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When we're with our own, i.e., the 80% "rest of us" who live in neither the US nor China, and we are both idealist and realist enough to want to seek our own destiny (not be just a wannabe hanger-on) we get to conjecture and debate:

Our CN-US table, just for fun:

While in other developments:

1. America has a long history of economic nationalism---from over two centuries ago in Alexander Hamilton's mercantilism, from 150 years ago in Abraham Lincoln's protectionist tariffs, from the 1860 Republic Party platform insisting that industrial policy and protectionism were the bulwark of America's economic strength, and not least from Roosevelt's hesitation on going to war alongside Britain against Nazi Germany because of America's strong isolationist sentiment.

2. This history of American leadership sits not uneasily with the current Administration's actions. And it far outweighs the brief 80-year period since WW2 that saw America come out to build a rules-based multilateral order that (mostly) worked for it and for the rest of the world. What single event changed America's mind on how it needed to deal with the rest of the world?

(My own candidate for now focuses on the circle of developments surrounding two things: the Nuremberg Trials and America's Cold War against the Soviets. Both these drove America to no longer stand apart in isolation from others. In the run-up to Nuremberg, America's young men had to fully stare evil in the face when they entered the Nazi Concentration Camps at Auschwitz and Treblinka. For them Germany could no longer be viewed as just an economically successful hyper-militarized Great Power. Those young American men went back to the US, entered higher education through the GI Bill, and transformed America's politics. And, just to be clear on the dates, America did not come into the war because they were going to rescue the people targeted by these atrocities. The first significant Allied mention of Nazi extermination programs occurred only in Dec 1942, a full year after Pearl Harbour. America's primary reason for going to war against Germany, for coming out in the world, was not to combat Hitler's atrocities on human rights and international law. But I would argue that in its having to come to terms with evil, America profoundly changed.)

Jun 5
at
5:27 PM
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