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Yesterday, Feb PCE came in at:

Headline +0.38% MoM, which is +1 bp above my +0.37% estimate.

Core +0.37% MoM, which is +2 bps above my +0.35% estimate.

My PCE estimates published a day before the official PCE release:

Mar 2026 CPI Estimate and Feb 2026 PCE Estimate
Apr 10
at
9:24 PM
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