South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022

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2024
2020
South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 30, 2022
Primary: June 14, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in South Carolina
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+21
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th
South Carolina elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

All U.S. House districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of South Carolina, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for June 14, 2022, and a primary runoff was scheduled for June 28, 2022. The filing deadline was March 30, 2022.

The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 30.6% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 68.0%.[1]

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House South Carolina District 3

Incumbent Jeff Duncan won election in the general election for U.S. House South Carolina District 3 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Jeff_Duncan.jpg
Jeff Duncan (R)
 
97.6
 
189,971
 Other/Write-in votes
 
2.4
 
4,598

Total votes: 194,569
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Jeff Duncan advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 3.

Voting information

See also: Voting in South Carolina

Election information in South Carolina: Nov. 8, 2022, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 7, 2022
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 11, 2022
  • Online: Oct. 9, 2022

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

No

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 28, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 28, 2022
  • Online: N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 8, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 8, 2022

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 24, 2022 to Nov. 5, 2022

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7 a.m. to 7 p.m.


Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.


Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[2] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[3] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Report Close of books Filing deadline
Year-end 2021 12/31/2021 1/31/2022
April quarterly 3/31/2022 4/15/2022
July quarterly 6/30/2022 7/15/2022
October quarterly 9/30/2022 10/15/2022
Pre-general 10/19/2022 10/27/2022
Post-general 11/28/2022 12/08/2022
Year-end 2022 12/31/2022 1/31/2023


Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Jeff Duncan Republican Party $1,686,731 $1,459,465 $709,678 As of December 31, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]

Race ratings: South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in South Carolina in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in South Carolina, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
South Carolina U.S. House Ballot-qualified party N/A $3,480.00 3/30/2022 Source
South Carolina U.S. House Unaffiliated 5% of the active, registered voters in the geographical area the office represents N/A 7/15/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

South Carolina District 3
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

South Carolina District 3
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in South Carolina after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[8] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[9]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, South Carolina
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
South Carolina's 1st 44.9% 53.5% 46.1% 52.1%
South Carolina's 2nd 43.9% 54.5% 43.6% 54.9%
South Carolina's 3rd 30.6% 68.0% 30.5% 68.1%
South Carolina's 4th 39.8% 58.4% 38.9% 59.3%
South Carolina's 5th 40.2% 58.4% 41.0% 57.6%
South Carolina's 6th 65.3% 33.2% 67.0% 31.8%
South Carolina's 7th 40.2% 58.8% 40.2% 58.8%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in South Carolina.

South Carolina U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2022
Office Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2022 7 7 0 28 14 2 4 42.9% 4 57.1%
2020 7 7 0 20 14 3 2 35.7% 1 14.3%
2018 7 7 1 43 14 6 3 64.3% 2 33.3%
2016 7 7 0 17 14 1 2 21.4% 2 28.6%
2014 7 7 0 17 14 3 2 35.7% 2 28.6%


Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in South Carolina in 2022. Information below was calculated on May 10, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Twenty-eight candidates filed to run for South Carolina’s seven U.S. House districts, including nine Democrats and 19 Republicans. That’s four candidates per district, more than the 2.86 candidates per district in 2020 and less than the 6.14 in 2018.

This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. South Carolina was apportioned seven districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census. All incumbents ran for re-election, meaning there were no open seats this year. The only years to feature open seats between 2012 and 2022 were 2018, when the 4th district was open, and 2012, when the newly-drawn 7th district was open.

There were two contested Democratic primaries this year, the lowest number since 2016, and four contested Republican primaries, the highest number since at least 2012.

Eight candidates - one Democrat and seven Republicans, including incumbent Rep. Tom Rice (R) - filed to run in the 7th district, more than in any other. That’s three less than the highest number of candidates who ran for a seat in 2020, when five candidates ran in the 1st district. There were three districts - the 2nd, the 3rd, and the 5th - where incumbents did not face primary challengers. One district - the 3rd - was guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed. No districts were guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+21. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 21 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made South Carolina's 3rd the 34th most Republican district nationally.[10]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in South Carolina's 3rd based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
30.6% 68.0%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in South Carolina, 2020

South Carolina presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 16 Democratic wins
  • 14 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D D D D D D D SR[11] D D D R R R D R R R R R R R R R R R


