FD2030 is like giving Kool-Aid to a kid - one sip and they’re hooked. The plan has several serious flaws: it over-specializes the Marine Corps for a single scenario in the Indo-Pacific; gutting tanks, cannon artillery, and heavy engineers creates dangerous gaps in combined-arms warfighting; its concepts remain largely untested; logistics for dispersed littoral units are shaky at best; and the redesign risks eroding the Corps’ hard-won versatility as a global, expeditionary force-in-readiness. Unfortunately, too many have already drunk the Kool-Aid without recognizing that war is, by its nature, unpredictable. No one in the 2000 QDR shenanigans anticipated we’d spend the next twenty years in Afghanistan — yet today they’re damn sure the next fight will be with China. We should hope to avoid that fight. We’ve gone against China twice before, in Korea and Vietnam, and it didn’t go well either time.