Presidential battleground states, 2024

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search
2024 Presidential Election
Date: November 5, 2024
White House Logo.png
Presidential candidates
Democratic Party Kamala Harris (D)
Republican Party Donald Trump (R) (won)
Green Party Jill Stein (G)
Libertarian Party Chase Oliver (L)
Battleground states • List of registered candidates • Electoral College • Prediction markets • Presidential debates • Important dates • Presidential election by state • Campaign finance • Logos and slogans • Key staffers • Vice presidential candidates • Policy positions • Ballotpedia's presidential election coverage index
Primaries
Democratic • Republican • Green • Libertarian
Ballotpedia's presidential election coverage
2028 • 2024 • 2020 • 2016

Battleground states are states that have split support for Democratic and Republican candidates in recent presidential election cycles. Sometimes referred to as swing states or purple states, they are critical to a candidate's campaign strategy since the majority of states consistently vote for the same presidential party and are not competitive.

Using the average of race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, Ballotpedia identified 7 battleground states. These are the states on which an electoral victory hinged. Click each state to read more:

Heading into the 2020 presidential election, for example, 38 states—representing 378 electoral votes[1]—had voted for the same political party in the previous four election cycles. While President Joe Biden's (D) victory broke this streak in Arizona and Georgia in 2020, much of the Electoral College in the 2024 presidential election is already set.[2]

This page also includes the following information about battleground states:

Presidential election results

See also: Electoral College in the 2024 presidential election

Results by state

National results


Presidential election, 2024
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
✔
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/J.D. Vance (R)
 
49.8
 
77,303,568 312
Image of
Image of
Kamala D. Harris/Tim Walz (D)
 
48.3
 
75,019,230 226
Image of
Jill Stein (multiple running mates) (G)
 
0.6
 
861,164 0
Image of
Image of
Robert F. Kennedy Jr./Nicole Shanahan (Independent)
 
0.5
 
756,393 0
Image of
Image of
Chase Oliver/Mike ter Maat (L)
 
0.4
 
650,138 0
Image of
Image of
Claudia De La Cruz/Karina Garcia (Party for Socialism and Liberation)
 
0.1
 
165,191 0
Image of
Image of
Cornel West/Melina Abdullah (Independent)
 
0.1
 
81,084 0
Image of
Image of
Peter Sonski/Lauren Onak (American Solidarity Party)
 
0.0
 
41,853 0
Image of
Image of
Randall Terry/Stephen E. Broden (Constitution Party)
 
0.0
 
41,290 0
Image of
Image of
Shiva Ayyadurai/Crystal Ellis (Independent)
 
0.0
 
28,399 0
Image of
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Richard Duncan/Mitchell Preston Bupp (Independent)
 
0.0
 
12,805 0
Image of
Image of
Joel Skousen/Rik Combs (Constitution Party)
 
0.0
 
12,786 0
Image of
Image of
Jay Bowman/De Bowman (Independent)
 
0.0
 
5,971 0
Image of
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Christopher Garrity/Cody Ballard (Independent)
 
0.0
 
5,294 0
Image of
Image of
Joseph Kishore/Jerry White (Socialist Equality Party)
 
0.0
 
4,650 0
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Rachele Fruit (multiple running mates) (Socialist Workers Party)
 
0.0
 
4,118 0
Image of
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Mattie Preston/Shannel Conner (Godliness, Truth, Justice)
 
0.0
 
2,857 0
Image of
Lucifer Everylove (no running mate) (Unaffiliated)
 
0.0
 
2,653 0
Image of
Image of
Blake Huber/Andrea Denault (Approval Voting Party)
 
0.0
 
2,196 0
Image of
Image of
Michael Wood/John G. Pietrowski (Prohibition Party)
 
0.0
 
1,144 0
Image of
Image of
Vermin Supreme/Jonathan Realz (Independent)
 
0.0
 
914 0
Image of
Image of
Laura Ebke/Trisha Butler (Liberal Party)
 
0.0
 
859 0
Image of
Image of
William P. Stodden/Stephanie H. Cholensky (Socialist Party)
 
0.0
 
364 0
Image of
Image of
Robert Wells Jr./Tony Jones (Independent)
 
0.0
 
359 0
  Other write-in votes
 
0.2
 
235,673 0

There were no incumbents in this race The results have been certified.

