Bitcoin has historically peaked within 900 days before each halving (2017 to 2020: 876 days; 2021 to 2024: 892 days). With the next halving expected around April 2028, approximately 1,300 days from now, historical patterns suggest a cycle top between late 2025 and early 2026. The 200-week moving average, currently at $51,600, has consistently served as a reliable floor during bear markets. If Bitcoin peaks earlier than anticipated, it could be dragged down by broader market trends and a bearish macroeconomic environment. For now, a cycle top in late 2025 to early 2026 remains plausible. Stay cautious and note that the 200-week moving average typically marks the historical low in Bitcoin bear markets.