I’m not sure the U.S. is necessarily in decline, at least not in the short term. Based on how Americans have voted in recent elections, it’s likely that they’ll choose a competent leader in the next one.

That said, the country has been swinging between completely different types of administrations. What worries me in the long run is that Americans have twice elected someone who was pretty clearly bad for the country.

As for Taiwan, everything depends on the U.S. If the U.S., together with Japan, can maintain strong military deterrence, then I don’t think a war is likely anytime soon.