For those looking at the Hoax Polls (and yes, a couple of our guys, for reasons I don’t want to go into, have gone in this direction), Trump is not in the mid 40s. Today’s UK Daily Mail poll has him at 55%, which is completely in line with what we are seeing in voter registration data.

We just had another drop from NC, where Republicans gained another NET 1,100, bringing the D lead down from 175,000 in 2020 to just . . . 14,000. But wait! The active voter lead there is now R+94,000. That’s a flip in real registrations of R+160,000 in four years and going by active voters, a shift of R+269,000.