Total votes: 155,240,953

0 states have not been called.



2024 presidential race ratings

The map below displays presidential race ratings in each state. These ratings are generated by averaging the ratings from The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean and Tilt ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[3][4][5]

Race rating changes

The section below displays race rating changes from The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball.

  • November 4, 2024:
    • The Cook Political Report moved Iowa from solid Republican to likely Republican.[6]
    • Sabato's Crystal Ball moved Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina from toss-up to Leans Republican. The outlet also moved Iowa and Nebraska's 1st Congressional District from safe Republican to likely Republican and moved Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin from toss-up to leans Democratic.[7]
  • November 3, 2024: Inside Elections moved Iowa from likely Republican to tilt Republican.[8]
  • November 1, 2024: The Cook Political Report moved Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District from lean Democratic to likely Democratic.[9]


  • September 25, 2024: Sabato's Crystal Ball moved Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District from leans Democratic to likely Democratic.[10]
  • August 29, 2024: Inside Elections moved North Carolina from tilt Republican to toss-up.[11]
  • August 27, 2024: The Cook Political Report moved Minnesota and New Hampshire from lean Democratic to likely Democratic, and moved North Carolina from lean Republican to toss-up.[12]
  • August 20, 2024: Sabato's Crystal Ball moved North Carolina from leans Republican to toss-up.[13]
  • August 8, 2024: The Cook Political Report moved Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada from lean Republican to toss-up.[14]
  • August 7, 2024: Sabato's Crystal Ball moved Georgia from leans Republican to toss-up, and moved New Hampshire from leans Democratic to likely Democratic.[15]
  • August 6, 2024: Sabato's Crystal Ball moved Minnesota from leans Democratic to likely Democratic.[16]
  • July 9, 2024: The Cook Political Report moved Minnesota, Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District, and New Hampshire from likely Democratic to lean Democratic, and moved Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada from toss-up to lean Republican.[17]
  • July 3, 2024: Sabato's Crystal Ball moved Michigan from leans Democratic to toss-up, and moved Minnesota from likely Democratic to leans Democratic.[18]
  • June 13, 2024: Sabato's Crystal Ball moved Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio from likely Republican to safe Republican, moved Maine's 2nd Congressional District from leans Republican to likely Republican, moved Georgia from toss-up to leans Republican, and moved Pennsylvania from leans Democratic to toss-up.[19]
  • June 12, 2024: The Cook Political Report moved New Mexico and Virginia from solid Democratic to likely Democratic.[20]
  • May 8, 2024: Inside Elections moved Nevada from tilt Democratic to toss-up.[21]

Arizona

See also: Presidential election in Arizona, 2024

Election results


Presidential election in Arizona, 2024
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
✔
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/J.D. Vance (R)
 
52.2
 
1,770,242 11
Image of
Image of
Kamala D. Harris/Tim Walz (D)
 
46.7
 
1,582,860 0
Image of
Image of
Jill Stein/Butch Ware (G)
 
0.5
 
18,319 0
Image of
Image of
Chase Oliver/Mike ter Maat (L)
 
0.5
 
17,898 0
Image of
Image of
Claudia De La Cruz/Karina Garcia (Party for Socialism and Liberation) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
689 0
Image of
Image of
Shiva Ayyadurai/Crystal Ellis (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
77 0
Image of
Image of
Joel Skousen/Rik Combs (Constitution Party) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
53 0
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Dawanda Shelton/Carrie Ann Serra (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
19 0
Image of
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
President Boddie/Eric Stoneham (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
4 0

There were no incumbents in this race The results have been certified.

