Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?
$52,356 Vol.
Apr 30, 2025
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union imposes any new or increased tariffs on the United States between February 1, and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.
Only tariffs specifically targeting the U.S. will qualify. For example, a global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the EU) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tariffs enacted by EU member states will not count. Only Tariffs imposed by the EU will qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.
Only tariffs specifically targeting the U.S. will qualify. For example, a global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the EU) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tariffs enacted by EU member states will not count. Only Tariffs imposed by the EU will qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$52,356
End Date
Apr 30, 2025
Resolver
0x6A9D222616...Comments (28)
Top Holders
Activity
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Beware of external links, they may be phishing attacks.
Toncar16
2d ago
EU PLANS CONCESSIONS FOR TRUMP AFTER RECIPROCAL TARIFFS HIT
Penniton
6d ago
Pretty sure trump wants to remove allthe unfair tariffs EU have had before, i doubt theyll do more and rise current tariffs
OneT
15d ago
proposing might get disputed, as of right now the announced tariffs are canceling the suspension of existing tariffs
trumper2024
16d ago
Technically VAT could already be considered tariffs, obviously not the subject of this bet though.
Slava
18d ago
How much support does the EU need from members to make tarrifs happen? I imagine that someone countries would be more hurt by tarrifs than others. Do all members need to agree to tarrifs for them to be imposed? Cause if so, aint happening.
Costanza
19d ago
Absolutely bizarre price action because of a lack of clarity in the rules
TPTPTPTPTPTPTPTP...
19d ago
proposing might get disputed, as of right now the announced tariffs are canceling the suspension of existing tariffs
EmpirePending
19d ago
It’s over somebody resolve this market - https://apnews.com/article/trump-eu-tariffs-countermeasures-806a3b9bcc9cd4e45817e672d95f0070?
Costanza
19d ago
proposable? https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_25_740
AbelB
1mo ago
tit for tat
poetaster
2mo ago
Olaf Scholz, the German Chancellor, stated that the EU has the capacity to respond to tariff policies with tariff policies https://www.thepolynewsletter.com/p/will-the-eu-impose-tariffs
homosexual
2mo ago
“The EU would respond firmly to any trading partner that unfairly or arbitrarily imposes tariffs on EU goods,” the spokesperson said. “There is a lot at stake.” https://www.kron4.com/news/national/eu-warns-trump-it-would-respond-firmly-to-tariffs/
homosexual
2mo ago
The EU eventually suspended its initial tariff in late 2021, but that suspension is set to expire March 31 because the two sides have not reached an agreement on the steel and aluminum dispute. Swonger said the potential 50% tariff on the American whiskey industry, is causing "great, great, great anxiety" for distillers. https://www.courier-journal.com/story/money/2025/01/23/american-whiskey-industry-facing-50-percent-tariff-from-europe/77552396007/
homosexual
2mo ago
The EU is scheduled to reimpose tariffs on EUR4.8bn of US imports from March 31, including 50 per cent on bourbon whiskey, Harley-Davidson motorcycles and motor boats, if there is no further postponement. https://archive.is/cXWse
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