What is the R-lean / Trump-lean of FL-01 and FL-06? The reward for a Democratic win in either is obviously huge – as are the odds against us. Any snowball’s chance in Pensacola that a good Blue candidate, duplicating Mike ZImmer’s 25-point Democratic swing in last night’s Iowa special election, could score an upset?

Edit: Looks like Gay Valimont lost by 32 percent against Matt Gaetz in November.