This jobs print makes the setup more interesting. I don’t think one softer labor number kills the dollar trend by itself. But when dollar positioning is already this stretched, lower front-end yields start to matter much more. For me, the next tell is the 2-year yield. If it stabilizes, this may just be a warning shot for dollar longs. If it keeps breaking lower, the bigger unwind probably starts.
Jul 3
at
7:41 AM
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