–8 Nov 2021	2,502	39	33	28
Forsa	5–11 Oct 2021	2,503	37	33	30

Scholz vs. Wüst[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Wüst Union	Neither
Forsa	9–15 Jan 2024	1,502	20	51	29
INSA	15–16 Jun 2023	1,003	24	38	38
INSA	20 May 2022	1,003	27	34	39

Pistorius vs. Merz[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Pistorius SPD	Merz Union	Neither
INSA	4–5 Jan 2024	1,004	25	23	52
Wahlkreisprognose	2–4 Jan 2024	1,500	32	28	40
Wahlkreisprognose	25–27 Nov 2023	1,200	30	29	41
Wahlkreisprognose	22–27 Aug 2023	1,200	41	18	41

Pistorius vs. Söder[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Pistorius SPD	Söder Union	Neither
INSA	4–5 Jan 2024	1,004	25	34	41

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Merz Union	Baerbock Grüne	Weidel AfD	Neither
Wahlkreisprognose	24–25 Sep 2023	1.200	20	16	15	18	31
Forsa	20–26 Jun 2023	2.506	25	23	19	9	24

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Weidel[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Merz Union	Weidel AfD	Neither
Wahlkreisprognose	22–27 Aug 2023	1,200	21	15	17	47
Wahlkreisprognose	26–27 Jul 2023	1,525	24	18	16	42
Wahlkreisprognose	22–25 Jun 2023	1,399	27	15	15	43
Wahlkreisprognose	1–2 Jun 2023	1,100	25	22	16	37
Wahlkreisprognose	26–30 Apr 2023	1,400	34	22	11	33
Wahlkreisprognose	23–26 Mar 2023	1,200	33	18	13	36
Wahlkreisprognose	27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023	1,419	31	15	13	41
Wahlkreisprognose	26–27 Jan 2023	1,421	30	14	14	42
Wahlkreisprognose	15–16 Jan 2023	1,500	24	17	16	43
Wahlkreisprognose	7–9 Dec 2022	1,500	31	18	13	38
Wahlkreisprognose	7–8 Nov 2022	1,300	26	18	17	39

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck vs. Weidel[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Merz Union	Habeck Grüne	Weidel AfD	Neither
Forsa	20–26 Jun 2023	2.506	27	24	17	10	22

Scholz vs. Habeck[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Habeck Grüne	Neither
Wahlkreisprognose	16–18 Aug 2022	1,433	36	32	32
Wahlkreisprognose	6–12 Aug 2022	2,920	38	33	29

Merz vs. Habeck[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Merz Union	Habeck Grüne	Neither
Wahlkreisprognose	16–18 Aug 2022	1,433	19	30	51
Wahlkreisprognose	6–12 Aug 2022	2,920	18	32	50

Scholz vs. Günther[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Günther Union	Neither
INSA	20 May 2022	1,003	32	12	56

Scholz vs. Röttgen[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Röttgen Union	Neither
Forsa	23–29 Nov 2021	2,509	45	19	36
Forsa	16–22 Nov 2021	2,501	45	20	35
Forsa	9–15 Nov 2021	2,510	45	21	34
Wahlkreisprognose	11–12 Nov 2021	1,004	41	20	39
Forsa	2–8 Nov 2021	2,502	51	20	29

Scholz vs. Braun[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Braun Union	Neither
Forsa	23–29 Nov 2021	2,509	50	11	39
Forsa	16–22 Nov 2021	2,501	50	12	38
Wahlkreisprognose	11–12 Nov 2021	1,004	42	22	36

Scholz vs. Laschet[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Laschet Union	Neither
YouGov	19–23 Nov 2021	2,167	46	6	48
Forsa	26 Oct – 1 Nov 2021	2,501	50	8	42
Forsa	19–25 Oct 2021	2,510	52	8	40
Forsa	12–18 Oct 2021	2,502	53	8	39
Forsa	5–11 Oct 2021	2,503	52	8	40
Forsa	27 Sep – 4 Oct 2021	3,004	52	9	39
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	28–30 Sep 2021	1,249	76	13	11
Infratest dimap	27 Sep 2021	1,084	62	16	22
Forsa	27 Sep 2021	1,006	56	11	33
YouGov	26 Sep 2021	1,596	43	13	43

