Jessica states: “My belief about the NYC event at this point is that it is unsubstantiated mass casualty event that appears fraudulent & staged”
She means that the all-cause mortality data for NYC during the Covid period is “fraudulent & staged”. Fine, one is free to believe whatever.
Trust in gov is not 0 or 1. One must decide the probability that each given public database might be “fraudulent & staged”, and to what degree. In my evaluation, I see no reason to conclude that the NYC data in question is “fraudulent & staged”. I think there is a small probability that this could be the case. I have concluded that the said data is as reliable as pre-Covid period all-cause mortality data for the USA, which is very reliable, identifiable administrative errors notwithstanding.
One of our next reports takes a deep dive, more than previously, into the USA and NY data, in high spatial and temporal resolution. We see no artifacts or features that would suggest manipulated or fraudulent data. We see consistent trends across all factors: place of death, institution type, age, etc.
We don’t see what Jessica believes.
We therefore apply the simplest working hypothesis: the all-cause mortality data by time and jurisdiction (in the USA) is reliable, not fabricated or manipulated. We assume this until we see evidence that would suggest the opposite. We don’t see the points raised by Jessica as meeting that threshold. And yes, having all the death certificates would be great.