US Jobs Number for January Is Misleading. It's not broad based.
The BLS just announced 130,000 jobs created in January and hundreds of economists are trying to decode what it means. I think there's a simple story: growth in the US labor market is almost entirely focused on healthcare and social services, and to me this is not a positive trend.
Healthcare jobs grew by 82,000, social services by 42,000, and construction by 33,000 (which could be data centers). No growth in tech, financial services, manufacturing, retail, transportation, prof services, entertainment, or any of the other sectors. And job losses in government.
Why is this a positive sign for the US economy and why would the stock market go up? I sense it's a sign of an economy with no broad market growth dealing with an aging population who needs more medical and social services. And this not AI automation, it's companies preserving budget to invest in tech or tariffs (Ford just had a $900M tariff charge.)
Over the last 5 years healthcare has continued to be the #1 job growth in the US, and I'm wondering why that number jumped again.