Last edited Tue Nov 8, 2022, 06:40 PM - Edit history (1)

These young folks DO NOT want their parents moving in with them, thank you Johnson.

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And thank you for raising such a fine daughter!

I hope it's the same across the US and hope that they will break for democrats heavily.

As in he takes out a lot of downticket GOPers with him.

Especially since Dems turned the governorship blue in 2018.

Young voters trend Democrat big time.

Wisconsin doesn't have party registration, so people aren't officially Dems or Repubs.

If you look at TargetSmart, the 18-29 age group comprised only 1.9% of the early vote in Wisconsin, down from 4.0% in 2018 and 5.5% in 2020.

https://targetearly.targetsmart.com/g2022?demo_filters=%5B%7B%22key%22%3A%22age%22%2C%22value%22%3A%22All%22%7D%5D&state=WI&view_type=state

Hope someone here knows more.

Winkler is the Dem chair. I'm sure he has internals and I'm sure they were focusing on the youth vote.

Ben Wikler - https://twitter.com/benwikler

Link to tweet

Link to tweet

Link to tweet

Specific demographics until after the polls close.

and who turned one in and have all sorts of demographics on that person because in order to register to vote they usually need some sort of government ID and/or birth certificate, etc., which would include race and gender, among other things.

Hell here in Philly, they recently released lists of names (along with birth year/zips/precincts next to the name) of voters who needed to "cure" their ballots. I was actually surprised that they did the birth year thing but then that could be to account for people who have the same name so they can determine whether they or someone else needed to take action (especially since probably 99.9% of people would have no idea what their "Voter ID" number is! All of this stuff is barcoded (and even QR-coded) now.

Link to tweet

If they've done good data collection, they could certainly come up with a number like this.

they have this interesting thing I found from the PA Dept. of State Data Hub site - https://www.dos.pa.gov/VotingElections/BEST/Pages/Data-Hub.aspx

Link to tweet

Also, not sure he is talking about early vote before election day or early vote today.

Scroll down your link and Target Smart shows voting by party by day with yesterday Dems up 20k

Not that it matters. We'll all start finding out the real numbers soon enough.

WI doesn't have registration by party affiliation so is Target Smart getting that data?

If it's polling, I'm doubtful they know.

but isn't Victor Shi the same guy who's really (REALLY) bad at percentages from last week?

 
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Good news, bad math.

"In Wisconsin, so far, compared to 2018... the youth vote is at 360%."

If it was at 100% then it would be 100% as high, meaning the same as before.
If it was at 150% then it would be 50% higher.
If it was at 200% then it would be 100% higher.
If it was at 300% then it would be 200% higher.
But since it was at 360% then it's 260% higher.

It’s GOTV, and #voteblue.

Liberal college area

Not just in WI but all over. Wait for it!

lots of dumb drunk kids who don't know better.

I live in milwaukee burbs

But I would really be surprised if a majority of young voters in Wisconsin aren't voting Democratic. With that assumption, the more young people voting the better.

Lots of students vote in their home districts, and vote with their parents.

I remember thinking after watching him crank up the volume up there to watch this kid - he'll be running the DNC within a decade.

As I walked out I told them I was really proud of them for stepping up and I also thanked all my poll workers.

I said. "With poll workers all over getting death threats and being harassed, thank you for your service."


Live in Minnesota and it hasn't been too bad except a few years ago we had lurkers supposedly "helping" people with their vote or something, but they were skin heads and scary.


Worst part is Minnesota has been redistricted. I fear 2024 in a big way. The state looks mostly red.

Even now...

State House Map
Packed Wins? 4.6% favoring R
Mean-Median? +1.7% R
Partisan Bias? +3.7% R

https://gerrymander.princeton.edu/redistricting-report-card?planId=recoj2FD1N6K28GeT


State Senate Map
Packed Wins? 6.7% favoring R
Mean-Median? +3.3% R
Partisan Bias? +6.7% R

https://gerrymander.princeton.edu/redistricting-report-card?planId=recQsJeCYDmWD0uJs


Congressional Map
Packed Wins? 8.2% favoring R
Mean-Median? +3.7% R
Partisan Bias? +12.5% R

https://gerrymander.princeton.edu/redistricting-report-card?planId=rec2aeaJI4oyMbkrI

...our young people are AOL.