Scholz vs. Kretschmer[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Kretschmer Union	Neither
Wahlkreisprognose	11–12 Nov 2021	1,004	41	19.5	39.5

Preferred coalition[edit]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD Grüne		Union FDP		SPD Grüne FDP			Union SPD		Union Grüne		SPD Grüne Linke			SPD FDP
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	9–11 Apr 2024	1,254	11		11		2			20		8		2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	19–21 Mar 2024	1,296	12		11		2			20		8		2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	5–7 Mar 2024	1,260	15		9		1			20		7		2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	20–22 Feb 2024	1,294	12		13		2			18		9		2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	30 Jan – 1 Feb 2024	1,217	10		9		2			23		8		1			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	9–11 Jan 2024	1,337	13		8		1			19		7		2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	12–14 Dec 2023	1,146	13		14		2			16		6		1			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	21–23 Nov 2023	1,242	15		10		1			19		8		2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	7–9 Nov 2023	1,234	16		9		2			17		10		2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	17–19 Oct 2023	1,252	13		10		1			18		8		2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	12–14 Sep 2023	1,201	18		13		3			14		7		3			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	15–17 Aug 2023	1,288	16		11		3			15		6		2			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	11–13 Jul 2023	1,346	14		11		3			15		8		4			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	27–29 Jun 2023	1,379	17		10		2			19		6		3			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	13–15 Jun 2023	1,224	19		11		3			19		6		2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	23–25 May 2023	1,257	15		11		3			17		7		4			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	2–4 May 2023	1,225	16		13		3			15		7		3			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	18–20 Apr 2023	1,266	19		12		2			16		9		2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	28–30 Mar 2023	1,379	18		12		3			15		7		2			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	14–16 Mar 2023	1,146	21		11		4			14		9		2			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	28 Feb – 2 Mar 2023	1,165	19		10		2			17		10		2			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	14–16 Feb 2023	1,361	18		10		3			13		12		3			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	24–26 Jan 2023	1,345	20		10		5			10		11		2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	10–12 Jan 2023	1,259	19		11		4			12		9		3			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	12–15 Dec 2022	1,365	21		11		4			11		11		2			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	22–24 Nov 2022	1,273	21		12		3			12		9		2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	8–10 Nov 2022	1,310	24		9		3			11		11		3			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	18–20 Oct 2022	1,389	23		11		3			11		9		2			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	27–29 Sep 2022	1,355	20		11		5			10		9		3			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	6–8 Sep 2022	1,299	18		13		6			10		9		3			3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	9–11 Aug 2022	1,389	19		8		6			10		13		4			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	12–14 Jul 2022	1,167	19		7		5			8		14		2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	28–30 Jun 2022	1,186	22		8		5			11		15		2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	13–15 Jun 2022	1,133	20		7		6			10		15		3			3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	17–19 May 2022	1,162	22		8		7			10		16		2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	26–28 Apr 2022	1,170	21		10		10			10		7		4			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	5–7 Apr 2022	1,230	23		8		9			14		7		4			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	8–10 Mar 2022	1,345	18		11		12			15		5		3			4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	21–23 Feb 2022	1,103	17		11		9			12		5		5			3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	8–10 Feb 2022	1,224	16		13		11			15		5		4			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	25–27 Jan 2022	1,249	16		11		11			9		6		4			3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	11–13 Jan 2022	1,128	16		11		12			10		4		5			5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	7–9 Dec 2021	1,303	16		10		12			10		6		4			4

Constituency projections[edit]

Direct mandates[edit]