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in South Carolina and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for South Carolina
South Carolina United States
Population 4,625,364 308,745,538
Land area (sq mi) 30,064 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 67.2% 72.5%
Black/African American 26.8% 12.7%
Asian 1.6% 5.5%
Native American 0.4% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.1% 0.2%
Two or more 2.3% 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 5.7% 18%
Education
High school graduation rate 87.5% 88%
College graduation rate 28.1% 32.1%
Income
Median household income $53,199 $62,843
Persons below poverty level 15.2% 13.4%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of South Carolina's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from South Carolina, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 1 1
Republican 2 6 8
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 7 9

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in South Carolina's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in South Carolina, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Henry McMaster
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Pamela Evette
Secretary of State Republican Party Mark Hammond
Attorney General Republican Party Alan Wilson

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the South Carolina State Legislature as of November 2022.

South Carolina State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 16
     Republican Party 30
     Vacancies 0
Total 46

South Carolina House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 43
     Republican Party 80
     Vacancies 1
Total 124

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, South Carolina was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

South Carolina Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

District history

2020

See also: South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020

South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020 (June 9 Democratic primary)

South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020 (June 9 Republican primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House South Carolina District 3

Incumbent Jeff Duncan defeated Hosea Cleveland in the general election for U.S. House South Carolina District 3 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Jeff_Duncan.jpg
Jeff Duncan (R)
 
71.2
 
237,544
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Hosea_Cleveland.jpg
Hosea Cleveland (D)
 
28.7
 
95,712
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
308

Total votes: 333,564
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 3

Hosea Cleveland defeated Mark Welch in the Democratic primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 3 on June 9, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Hosea_Cleveland.jpg
Hosea Cleveland
 
57.3
 
11,769
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Welch.jpg
Mark Welch
 
42.7
 
8,753

Total votes: 20,522
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Jeff Duncan advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 3.

2018

See also: South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House South Carolina District 3

Incumbent Jeff Duncan defeated Mary Geren and Dave Moore in the general election for U.S. House South Carolina District 3 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Jeff_Duncan.jpg
Jeff Duncan (R)
 
67.8
 
153,338
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Mary_Geren_headshot.jpg
Mary Geren (D)
 
31.0
 
70,046
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/dave_elect.jpg
Dave Moore (American Party)
 
1.2
 
2,697
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
123

Total votes: 226,204
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 3

Mary Geren defeated Hosea Cleveland in the Democratic primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 3 on June 12, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Mary_Geren_headshot.jpg
Mary Geren
 
69.7
 
12,971
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Hosea_Cleveland.jpg
Hosea Cleveland
 
30.3
 
5,630

Total votes: 18,601
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 3

Incumbent Jeff Duncan advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 3 on June 12, 2018.

Candidate
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Jeff_Duncan.jpg
Jeff Duncan

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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2016

See also: South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Jeff Duncan (R) defeated Hosea Cleveland (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Neither candidate faced a primary opponent.[12]

U.S. House, South Carolina District 3 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJeff Duncan Incumbent 72.8% 196,325
     Democratic Hosea Cleveland 27.1% 72,933
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 282
Total Votes 269,540
Source: South Carolina Secretary of State

Primary candidates:[13]

Democratic

Hosea Cleveland[12] Approveda

Republican

Jeff Duncan - Incumbent[12] Approveda

2014

See also: South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District elections, 2014

Incumbent Jeff Duncan won re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. He defeated Barbara Jo Mullis in the general election.

U.S. House, South Carolina District 3 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJeff Duncan Incumbent 71.2% 116,741
     Democratic Barbara Jo Mullis 28.8% 47,181
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 87
Total Votes 164,009
Source: South Carolina State Election Commission
U.S. House, South Carolina District 3 Democratic Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngBarbara Jo Mullis 66.6% 4,979
Hosea Cleveland 33.4% 2,496
Total Votes 7,475
Source: Results via Associated Press


See also

South Carolina 2022 primaries 2022 U.S. Congress elections
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South Carolina congressional delegation
Voting in South Carolina
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Democratic primary battlegrounds
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Ballot access

External links

Footnotes

  1. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  2. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  3. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  4. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  8. Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  9. Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  10. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  11. States' Rights Democratic Party
  12. 12.0 12.1 12.2 South Carolina Election Commission, "Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election," accessed March 31, 2016
  13. Candidates are listed by party and alphabetically within each party.


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
Republican Party (8)
Democratic Party (1)