I have worked in software engineering for over a decade, in organizations of various sizes, including house-hold brand names, both as a people leader and individual contributor. I no longer write any code, even in professional contexts. The same is true for the most experienced engineers I know. There is still work to be done elsewhere in the software development process, but we should expect this to be automated eventually as well (it may even be less a problem of further intelligence gains than diffusion of existing capabilities).

Full automation of software production will only accelerate the automation of other fields, as it becomes trivial to write bespoke software to handle various problems. Anecdotal disappointment in LLM performance is a useful reflection on this point in time, but I see every indication that capabilities will advance rapidly. Nearly all white-collar work is at risk when measured over a 5-10 year time horizon.