Polling firm	Release date	Union	SPD	Grüne	AfD	Linke	FDP	BSW
INSA	22 Apr 2024	243	6	10	38	2	0	0
election.de	15 Apr 2024	213	30	12	42	2	0	0
INSA	15 Apr 2024	255	9	13	22	0	0	0
INSA	8 Apr 2024	259	5	11	22	2	0	0
INSA	2 Apr 2024	260	8	12	19	0	0	0
INSA	25 Mar 2024	240	6	10	43	0	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	21 Mar 2024	212	43	7	35	1	0	0
INSA	18 Mar 2024	257	10	9	22	1	0	0
election.de	15 Mar 2024	210	29	14	44	2	0	0
INSA	11 Mar 2024	250	3	10	34	2	0	0
INSA	4 Mar 2024	262	4	11	22	0	0	0
INSA	26 Feb 2024	261	6	13	19	0	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	22 Feb 2024	235	8	6	48	0	0	2
INSA	19 Feb 2024	245	4	10	39	1	0	0
election.de	15 Feb 2024	214	27	12	44	2	0	0
INSA	12 Feb 2024	242	4	10	42	1	0	0
INSA	5 Feb 2024	240	9	11	39	0	0	0
INSA	29 Jan 2024	243	6	10	40	0	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	26 Jan 2024	219	23	6	48	1	0	2
INSA	22 Jan 2024	252	4	10	33	0	0	0
election.de	15 Jan 2024	217	20	13	48	1	0	0
INSA	15 Jan 2024	243	4	8	43	1	0	0
INSA	8 Jan 2024	253	6	6	34	0	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	4 Jan 2024	230	4	4	61	0	0	0
INSA	2 Jan 2024	244	4	10	39	2	0	0
INSA	27 Dec 2023	242	3	7	46	1	0	0
INSA	18 Dec 2023	244	5	10	39	1	0	0
election.de	15 Dec 2023	217	20	13	48	1	0	0
INSA	11 Dec 2023	230	9	11	48	1	0	0
INSA	4 Dec 2023	225	9	14	50	1	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	27 Nov 2023	221	14	4	60	0	0	0
INSA	27 Nov 2023	243	6	10	39	1	0	0
INSA	20 Nov 2023	237	12	13	35	2	0	0
election.de	15 Nov 2023	203	31	16	47	2	0	0
INSA	13 Nov 2023	233	12	13	40	1	0	0
INSA	6 Nov 2023	231	14	14	38	2	0	0
INSA	30 Oct 2023	242	10	10	36	1	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	25 Oct 2023	220	23	7	31	0	0	18
INSA	23 Oct 2023	230	15	13	39	2	0	0
INSA	16 Oct 2023	210	24	11	53	1	0	0
election.de	15 Oct 2023	190	43	17	47	2	0	0
INSA	9 Oct 2023	202	23	17	56	1	0	0
INSA	2 Oct 2023	200	40	16	41	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	25 Sep 2023	153	62	21	62	1	0	0
INSA	25 Sep 2023	199	32	15	51	2	0	0
INSA	18 Sep 2023	198	31	20	48	2	0	0
INSA	11 Sep 2023	194	30	18	56	1	0	0
INSA	4 Sep 2023	198	33	17	49	2	0	0
election.de	1 Sep 2023	185	49	16	47	2	0	0
INSA	28 Aug 2023	194	30	23	50	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	28 Aug 2023	151	78	12	57	1	0	0
INSA	21 Aug 2023	194	35	19	50	1	0	0
election.de	18 Aug 2023	181	51	18	47	2	0	0
INSA	14 Aug 2023	189	49	16	43	2	0	0
INSA	7 Aug 2023	200	53	17	29	0	0	0
election.de	4 Aug 2023	183	48	19	47	2	0	0
INSA	31 Jul 2023	198	41	17	41	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	27 Jul 2023	154	79	13	51	2	0	0
INSA	24 Jul 2023	201	44	18	34	2	0	0
election.de	21 Jul 2023	188	46	16	46	3	0	0
INSA	17 Jul 2023	208	30	19	40	2	0	0
INSA	10 Jul 2023	210	41	19	27	2	0	0
election.de	7 Jul 2023	184	49	17	46	3	0	0
INSA	3 Jul 2023	190	46	23	38	2	0	0
INSA	26 Jun 2023	197	43	16	41	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	26 Jun 2023	139	82	19	57	2	0	0
election.de	23 Jun 2023	189	48	16	43	3	0	0
INSA	19 Jun 2023	194	47	15	41	2	0	0
INSA	12 Jun 2023	215	47	15	20	2	0	0
election.de	9 Jun 2023	190	48	16	42	3	0	0
INSA	5 Jun 2023	214	47	17	19	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	2 Jun 2023	168	85	12	32	2	0	0
INSA	30 May 2023	227	48	13	10	1	0	0
election.de	26 May 2023	196	49	16	35	3	0	0
INSA	22 May 2023	217	51	18	11	2	0	0
INSA	15 May 2023	229	41	19	9	1	0	0
election.de	12 May 2023	196	49	16	35	3	0	0
INSA	8 May 2023	225	42	20	10	2	0	0
INSA	2 May 2023	207	51	22	17	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	30 Apr 2023	182	75	10	29	3	0	0
