pool‘s final 4 games

chelsea away

arsenal home

brighton away

palace home

likely 2x top4 teams, one top6/8 team and probably a team playing against relegation. can see them easily drop 5-8 points

your assessment is true however - they probably won‘t drop many points until end of january and we need to keep goi g. still keep in mind - they play 7 out of 9 games against the top 10 away from home