Total votes: 3,390,161


Polls

Voting information

See also: Voting in Arizona

Election information in Arizona: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 7, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 7, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 7, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 25, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 25, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 25, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 9, 2024 to Nov. 1, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

6:00 a.m. - 7:00 p.m. (MST)


Historical election results


Presidential election in Arizona, 2020
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
✔
Image of
Image of
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D)
 
49.4
 
1,672,143 11
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R)
 
49.1
 
1,661,686 0
Image of
Image of
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L)
 
1.5
 
51,465 0
Image of
Image of
Howie Hawkins/Angela Nicole Walker (G) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
1,557 0
Image of
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Jade Simmons/Claudeliah Roze (Unaffiliated) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
236 0
Image of
Image of
Gloria La Riva/Sunil Freeman (Party for Socialism and Liberation) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
190 0
Image of
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Daniel Clyde Cummings/Ryan Huber (American Constitution Party) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
36 0
Image of
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
President Boddie/Eric Stoneham (Unaffiliated)
 
0.0
 
13 0

Incumbents are bolded and underlined The results have been certified.

Total votes: 3,387,326


U.S. presidential election, Arizona, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes
     Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 45.1% 1,161,167 0
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump/Mike Pence 48.7% 1,252,401 11
     Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 4.1% 106,327 0
     Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 1.3% 34,345 0
     Other Write-in votes 0.7% 18,925 0
Total Votes 2,573,165 11
Election results via: Arizona Secretary of State


Georgia

See also: Presidential election in Georgia, 2024

Election results

Note: Cornel West (I) and Claudia De La Cruz (Party for Socialism and Liberation) were disqualified from the presidential race in Georgia, but still appeared on the ballot. Votes for West and De La Cruz were not counted.


Presidential election in Georgia, 2024
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
✔
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/J.D. Vance (R)
 
50.7
 
2,663,117 16
Image of
Image of
Kamala D. Harris/Tim Walz (D)
 
48.5
 
2,548,017 0
Image of
Image of
Chase Oliver/Mike ter Maat (L)
 
0.4
 
20,684 0
Image of
Image of
Jill Stein/Butch Ware (G)
 
0.3
 
18,229 0
Image of
Peter Sonski (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
730 0
Image of
Shiva Ayyadurai (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
37 0
Image of
Jay Bowman (no running mate) (Independent)
 
0.0
 
30 0
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Emily Mathews (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
19 0
Image of
President Boddie (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
14 0
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Brian Kienitz (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
13 0
Image of
Andre Ramon McNeil (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
9 0
Image of
Susan Buchser-Lochocki (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
3 0
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Nomusa Venita Smith (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
3 0

There were no incumbents in this race The results have been certified.

Total votes: 5,250,905


Polls

Voting information

See also: Voting in Georgia

Election information in Georgia: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 7, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 7, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 7, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 25, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 25, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 25, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 15, 2024 to Nov. 1, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 7:00 p.m. (EST)


PredictIt markets

See also: Prediction markets in the 2024 presidential election

What is a prediction market?

Prediction markets allow users to purchase shares relating to the outcome of events using real money. Each event, such as an election, has a number of contracts associated with it, each correlating to a different outcome. For instance, an election contested between four candidates would be represented by eight separate contracts, with each contract correlating to a particular candidate winning or losing the election.

The share price in each individual forecast rises and falls based on market demand. Once the event's outcome is decided, holders of shares that correlate with the correct outcome receive a payout for each share they held.

For example, a user buys 10 shares at 20 cents each in a presidential primary saying Candidate A will win. If Candidate A wins the election, the user earns $10. If the candidate loses, the user earns no money and loses his original $2 investment.

Why do prediction markets matter?

Prediction markets can be used to gain insight into the outcome of elections. Microsoft Research economist David Rothschild argued that they are better suited to the task than polls: "I can create a poll that can mimic everything about a prediction market...except markets have a way of incentivizing you to come back at 2 a.m. and update your answer."[22][23][24]

Historical election results


Presidential election in Georgia, 2020
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
✔
Image of
Image of
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D)
 
49.5
 
2,473,633 16
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R)
 
49.3
 
2,461,854 0
Image of
Image of
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L)
 
1.2
 
62,229 0

Incumbents are bolded and underlined The results have been certified.