election.de	28 Apr 2023	196	49	18	33	3	0	0
INSA	24 Apr 2023	218	44	19	17	1	0	0
INSA	17 Apr 2023	216	48	19	15	1	0	0
election.de	16 Apr 2023	191	54	19	32	3	0	0
INSA	11 Apr 2023	212	46	23	17	1	0	0
INSA	3 Apr 2023	221	48	19	9	2	0	0
election.de	2 Apr 2023	191	54	19	32	3	0	0
INSA	27 Mar 2023	214	49	25	10	1	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	27 Mar 2023	159	99	14	24	3	0	0
INSA	20 Mar 2023	224	54	17	3	1	0	0
election.de	19 Mar 2023	185	60	19	32	3	0	0
INSA	13 Mar 2023	217	51	20	10	1	0	0
election.de	10 Mar 2023	193	56	18	29	3	0	0
INSA	6 Mar 2023	233	37	18	10	1	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	1 Mar 2023	192	73	11	22	1	0	0
INSA	27 Feb 2023	243	36	19	0	1	0	0
election.de	24 Feb 2023	191	57	19	29	3	0	0
INSA	20 Feb 2023	223	51	24	0	1	0	0
INSA	13 Feb 2023	228	45	23	1	2	0	0
election.de	10 Feb 2023	178	61	25	32	3	0	0
INSA	6 Feb 2023	203	50	27	17	2	0	0
INSA	30 Jan 2023	216	39	23	19	2	0	0
election.de	27 Jan 2023	181	59	27	29	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	27 Jan 2023	134	109	23	30	3	0	0
INSA	23 Jan 2023	211	49	26	11	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	16 Jan 2023	149	93	22	33	2	0	0
INSA	16 Jan 2023	223	46	25	4	1	0	0
election.de	13 Jan 2023	181	57	29	29	3	0	0
INSA	9 Jan 2023	212	45	31	9	2	0	0
INSA	2 Jan 2023	216	48	32	3	0	0	0
election.de	30 Dec 2022	179	61	29	27	3	0	0
INSA	19 Dec 2022	214	50	30	3	2	0	0
election.de	16 Dec 2022	182	54	31	29	3	0	0
INSA	12 Dec 2022	214	45	31	7	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	9 Dec 2022	146	100	20	31	2	0	0
INSA	5 Dec 2022	219	50	27	1	2	0	0
election.de	2 Dec 2022	180	55	32	29	3	0	0
INSA	28 Nov 2022	212	52	33	0	2	0	0
INSA	21 Nov 2022	210	44	28	15	2	0	0
election.de	18 Nov 2022	177	55	32	32	3	0	0
INSA	14 Nov 2022	215	49	30	4	1	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	8 Nov 2022	141	113	18	24	3	0	0
INSA	7 Nov 2022	205	50	33	9	2	0	0
election.de	4 Nov 2022	174	57	33	32	3	0	0
INSA	31 Oct 2022	203	51	36	7	2	0	0
election.de	21 Oct 2022	174	57	33	32	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	21 Oct 2022	145	96	24	31	3	0	0
INSA	17 Oct 2022	219	40	36	3	1	0	0
INSA	10 Oct 2022	212	38	38	8	2	0	0
election.de	7 Oct 2022	177	54	33	32	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	6 Oct 2022	149	99	17	31	3	0	0
INSA	4 Oct 2022	219	35	39	5	1	0	0
INSA	26 Sep 2022	209	30	39	19	2	0	0
election.de	23 Sep 2022	180	55	33	28	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	22 Sep 2022	150	102	19	26	2	0	0
INSA	19 Sep 2022	211	28	37	17	2	0	0
INSA	12 Sep 2022	218	35	42	3	1	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	11 Sep 2022	154	90	22	30	3	0	0
election.de	9 Sep 2022	177	59	38	23	2	0	0
INSA	5 Sep 2022	209	24	44	19	3	0	0
INSA	29 Aug 2022	206	37	42	12	2	0	0
election.de	26 Aug 2022	177	60	41	19	2	0	0
INSA	22 Aug 2022	214	28	45	10	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	19 Aug 2022	140	73	55	30	1	0	0
INSA	15 Aug 2022	203	33	48	13	2	0	0
election.de	12 Aug 2022	174	61	43	19	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	12 Aug 2022	146	49	69	34	1	0	0
INSA	8 Aug 2022	215	29	50	3	2	0	0
INSA	1 Aug 2022	196	32	51	18	2	0	0
election.de	29 Jul 2022	171	66	42	18	2	0	0
INSA	25 Jul 2022	196	32	51	18	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	20 Jul 2022	136	89	52	21	1	0	0
INSA	18 Jul 2022	197	34	51	15	2	0	0
election.de	15 Jul 2022	174	69	39	15	2	0	0
INSA	11 Jul 2022	205	43	46	3	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	6 Jul 2022	145	94	45	14	1	0	0
