Surely the giant spike in NCVS reported sexual assaults in 2017-2019 is #MeToo and not an actual catastrophic crime wave, yes? That is, people became much more likely to internally classify borderline incidents as rape, or recall past incidents more vividly, or some combination of things like that. I don’t mean to say that victims weren’t by and large truthful, just that social norms can have a huge impact on certain data series independently of the objective facts they try to measure