Total votes: 4,997,716


U.S. presidential election, Georgia, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes
     Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 45.6% 1,877,963 0
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump/Mike Pence 50.8% 2,089,104 16
     Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 3% 125,306 0
     - Other/Write-in 0.5% 22,359 0
Total Votes 4,114,732 16
Election results via: Federal Election Commission


Michigan

See also: Presidential election in Michigan, 2024

Election results


Presidential election in Michigan, 2024
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
✔
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/J.D. Vance (R)
 
49.7
 
2,816,636 15
Image of
Image of
Kamala D. Harris/Tim Walz (D)
 
48.3
 
2,736,533 0
Image of
Image of
Jill Stein/Butch Ware (G)
 
0.8
 
44,607 0
Image of
Image of
Robert F. Kennedy Jr./Nicole Shanahan (Natural Law Party of Michigan)
 
0.5
 
26,785 0
Image of
Image of
Chase Oliver/Mike ter Maat (L)
 
0.4
 
22,440 0
Image of
Image of
Cornel West/Melina Abdullah (Independent)
 
0.1
 
6,664 0
Image of
Image of
Randall Terry/Stephen E. Broden (U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan)
 
0.1
 
6,509 0
Image of
Image of
Joseph Kishore/Jerry White (Independent)
 
0.0
 
2,330 0
  Other write-in votes
 
0.0
 
1,682 0

There were no incumbents in this race The results have been certified.

Total votes: 5,664,186


Polls

Voting information

See also: Voting in Michigan

Election information in Michigan: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 21, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 21, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 4, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 1, 2024
  • Online: Nov. 1, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 26, 2024 to Nov. 3, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 8:00 p.m. (EST/CST)


Historical election results


Presidential election in Michigan, 2020
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
✔
Image of
Image of
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D)
 
50.6
 
2,804,040 16
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R)
 
47.8
 
2,649,852 0
Image of
Image of
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L)
 
1.1
 
60,381 0
Image of
Image of
Howie Hawkins/Angela Nicole Walker (G)
 
0.2
 
13,718 0
Image of
Image of
Don Blankenship/William Mohr (U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan)
 
0.1
 
7,235 0
Image of
Image of
Roque De La Fuente/Darcy Richardson (Natural Law Party of Michigan)
 
0.1
 
2,986 0
Image of
Brian T. Carroll (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
963 0
Image of
Jade Simmons (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
89 0
Image of
Tom Hoefling (no running mate) (Independent)
 
0.0
 
32 0
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Kasey Wells (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
5 0
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Tara Hunter (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
1 0

Incumbents are bolded and underlined The results have been certified.

Total votes: 5,539,302


U.S. presidential election, Michigan, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes
     Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 47.3% 2,268,839 0
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump/Mike Pence 47.5% 2,279,543 16
     Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 3.6% 172,136 0
     Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 1.1% 51,463 0
     U.S. Taxpayers Darrell Lane Castle/Scott Bradley 0.3% 16,139 0
     Natural Law Emidio Soltysik/Angela Nicole Walker 0% 2,209 0
     Other Write-in votes 0.2% 8,955 0
Total Votes 4,799,284 16
Election results via: Michigan Department of State


Nevada

See also: Presidential election in Nevada, 2024

Election results


Presidential election in Nevada, 2024
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
✔
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/J.D. Vance (R)
 
50.6
 
751,205 6
Image of
Image of
Kamala D. Harris/Tim Walz (D)
 
47.5
 
705,197 0
Image of
Image of
Chase Oliver/Mike ter Maat (L)
 
0.4
 
6,059 0
Image of
Image of
Joel Skousen/Rik Combs (Independent American Party)
 
0.2
 
2,754 0
  Other write-in votes
 
1.3
 
19,625 0

There were no incumbents in this race The results have been certified.