INSA	4 Jul 2022	216	37	43	1	2	0	0
election.de	1 Jul 2022	175	70	38	14	2	0	0
INSA	27 Jun 2022	212	42	45	0	0	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	26 Jun 2022	144	98	37	18	2	0	0
INSA	20 Jun 2022	216	32	46	3	2	0	0
election.de	17 Jun 2022	177	70	37	13	2	0	0
INSA	13 Jun 2022	194	44	45	15	1	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	8 Jun 2022	144	94	33	24	4	0	0
INSA	7 Jun 2022	203	43	47	5	1	0	0
election.de	3 Jun 2022	178	71	36	12	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	1 Jun 2022	168	62	57	11	1	0	0
INSA	30 May 2022	204	49	44	0	2	0	0
INSA	23 May 2022	213	48	37	1	0	0	0
election.de	20 May 2022	157	97	31	12	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	16 May 2022	162	89	34	13	1	0	0
INSA	16 May 2022	202	46	40	10	1	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	9 May 2022	138	100	45	15	1	0	0
INSA	9 May 2022	209	52	33	3	2	0	0
election.de	6 May 2022	145	110	28	13	3	0	0
INSA	2 May 2022	199	62	35	1	2	0	0
INSA	25 Apr 2022	182	77	30	8	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	24 Apr 2022	121	128	36	13	1	0	0
election.de	22 Apr 2022	144	115	24	13	3	0	0
INSA	19 Apr 2022	182	74	37	4	2	0	0
INSA	11 Apr 2022	179	83	27	8	2	0	0
election.de	8 Apr 2022	144	116	23	13	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	5 Apr 2022	128	134	25	11	1	0	0
INSA	4 Apr 2022	184	86	27	1	1	0	0
INSA	28 Mar 2022	165	93	22	16	3	0	0
election.de	25 Mar 2022	161	104	19	12	3	0	0
INSA	21 Mar 2022	192	74	27	3	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	21 Mar 2022	132	133	23	10	1	0	0
election.de	11 Mar 2022	150	115	19	12	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	27 Feb 2022	128	131	22	16	2	0	0
election.de	25 Feb 2022	159	103	18	16	3	0	0
INSA	21 Feb 2022	213	66	16	2	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	15 Feb 2022	143	117	20	16	3	0	0
INSA	14 Feb 2022	203	71	20	3	2	0	0
election.de	11 Feb 2022	158	103	18	17	3	0	0
INSA	7 Feb 2022	196	81	19	1	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	3 Feb 2022	195	63	28	10	3	0	0
INSA	31 Jan 2022	178	100	18	0	3	0	0
election.de	28 Jan 2022	133	121	20	21	4	0	0
INSA	24 Jan 2022	146	129	19	2	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	18 Jan 2022	124	139	17	16	3	0	0
INSA	17 Jan 2022	125	140	23	9	2	0	0
election.de	14 Jan 2022	129	129	19	19	3	0	0
INSA	10 Jan 2022	128	142	19	8	2	0	0
INSA	3 Jan 2022	118	137	19	23	2	0	0
election.de	31 Dec 2021	111	148	20	17	3	0	0
INSA	20 Dec 2021	108	160	17	11	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	19 Dec 2021	102	167	12	15	3	0	0
election.de	17 Dec 2021	109	149	20	18	3	0	0
INSA	13 Dec 2021	114	153	17	12	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	6 Dec 2021	75	176	24	21	3	0	0
INSA	6 Dec 2021	118	145	20	13	3	0	0
election.de	3 Dec 2021	111	143	22	19	4	0	0
INSA	29 Nov 2021	112	140	27	13	7	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	24 Nov 2021	123	140	16	17	3	0	0
INSA	22 Nov 2021	122	147	15	12	3	0	0
election.de	19 Nov 2021	103	153	20	19	4	0	0
INSA	15 Nov 2021	99	160	20	17	2	0	0
INSA	8 Nov 2021	110	158	23	5	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	7 Nov 2021	125	137	16	18	3	0	0
election.de	5 Nov 2021	101	156	20	18	4	0	0
INSA	25 Oct 2021	84	176	21	14	3	1	0
election.de	22 Oct 2021	101	154	20	20	4	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose	10 Oct 2021	113	145	20	18	3	0	0
election.de	8 Oct 2021	108	148	20	19	4	0	0
INSA	4 Oct 2021	94	163	21	19	2	0	0
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	143	121	16	16	3	0	0

