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It’s true I probably should not have said “hoard,” but my remark was based on analysis of capital discipline in the industry, for instance in Barron’s: “barrons.com/articles/oi…” “Chevron’s emphasis on capital discipline, including a tighter capex budget and a pullback in buybacks amid weaker oil prices, reflected a broader strategy to preserve free cash flow, not grow production.” As well, as the Federal Reserve of Dallas’s report on Capex discipline in oil. dallasfed.org/banking/p….

As far as buybacks are concerned, they actually strengthen my point about investors' expectations in the financialized era. As for concerns in the oil companies about expropriation, I am aware, and I wrote about that here:

This is John Ganz speaking. It amazes me how you can make a living as a leftist commentator while being this financially illiterate. Anybody can check e.g. ExxonMobil’s financials and see that cash makes up 5% of total assets. If a private company doesn’t see a profitable way of investing cash, they return it to shareholders, called a “s…

Jan 29
at
12:16 PM
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