Total votes: 1,484,840


Polls

Voting information

See also: Voting in Nevada

Election information in Nevada: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 8, 2024
  • Online: Nov. 5, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: N/A
  • By mail: N/A by N/A
  • Online: N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 19, 2024 to Nov. 1, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 7:00 p.m. (MST/PST)


Historical election results


Presidential election in Nevada, 2020
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
✔
Image of
Image of
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D)
 
50.1
 
703,486 6
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R)
 
47.7
 
669,890 0
Image of
Image of
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L)
 
1.1
 
14,783 0
Image of
Image of
Don Blankenship/William Mohr (Independent American Party)
 
0.2
 
3,138 0
  Other write-in votes
 
1.0
 
14,079 0

Incumbents are bolded and underlined The results have been certified.

Total votes: 1,405,376


U.S. presidential election, Nevada, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngHillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 47.9% 539,260 6
     Republican Donald Trump/Mike Pence 45.5% 512,058 0
     Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 3.3% 37,384 0
     Independent American Darrell Lane Castle/Scott Bradley 0.5% 5,268 0
     Other Rocky De La Fuente/Michael Steinberg 0.2% 2,552 0
     - "None of these candidates" 2.6% 28,863 0
Total Votes 1,125,385 6
Election results via: Nevada Secretary of State


North Carolina

See also: Presidential election in North Carolina, 2024

Election results


Presidential election in North Carolina, 2024
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
✔
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/J.D. Vance (R)
 
50.9
 
2,898,423 16
Image of
Image of
Kamala D. Harris/Tim Walz (D)
 
47.6
 
2,715,375 0
Image of
Image of
Jill Stein/Butch Ware (G)
 
0.4
 
24,762 0
Image of
Image of
Chase Oliver/Mike ter Maat (L)
 
0.4
 
22,125 0
Image of
Image of
Cornel West/Melina Abdullah (Justice for All)
 
0.2
 
12,099 0
Image of
Image of
Randall Terry/Stephen E. Broden (Constitution Party)
 
0.1
 
6,863 0
  Other write-in votes
 
0.3
 
19,494 0

There were no incumbents in this race The results have been certified.

Total votes: 5,699,141


Polls

Voting information

See also: Voting in North Carolina

Election information in North Carolina: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 2, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 11, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 11, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 29, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 29, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 29, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 17, 2024 to Nov. 2, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

6:30 a.m. - 7:30 p.m. (EST)


Historical election results


Presidential election in North Carolina, 2020
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
✔
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R)
 
49.9
 
2,758,775 15
Image of
Image of
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D)
 
48.6
 
2,684,292 0
Image of
Image of
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L)
 
0.9
 
48,678 0
Image of
Image of
Howie Hawkins/Angela Nicole Walker (G)
 
0.2
 
12,195 0
Image of
Image of
Don Blankenship/William Mohr (Constitution Party)
 
0.1
 
7,549 0
Image of
Jade Simmons (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
119 0
  Other write-in votes
 
0.2
 
13,196 0

Incumbents are bolded and underlined The results have been certified.

Total votes: 5,524,804


U.S. presidential election, North Carolina, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes
     Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 46.2% 2,189,316 0
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump/Mike Pence 49.8% 2,362,631 15
     Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 2.7% 130,126 0
     - Write-in votes 1.3% 59,491 0
Total Votes 4,741,564 15
Election results via: North Carolina State Board of Elections


Pennsylvania

See also: Presidential election in Pennsylvania, 2024

Election results


Presidential election in Pennsylvania, 2024
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
✔
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/J.D. Vance (R)
 
50.2
 
3,543,308 19
Image of
Image of
Kamala D. Harris/Tim Walz (D)
 
48.5
 
3,423,042 0
Image of
Image of
Jill Stein/Samson LeBeau Kpadenou (G)
 
0.5
 
34,538 0
Image of
Image of
Chase Oliver/Mike ter Maat (L)
 
0.5
 
33,318 0
  Other write-in votes
 
0.3
 
24,526 0

There were no incumbents in this race The results have been certified.

