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And despite our expected loss in SD-10, we outperformed the margin by 9 there (lost by 18 in a Trump +27 district). That's actually more impressive than the ~1.5 point outperformances in Loudoun.

Overall these are good numbers. VA has down-ballot lag that favors Republicans in state and local races. Outperforming Harris by an average of 3-4 is not bad. (If repeated verbatim in this fall's gubernatorial, we'd win by almost 10).

Jan 8, 2025
at
3:11 AM

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