🚀 I just published a new Missile Matters post, providing an initial battle damage assessment of the FP-5 Flamingo’s first combat use.
The strike confirmed proof of concept, but also revealed likely shortcomings.
High-resolution satellite imagery shows two impact points: one likely 15–40 meters off target, another 80–200 meters. A third missile failed to reach the target area, whether due to outside influence or internal failure.
Fire Point stated that the Flamingo has a CEP of 14 meters, meaning 50 percent of missiles should land within 14 meters of their aimpoint, about 93 percent within 28 meters, and the remainder outside the 28-meter radius.
This means that large misses, as seen in at least one and possibly two cases, are statistically to be expected. Still, the results were likely below what manufacturer and operators had hoped for, given favorable conditions and limited missile defense at the target site.
Even so, Flamingo appears to have met minimum expectations and the manufacturer can hopefully draw useful data from the launch.