By probability[edit]

Polling firm	Release date	Union			SPD			Grüne			AfD			Linke
		Safe	Likely	Lean	Safe	Likely	Lean	Safe	Likely	Lean	Safe	Likely	Lean	Safe	Likely	Lean
election.de	15 Apr 2024	114	62	37	1	6	23	1	3	8	3	19	20	0	1	1
election.de	15 Mar 2024	111	61	38	1	5	23	1	4	9	5	22	17	0	1	1
election.de	15 Feb 2024	113	62	39	1	4	22	1	2	9	5	25	14	0	1	1
election.de	15 Jan 2024	106	71	40	1	4	15	1	2	10	9	28	11	0	1	0
election.de	15 Dec 2023	107	68	42	1	4	15	1	3	9	9	27	12	0	1	0
election.de	15 Nov 2023	94	72	37	1	6	24	1	4	11	11	25	11	0	1	1
election.de	15 Oct 2023	69	83	38	1	11	31	1	5	11	17	24	6	0	1	1
election.de	1 Sep 2023	65	78	42	2	16	31	1	5	10	16	23	8	0	1	1
election.de	18 Aug 2023	63	74	44	2	23	26	1	5	12	16	22	9	0	1	1
election.de	4 Aug 2023	66	74	43	2	17	29	1	7	11	16	22	9	0	1	1
election.de	21 Jul 2023	73	74	41	1	18	27	1	5	10	9	26	11	0	1	2
election.de	7 Jul 2023	71	73	40	2	18	29	1	6	10	9	25	12	0	1	2
election.de	23 Jun 2023	78	71	40	2	18	28	1	5	10	7	22	14	1	0	2
election.de	9 Jun 2023	85	70	35	1	16	31	1	5	10	2	24	16	1	0	2
election.de	26 May 2023	88	63	45	2	18	29	1	5	10	1	17	17	1	1	1
election.de	12 May 2023	89	62	45	2	18	29	1	6	9	1	16	18	1	1	1
election.de	28 Apr 2023	91	62	43	1	17	31	1	6	11	1	15	17	1	1	1
election.de	16 Apr 2023	85	64	42	2	18	34	1	7	11	1	14	17	1	1	1
election.de	2 Apr 2023	82	63	46	2	20	32	1	7	11	1	15	16	1	1	1
election.de	19 Mar 2023	77	65	43	2	26	32	1	6	12	1	14	17	1	1	1
election.de	10 Mar 2023	83	62	48	2	23	31	1	7	10	1	13	15	1	1	1
election.de	24 Feb 2023	80	63	48	2	25	30	1	7	11	1	13	15	1	1	1
election.de	10 Feb 2023	66	66	46	5	26	30	1	9	15	1	14	17	1	1	1
election.de	27 Jan 2023	69	70	42	3	25	31	1	9	17	1	13	15	1	1	1
election.de	13 Jan 2023	67	70	44	3	25	29	3	11	15	1	13	15	1	1	1
election.de	30 Dec 2022	67	68	44	4	24	33	3	11	15	1	13	13	1	1	1
election.de	16 Dec 2022	71	67	44	2	26	26	3	11	17	1	13	15	1	1	1
election.de	2 Dec 2022	66	71	43	3	24	28	3	12	17	1	13	15	1	1	1
