This article has gone viral. But the US is not heading for empty shelves or famine.

There are, however, already severe shortages affecting countries in the global South.

Farmers in India - many of whom rely on agriculture for subsistence - are being encouraged to reduce fertiliser use, which will reduce yields. The Philippines has declared a national energy emergency. South Sudan is rationing energy.

The UN World Food Program estimates that 45 million people across Africa and south Asia will face acute food insecurity if the Iran war continues through June.

Food prices are going to increase as a result of this war - and they were already rising thanks to climate breakdown. But this just means the people who are already struggling to afford food will struggle even more.

But that analysis isn’t going to get you thousands of likes.

Anyway, read the piece I wrote last year about why climate breakdown is going to mean higher prices over the long-run: graceblakeley.substack.…