South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022
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South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 30, 2022 |
Primary: June 14, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in South Carolina |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th South Carolina elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of South Carolina, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for June 14, 2022, and a primary runoff was scheduled for June 28, 2022. The filing deadline was March 30, 2022.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 30.6% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 68.0%.[1]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Democratic primary)
- South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House South Carolina District 3
Incumbent Jeff Duncan won election in the general election for U.S. House South Carolina District 3 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jeff Duncan (R) | 97.6 | 189,971 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 2.4 | 4,598 |
Total votes: 194,569 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Republican primary election
The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Jeff Duncan advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 3.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in South Carolina
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[2] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[3] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
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Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jeff Duncan | Republican Party | $1,686,731 | $1,459,465 | $709,678 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
Race ratings: South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in South Carolina in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in South Carolina, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
South Carolina | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | $3,480.00 | 3/30/2022 | Source |
South Carolina | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 5% of the active, registered voters in the geographical area the office represents | N/A | 7/15/2022 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
South Carolina District 3
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
South Carolina District 3
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[8] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[9]
2020 presidential results by Congressional district, South Carolina | ||||
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District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | |
South Carolina's 1st | 44.9% | 53.5% | 46.1% | 52.1% |
South Carolina's 2nd | 43.9% | 54.5% | 43.6% | 54.9% |
South Carolina's 3rd | 30.6% | 68.0% | 30.5% | 68.1% |
South Carolina's 4th | 39.8% | 58.4% | 38.9% | 59.3% |
South Carolina's 5th | 40.2% | 58.4% | 41.0% | 57.6% |
South Carolina's 6th | 65.3% | 33.2% | 67.0% | 31.8% |
South Carolina's 7th | 40.2% | 58.8% | 40.2% | 58.8% |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in South Carolina.
South Carolina U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2022 | ||||||||||||||
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Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2022 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 28 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 42.9% | 4 | 57.1% | ||||
2020 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 35.7% | 1 | 14.3% | ||||
2018 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 43 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 64.3% | 2 | 33.3% | ||||
2016 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 21.4% | 2 | 28.6% | ||||
2014 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 35.7% | 2 | 28.6% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in South Carolina in 2022. Information below was calculated on May 10, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Twenty-eight candidates filed to run for South Carolina’s seven U.S. House districts, including nine Democrats and 19 Republicans. That’s four candidates per district, more than the 2.86 candidates per district in 2020 and less than the 6.14 in 2018.
This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. South Carolina was apportioned seven districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census. All incumbents ran for re-election, meaning there were no open seats this year. The only years to feature open seats between 2012 and 2022 were 2018, when the 4th district was open, and 2012, when the newly-drawn 7th district was open.
There were two contested Democratic primaries this year, the lowest number since 2016, and four contested Republican primaries, the highest number since at least 2012.
Eight candidates - one Democrat and seven Republicans, including incumbent Rep. Tom Rice (R) - filed to run in the 7th district, more than in any other. That’s three less than the highest number of candidates who ran for a seat in 2020, when five candidates ran in the 1st district. There were three districts - the 2nd, the 3rd, and the 5th - where incumbents did not face primary challengers. One district - the 3rd - was guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed. No districts were guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+21. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 21 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made South Carolina's 3rd the 34th most Republican district nationally.[10]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in South Carolina's 3rd based on 2022 district lines | ||||
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Joe Biden | Donald Trump | |||
30.6% | 68.0% |
Presidential voting history
South Carolina presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 16 Democratic wins
- 14 Republican wins
- 1 other win
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | SR[11] | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in South Carolina and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
Demographic Data for South Carolina | ||
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South Carolina | United States | |
Population | 4,625,364 | 308,745,538 |
Land area (sq mi) | 30,064 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 67.2% | 72.5% |
Black/African American | 26.8% | 12.7% |
Asian | 1.6% | 5.5% |
Native American | 0.4% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Two or more | 2.3% | 3.3% |
Hispanic/Latino | 5.7% | 18% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 87.5% | 88% |
College graduation rate | 28.1% | 32.1% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $53,199 | $62,843 |
Persons below poverty level | 15.2% | 13.4% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of South Carolina's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from South Carolina, November 2022 | |||
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Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Republican | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 7 | 9 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in South Carolina's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in South Carolina, November 2022 | |
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Office | Officeholder |
Governor | Henry McMaster |
Lieutenant Governor | Pamela Evette |
Secretary of State | Mark Hammond |
Attorney General | Alan Wilson |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the South Carolina State Legislature as of November 2022.
South Carolina State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 16 | |
Republican Party | 30 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 46 |
South Carolina House of Representatives
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 43 | |
Republican Party | 80 | |
Vacancies | 1 | |
Total | 124 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, South Carolina was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
South Carolina Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas • Twenty years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
2020
See also: South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020
South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020 (June 9 Democratic primary)
South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020 (June 9 Republican primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House South Carolina District 3
Incumbent Jeff Duncan defeated Hosea Cleveland in the general election for U.S. House South Carolina District 3 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jeff Duncan (R) | 71.2 | 237,544 | |
Hosea Cleveland (D) | 28.7 | 95,712 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 308 |
Total votes: 333,564 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 3
Hosea Cleveland defeated Mark Welch in the Democratic primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 3 on June 9, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Hosea Cleveland | 57.3 | 11,769 | |
Mark Welch | 42.7 | 8,753 |
Total votes: 20,522 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Republican primary election
The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Jeff Duncan advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 3.
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House South Carolina District 3
Incumbent Jeff Duncan defeated Mary Geren and Dave Moore in the general election for U.S. House South Carolina District 3 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jeff Duncan (R) | 67.8 | 153,338 | |
Mary Geren (D) | 31.0 | 70,046 | ||
Dave Moore (American Party) | 1.2 | 2,697 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 123 |
Total votes: 226,204 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 3
Mary Geren defeated Hosea Cleveland in the Democratic primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 3 on June 12, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Mary Geren | 69.7 | 12,971 | |
Hosea Cleveland | 30.3 | 5,630 |
Total votes: 18,601 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 3
Incumbent Jeff Duncan advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 3 on June 12, 2018.
Candidate | ||
✔ | Jeff Duncan |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Jeff Duncan (R) defeated Hosea Cleveland (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Neither candidate faced a primary opponent.[12]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jeff Duncan Incumbent | 72.8% | 196,325 | |
Democratic | Hosea Cleveland | 27.1% | 72,933 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.1% | 282 | |
Total Votes | 269,540 | |||
Source: South Carolina Secretary of State |
Primary candidates:[13] |
Democratic |
Republican |
2014
Incumbent Jeff Duncan won re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. He defeated Barbara Jo Mullis in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jeff Duncan Incumbent | 71.2% | 116,741 | |
Democratic | Barbara Jo Mullis | 28.8% | 47,181 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.1% | 87 | |
Total Votes | 164,009 | |||
Source: South Carolina State Election Commission |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Barbara Jo Mullis | 66.6% | 4,979 | ||
Hosea Cleveland | 33.4% | 2,496 | ||
Total Votes | 7,475 | |||
Source: Results via Associated Press |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ States' Rights Democratic Party
- ↑ 12.0 12.1 12.2 South Carolina Election Commission, "Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election," accessed March 31, 2016
- ↑ Candidates are listed by party and alphabetically within each party.
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