election.de	18 Nov 2022	67	70	40	2	25	28	3	12	17	1	14	17	1	1	1
election.de	4 Nov 2022	61	71	42	4	24	29	3	13	17	1	14	17	1	1	1
election.de	21 Oct 2022	61	70	43	3	24	30	3	13	17	1	14	17	1	1	1
election.de	7 Oct 2022	67	69	41	2	25	27	3	13	17	1	14	17	1	1	1
election.de	23 Sep 2022	66	70	44	2	25	28	3	13	17	0	14	14	1	1	1
election.de	9 Sep 2022	58	71	48	4	21	34	4	14	20	0	10	13	1	1	0
election.de	26 Aug 2022	57	67	53	4	21	35	5	17	19	0	8	11	1	1	0
election.de	12 Aug 2022	53	69	52	4	22	35	5	20	18	0	8	11	1	1	0
election.de	29 Jul 2022	52	64	55	4	28	34	4	17	21	0	8	10	1	1	0
election.de	15 Jul 2022	52	64	58	4	33	32	4	15	20	0	5	10	1	0	1
election.de	1 Jul 2022	51	66	58	5	33	32	4	13	21	0	3	11	1	0	1
election.de	17 Jun 2022	54	64	59	5	35	30	3	13	21	0	1	12	1	0	1
election.de	3 Jun 2022	53	67	58	5	36	30	3	13	20	0	1	11	1	0	1
election.de	20 May 2022	47	51	59	12	44	41	2	12	17	0	4	8	1	0	1
election.de	6 May 2022	44	52	49	15	44	51	2	10	16	0	5	8	1	0	2
election.de	22 Apr 2022	46	51	47	15	46	54	2	9	13	0	6	7	1	1	1
election.de	8 Apr 2022	46	51	47	16	43	57	2	8	13	0	6	7	1	0	2
election.de	25 Mar 2022	51	51	59	12	46	46	2	4	13	0	5	7	1	1	1
election.de	11 Mar 2022	48	51	51	15	44	56	2	4	13	0	4	8	1	1	1
election.de	25 Feb 2022	53	50	56	12	42	49	2	3	13	0	7	9	1	1	1
election.de	11 Feb 2022	49	51	58	12	44	47	2	3	13	0	7	10	1	1	1
election.de	28 Jan 2022	41	50	42	22	42	57	2	6	12	0	9	12	1	1	2
election.de	14 Jan 2022	37	50	42	27	44	58	2	5	12	0	9	10	1	1	1
election.de	31 Dec 2021	30	41	40	31	57	60	2	5	13	1	7	9	1	0	2
election.de	17 Dec 2021	30	41	38	33	58	58	2	5	13	1	7	10	1	1	1
election.de	3 Dec 2021	27	42	42	28	55	60	2	8	12	1	10	8	1	1	2
election.de	19 Nov 2021	26	39	38	35	55	63	2	5	13	1	8	10	1	1	2
election.de	5 Nov 2021	25	35	41	40	57	59	2	6	12	1	9	8	1	0	3
election.de	22 Oct 2021	26	35	40	39	54	61	2	5	13	1	10	9	1	1	2
election.de	8 Oct 2021	28	42	38	30	59	59	2	5	13	1	9	9	1	1	2
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	143			121			16			16			3

