Neofascism: Should I trust the Economist on the current configuration of politics and the likely outcome of the next election in South Africa? Who should I read to get a more in-depth and well-grounded take?:

Economist: Jacob Zuma’s new party could swing South Africa’s election: ‘Jacob Zuma… uMkhonto we Sizwe (MK)…. Cyril Ramaphosa, South Africa’s president, may be faced with a crucial choice for himself and the country. Does he try to build a coalition of pragmatists? Or does he turn to ex-ANC figures, like Mr Zuma, and take South Africa in an even more populist and anti-Western direction?… The Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF), a hard-left outfit founded by Julius Malema that generally polls at around 10-12%…. The new party is a vehicle for Mr Zuma’s grievances. But it can pull on two powerful strands of public sentiment. The first is the idea that the ANC has lost its way and must regain its “revolutionary” purpose—a notion also promoted by the EFF. MK… calls itself a “true liberation movement”. Yet, as an extensive judge-led commission of inquiry into “state capture” during Mr Zuma’s presidency found, the only thing that was liberated in that period was public funds…. The second is ethno-nationalism. Zulus are South Africa’s largest ethnic group…. To stay in power Mr Ramaphosa may need to do a deal with at least one of the larger parties: the Democratic Alliance, the liberal official opposition that polls at around 20-25%; the IFP; EFF or even MK. Some in his party want to “bring home” the EFF and MK, which both want Soviet-style economic policies, such as land expropriation without compensation, and admire Vladimir Putin. Mr Ramaphosa’s supporters suggest he would prefer a government of national unity… <economist.com/middle-ea…>

8:44 PM
Mar 25