Unsurprisingly, corporate media quickly called the New Hampshire primary for Donald Trump.

With between 17% and 23% of precincts reporting, Donald Trump has a healthy 8% lead over Nikki Haley. While there are still many more votes to be counted, it would take a dramatic reversal of the trend for Nikki Haley to come out on top. While not impossible, such an outcome is statistically improbable.

However, the more important story may be that Trump’s margin of victory appears to be significantly less (at least at present) than the polling data suggested would be the case. An 8% margin of victory is a decisive win, but the polling data was showing a margin roughly twice that size.

If by the end of the evening Trump’s margin of victory is still in the 8-10% range, is that a strong enough showing to persuade Nikki Haley to stay in the race until South Carolina?