FYI, this is what Quinnipiac forecasted around this same time in 2020 (Oct 7 to be precise):

FLORIDA: Biden 51%, Trump 40%

PENNSYLVANIA: Biden 54%, Trump 41%

IOWA: Biden 50%, Trump 45%

I'm not sure I'd consider them a model of accuracy. And post-Dobbs and post-non-red-wave-2022, I don't think the polling errors are going to favor the Republicans this time.