Total votes: 7,058,732


Polls

Voting information

See also: Voting in Pennsylvania

Election information in Pennsylvania: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 21, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 21, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 21, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 29, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 29, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 29, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Varies to Oct. 29, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 8:00 p.m. (EST)


Historical election results


Presidential election in Pennsylvania, 2020
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
✔
Image of
Image of
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D)
 
50.0
 
3,458,229 20
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R)
 
48.8
 
3,377,674 0
Image of
Image of
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L)
 
1.1
 
79,380 0

Incumbents are bolded and underlined The results have been certified.

Total votes: 6,915,283


U.S. presidential election, Pennsylvania, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes
     Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 47.5% 2,926,441 0
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump/Mike Pence 48.2% 2,970,733 20
     Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 2.4% 146,715 0
     Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 0.8% 49,941 0
     Constitution Darrell Castle/Scott Bradley 0.3% 21,572 0
     - Other/Write-in 0.8% 50,076 0
Total Votes 6,165,478 20
Election results via: Federal Election Commission


Wisconsin

See also: Presidential election in Wisconsin, 2024

Election results


Presidential election in Wisconsin, 2024
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
✔
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/J.D. Vance (R)
 
49.6
 
1,697,626 10
Image of
Image of
Kamala D. Harris/Tim Walz (D)
 
48.7
 
1,668,229 0
Image of
Image of
Robert F. Kennedy Jr./Nicole Shanahan (Independent)
 
0.5
 
17,740 0
Image of
Image of
Jill Stein/Butch Ware (G)
 
0.4
 
12,275 0
Image of
Image of
Chase Oliver/Mike ter Maat (L)
 
0.3
 
10,511 0
Image of
Image of
Randall Terry/Stephen E. Broden (Constitution Party)
 
0.1
 
4,044 0
Image of
Image of
Cornel West/Melina Abdullah (Independent)
 
0.1
 
2,753 0
Image of
Image of
Claudia De La Cruz/Karina Garcia (Independent)
 
0.1
 
2,035 0
Image of
Image of
Peter Sonski/Lauren Onak (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
561 0
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Doug Jenkins/Kimberly A. Lalonde (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
12 0
Image of
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Future Madam Potus/Jessica Kennedy (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
1 0
  Other write-in votes
 
0.2
 
7,131 0

There were no incumbents in this race The results have been certified.

Total votes: 3,422,918


Polls

PredictIt markets

See also: Prediction markets in the 2024 presidential election

What is a prediction market?

Prediction markets allow users to purchase shares relating to the outcome of events using real money. Each event, such as an election, has a number of contracts associated with it, each correlating to a different outcome. For instance, an election contested between four candidates would be represented by eight separate contracts, with each contract correlating to a particular candidate winning or losing the election.

The share price in each individual forecast rises and falls based on market demand. Once the event's outcome is decided, holders of shares that correlate with the correct outcome receive a payout for each share they held.

For example, a user buys 10 shares at 20 cents each in a presidential primary saying Candidate A will win. If Candidate A wins the election, the user earns $10. If the candidate loses, the user earns no money and loses his original $2 investment.

Why do prediction markets matter?

Prediction markets can be used to gain insight into the outcome of elections. Microsoft Research economist David Rothschild argued that they are better suited to the task than polls: "I can create a poll that can mimic everything about a prediction market...except markets have a way of incentivizing you to come back at 2 a.m. and update your answer."[29][30][31]

Voting information

See also: Voting in Wisconsin

Election information in Wisconsin: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 16, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 16, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 3, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 31, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 31, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 22, 2024 to Nov. 3, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 8:00 p.m. (CST)


Historical election results


Presidential election in Wisconsin, 2020
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
✔
Image of
Image of
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D)
 
49.5
 
1,630,673 10
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R)
 
48.8
 
1,610,065 0
Image of
Image of
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L)
 
1.2
 
38,491 0
Image of
Image of
Brian T. Carroll/Amar Patel (American Solidarity Party)
 
0.2
 
5,258 0
Image of
Image of
Don Blankenship/William Mohr (Constitution Party)
 
0.2
 
5,144 0
  Other write-in votes
 
0.2
 
7,721 0

Incumbents are bolded and underlined The results have been certified.

