If it were just the red-wavey pollsters, the Emersons of the world, I'd agree that this is what's going on. But Ipsos/Reuters aren't partisan, and in the past Fox hasn't been partisan in its polling either (though that R+3, plus the release timed to ambush Harris live, makes me wonder). I think there's something fundamentally weird right now. I just don't quite know what it is. Maybe it's that the electorate really will be R+3, but I'm suspicious.