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How can Elon Musk be so brilliant in some ways and so lacking in others?

Well, this is more common than you might think. Let’s talk about spiky intelligence, selection effects, and Berkson’s paradox.

Elon Musk and spiky intelligence

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I keep getting this question: What can I do? I had some thoughts last night in my conversation with Steve Schmidt.

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Will say it again here.

I think there is a very good chance the NFL gives Aaron Rodgers the polite “thanks but no thanks,” and he slips off into retirement.

Bill Belichick couldn’t get a job. Will be surprised if a team gives Rodgers a Week 1 starting gig.

There are a lot of people, both on Twitter and on Substack, piling on this guy, and the only reason I can see for this is that he is telling the truth about things in a way that others don’t want to admit is true for themselves.

I’m not a white nationalist or right-wing (for f***ing obvious reasons) – but I resonate strongly resonate with much of what he says here – especially ‘seeking out adventure’, working with other young guys to disruptively impact political culture, and finding rural normals to be incredibly stifling.

I suspect I relate so strongly, too, because I share much of his personality: ridiculously high openness (99th%ile), high extraversion (76th%ile), low conscientiousness (26%ile, medium agreeableness (53%ile).

Any ambitious young weirdo craves the type of conviviality that is present in this type of environment; the well-meaning jostling you get from male peers who encourage you to rise up; and the profound and intimate mentorship from older men who care about you.

There’s not much of a difference (in terms of activity and relationship, not substance) between what this guy describes and joining a startup or building a new technology – style, intellect, challenge, risk.

I have unending contempt towards those who are trying to present this as, “Hurr, durr, the silly affluent white boy is realizing he didn’t fit in outside of cosmopolitan civilization, what a dumbass.

I think what these people can’t stand the most is that he isn’t willing to be ashamed of what he did or who he is; he is proud of the time he invested in to something he cared about, is humble enough to admit where he failed, and joyful to move forward to better things.

Why I'm no longer a White Nationalist
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Mar 21
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