Total votes: 3,297,352


U.S. presidential election, Wisconsin, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes
     Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 46.5% 1,382,536 0
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump/Mike Pence 47.2% 1,405,284 10
     Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 3.6% 106,674 0
     Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 1% 31,072 0
     Constitution Darrell Lane Castle/Scott Bradley 0.4% 12,162 0
     Workers Party Monica Moorehead/Lamont Lilly 0.1% 1,770 0
     American Delta Rocky De La Fuente/Michael Steinberg 0.1% 1,502 0
     - Write-in votes 1.2% 35,150 0
Total Votes 2,976,150 10
Election results via: Wisconsin Elections Commission

Note: The vote totals above are from the recount.


Performance of minor-party candidates, 2000-2020

The following two charts show the vote share of candidates running as Libertarian or Green Party candidates in presidential battlegrounds between 2000 and 2020.[34] Bolded entries represent vote shares greater than the margin of victory in that state, meaning the minor party candidate received a number of votes that could have changed the outcome of the election.

Vote share for Libertarian Party presidential candidate by battleground state, 2000-2020
State 2020 2016 2012 2008 2004 2000
Arizona 1.5% 4.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Georgia 1.2% 3.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.6% 1.4%
Michigan 1.1% 3.6% N/A 0.5% 0.2% 0.4%
Nevada 1.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5%
North Carolina 0.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4%
Pennsylvania 1.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Wisconsin 1.2% 3.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3%


Vote share for Green Party presidential candidate by battleground state, 2000-2020
State 2020 2016 2012 2008 2004 2000
Arizona 0.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.2% N/A 3.0%
Georgia N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Michigan 0.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 2.0%
Nevada N/A N/A N/A 0.2% 0.1% 2.5%
North Carolina 0.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Pennsylvania N/A 0.8% 0.4% N/A 0.1% 2.1%
Wisconsin N/A 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 3.6%

See also

White House Logo.png
Ballotpedia's 2024 presidential election coverage
Presidential battleground states, 2016-2024
Use the dropdown menu below to navigate Ballotpedia's historical coverage of presidential battleground states.
Additional reading