Second place[edit]

Polling firm	Release date	SPD	Union	Grüne	AfD	Linke	FDP	FW
election.de	15 Apr 2024	118	79	39	62	1	0	0
election.de	15 Mar 2024	113	80	39	66	1	0	0
election.de	15 Feb 2024	111	75	36	76	1	0	0
election.de	15 Jan 2024	102	72	34	88	3	0	0
election.de	15 Dec 2023	105	72	37	83	2	0	0
election.de	15 Nov 2023	105	81	32	79	2	0	0
election.de	15 Oct 2023	106	84	29	78	2	0	0
election.de	1 Sep 2023	108	89	30	70	2	0	0
election.de	18 Aug 2023	112	91	30	64	2	0	0
election.de	4 Aug 2023	111	90	32	64	2	0	0
election.de	21 Jul 2023	116	86	34	62	1	0	0
election.de	7 Jul 2023	118	89	34	57	1	0	0
election.de	23 Jun 2023	120	85	37	56	1	0	0
election.de	9 Jun 2023	123	87	38	50	1	0	0
election.de	26 May 2023	130	82	44	42	1	0	0
election.de	12 May 2023	132	82	45	39	1	0	0
election.de	28 Apr 2023	135	83	43	37	1	0	0
election.de	16 Apr 2023	132	87	44	35	1	0	0
election.de	2 Apr 2023	132	87	44	35	1	0	0
election.de	19 Mar 2023	133	92	45	27	2	0	0
election.de	10 Mar 2023	136	86	47	28	2	0	0
election.de	24 Feb 2023	137	87	45	28	2	0	0
election.de	10 Feb 2023	137	92	44	24	2	0	0
election.de	27 Jan 2023	128	92	52	25	2	0	0
election.de	13 Jan 2023	127	91	55	24	2	0	0
election.de	30 Dec 2022	126	92	54	25	2	0	0
election.de	16 Dec 2022	125	91	57	24	2	0	0
election.de	2 Dec 2022	123	92	58	24	2	0	0
election.de	18 Nov 2022	121	95	59	22	2	0	0
election.de	4 Nov 2022	123	95	57	22	2	0	0
election.de	21 Oct 2022	122	94	59	22	2	0	0
election.de	7 Oct 2022	119	95	62	21	2	0	0
election.de	23 Sep 2022	118	92	64	23	2	0	0
election.de	9 Sep 2022	117	90	72	16	4	0	0
election.de	26 Aug 2022	116	88	74	18	3	0	0
election.de	12 Aug 2022	117	90	73	15	4	0	0
election.de	29 Jul 2022	122	89	71	13	4	0	0
election.de	15 Jul 2022	124	87	70	14	4	0	0
election.de	1 Jul 2022	124	88	69	14	4	0	0
election.de	17 Jun 2022	129	88	65	13	4	0	0
election.de	3 Jun 2022	132	87	65	11	4	0	0
election.de	20 May 2022	128	99	55	14	3	0	0
election.de	6 May 2022	127	114	43	13	2	0	0
election.de	22 Apr 2022	127	113	42	13	4	0	0
election.de	8 Apr 2022	127	114	42	13	3	0	0
election.de	25 Mar 2022	135	102	42	15	4	1	0
election.de	11 Mar 2022	130	112	41	12	4	0	0
election.de	25 Feb 2022	135	109	35	15	4	0	0
election.de	11 Feb 2022	137	103	38	16	4	0	0
election.de	28 Jan 2022	122	120	40	13	4	0	0
election.de	14 Jan 2022	120	125	36	13	4	1	0
election.de	31 Dec 2021	111	135	35	12	4	2	0
election.de	17 Dec 2021	110	135	34	14	4	2	0
election.de	3 Dec 2021	104	126	46	17	4	2	0
election.de	19 Nov 2021	104	133	41	15	4	2	0
election.de	5 Nov 2021	108	128	41	17	3	2	0
election.de	22 Oct 2021	103	130	40	19	5	2	0
election.de	8 Oct 2021	107	129	39	18	4	2	0
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	129	115	33	14	4	2	2

Notes[edit]

External links[edit]

• Wahlrecht.de (in German)
• pollytix-Wahltrend (in German)
• DAWUM Wahltrend (in German)
• X: @Wahlen_DE (in German)