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This is an excellent description of how to interpret polls about uncommon opinions.
a long rant about the shameless mongrels who have spent the whole week acting like the Signal story is no big deal.
A reporter asked me what to make of Trump’s approval rating in that new Gallup poll being discussed, and what it means in historical context and for 2026. Here’s what I said:
Gallup’s poll shows Trump’s approval rating 3 points higher than at this point in 2017. That is not in itself shocking, since Trump’s vote share also rose by 3-4 poi…
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OK, it's possibly not optimal to post this at 11:15 in the evening, but the newsletter has been slow this week, so what the hell.
My review-that-I'm-not-calling-a-review of Abundance.
These are a lot of work, but I do read a lot of nerdy books, so let me know whether you’re interested in the format.
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It feels more and more like the US and China are heading out on timelines quite different from the rest of the world, and it feels more and more like China might end up in a timeline of its own. No other country, for example, has a response to BYD, which might be the most important non AI company in the world