Footnotes

  1. ↑ This tally includes the District of Columbia, one congressional district in Maine, and two congressional districts in Nebraska with the same consistent record
  2. ↑ 270 to Win, "Electoral Map: Blue or Red States Since 2000," accessed July 15, 2020
  3. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  4. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  5. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  6. ↑ Cook Political Report, "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings," November 5, 2024
  7. ↑ Sabato's Crystal Ball, "Electoral College rating changes," November 4, 2024
  8. ↑ Inside Elections, "Presidential Ratings," November 3, 2024
  9. ↑ The Cook Political Report, "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings," November 1, 2024
  10. ↑ Sabato's Crystal Ball, "Electoral College rating changes," accessed September 25, 2024
  11. ↑ Inside Elections, "Presidential Ratings," August 29, 2024
  12. ↑ The Cook Political Report, "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings," August 27, 2024
  13. ↑ Sabato's Crystal Ball, "Electoral College rating changes," accessed September 19, 2024
  14. ↑ The Cook Political Report, "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings," August 8, 2024
  15. ↑ Sabato's Crystal Ball, "Electoral College rating changes," accessed September 19, 2024
  16. ↑ Sabato's Crystal Ball, "Electoral College rating changes," accessed September 19, 2024
  17. ↑ The Cook Political Report, "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings," July 9, 2024
  18. ↑ Sabato's Crystal Ball, "Electoral College rating changes," accessed September 19, 2024
  19. ↑ Sabato's Crystal Ball, "Electoral College rating changes," accessed September 19, 2024
  20. ↑ The Cook Political Report, "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings," June 12, 2024
  21. ↑ Inside Elections, "Presidential Ratings," May 8, 2024
  22. ↑ Nature, "The power of prediction markets," October 18, 2016
  23. ↑ Politico, "Meet the 'stock market' for politics," October 31, 2014
  24. ↑ U.S. Presidential General Election Results, "2008 Electoral Map Based on the Intrade Prediction Market," accessed January 25, 2018
  25. ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2012 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
  26. ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2008 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
  27. ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2012 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
  28. ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2008 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
  29. ↑ Nature, "The power of prediction markets," October 18, 2016
  30. ↑ Politico, "Meet the 'stock market' for politics," October 31, 2014
  31. ↑ U.S. Presidential General Election Results, "2008 Electoral Map Based on the Intrade Prediction Market," accessed January 25, 2018
  32. ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2012 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
  33. ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2008 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
  34. ↑ Dave Leip's Atlas of Presidential Elections, "Election Results," accessed October 2, 2020
v • e
2024 United States presidential election
Overviews
2024 presidential candidates • 2024 battleground states • Debate over 2024 presidential primary calendar • Electoral College in the 2024 presidential election • Presidential debates, 2024 • Presidential election by state, 2024 • Presidential voting history by state • Prediction markets in the 2024 presidential election • Timeline of announcements in the presidential election, 2024 • Presidential election campaign finance, 2024 • Presidential election endorsements, 2024 • Presidential campaign logos and slogans, 2024 • Presidential election key staffers, 2024 • Presidential campaign staff transfers, resignations, and terminations, 2024 • Presidential election campaign managers, 2024 • Vice presidential candidates, 2024 • Policy positions • Ballotpedia's presidential election coverage index
Presidential Elections-2016-badge.png
Dates and deadlines
Noteworthy candidates
Noteworthy campaign staff
Democratic primary
Republican primary
Debates
Minor party nominations
Withdrawn noteworthy candidates and campaign staff
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (I) • Kennedy's campaign staff • Joe Biden (D) • Biden campaign staff • Dean Phillips (D) • Phillips campaign staff • Marianne Williamson (D) • Williamson campaign staff • Ryan Binkley (R) • Binkley campaign staff • Doug Burgum (R) • Burgum campaign staff • Chris Christie (R) • Christie campaign staff • Ron DeSantis (R) • DeSantis campaign staff • Larry Elder (R) • Elder campaign staff • Nikki Haley (R) • Haley campaign staff • Will Hurd (R) • Hurd campaign staff • Asa Hutchinson (R) • Hutchinson campaign staff • Perry Johnson (R) • Johnson campaign staff • Mike Pence (R) • Pence campaign staff • Vivek Ramaswamy (R) • Ramaswamy campaign staff • Tim Scott (R) • Scott campaign staff • Corey Stapleton (R) • Stapleton campaign staff • Francis Suarez (R) • Suarez campaign staff
v • e
Ballotpedia
About
Editorial Content
Geoff Pallay, Director of Editorial Content and Editor-in-Chief • Ken Carbullido, Vice President of Election Product and Technology Strategy • Norm Leahy, Senior Editor • Daniel Anderson, Managing Editor • Ryan Byrne, Managing Editor • Cory Eucalitto, Managing Editor • Mandy McConnell, Managing Editor • Doug Kronaizl, Local Elections Project Manager • Jaclyn Beran • Marielle Bricker • Joseph Brusgard • Emma Burlingame • Kelly Coyle • Thomas Ellis • Frank Festa • Nicole Fisher • Brianna Hosea • Joseph Greaney • Thomas Grobben • Jaime Healy-Plotkin • Tyler King • Glorie Martinez • Nathan Maxwell • Ellie Mikus • Jackie Mitchell • Ellen Morrissey • Mackenzie Murphy • Kaley Platek • Samantha Post • Adam Powell • Ethan Rice • Spencer Richardson • Victoria Rose • Briana Ryan • Myj Saintyl • Maddy Salucka • Maddie Sinclair Johnson • Abbey Smith • Alexis Thacker • Janie Valentine • Joel Williams • Samuel Wonacott • Trenton Woodcox


Retrieved from "https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=Presidential_battleground_states,_2024&oldid=10110819"