In times of incipient civil unrest leading to non-international armed conflict, you’re far better off asking yourself the harsh, mean questions that everyone else is already answering about you: Why do people want you dead? If you can’t answer this, you lack insight into the effect of your own behavior. How badly do people want you dead? If you can’t answer that, you’ll never change your behavior in time before they arrive. How helpful is it to have you dead? If you can’t conceive the social relief your murder brings, you’ll never see it coming.