Price action: COST trading around $943–968, building a multi-month base with repeated support tests near $930–940. Resistance overhead sits in the $1,020–1,050 zone.
Chart context: VWAP (red) is flat, acting as the balance point. Blue bands (±1 SD) show price coiling at the lower half of the range. The series of rounded lows (triple-bottom look) suggests accumulation.
Volume profile: Heavy volume at $940–950 (support zone). Above $1,020, there’s thinner volume — leaving room for acceleration toward $1,080–1,100.
Scenarios:
Bull: Hold $940 support → breakout over $1,020 → rally toward $1,080–1,100.
Bear: Lose $930 → risk a slide into the $875–900 pocket.
Key watch: Does Costco hold the $940 base into October, or do sellers crack it? The resolution of this multi-month coil likely sets the next directional leg.
Base case: Range-bound trade $940–1,020 with upside bias if support continues to hold.
-Roy
AE Report
Sep 26
at
7:59 AM
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